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Why is twitter stock price falling?
Posted on 4/26/22 at 9:06 pm
Posted on 4/26/22 at 9:06 pm
Its a done deal isn't it?
$54.20 Guaranteed.
Why would someone sell at $50?
$54.20 Guaranteed.
Why would someone sell at $50?
6
Posted on 4/26/22 at 9:16 pm to Guntoter1
If deal falls through what is it worth?
Agreeing in principle still not done
Agreeing in principle still not done
Posted on 4/26/22 at 9:29 pm to thelawnwranglers
quote:
If deal falls through what is it worth?
Agreeing in principle still not done
True but the whole stock market is one big casino.
This is the closest to guaranteed money you will ever get.
Posted on 4/26/22 at 10:08 pm to Guntoter1
quote:
This is the closest to guaranteed money you will ever get.
Nah. A 6-8% discount is pretty reasonable considering the circumstances, IMO. Opportunity cost is the biggest issue since the deal is still probably 6+ months away from closing. Also, your upside is capped and your downside, albeit unlikely, is -40% or more.
It’s similar to the TD Bank cash offer for First Horizon bank. FHN is at $22.80 but has a cash offer for $25 secured and awaiting regulatory approval.
Posted on 4/26/22 at 11:05 pm to Guntoter1
quote:
Guaranteed
That’s where you’re wrong
Posted on 4/27/22 at 12:29 am to Guntoter1
So is TWTR a buy right now?
Posted on 4/27/22 at 4:25 am to Guntoter1
It should trade at a discount. While upon close, shareholders would receive $54.20 per share, there is still risk. The deal could not go through for a variety of reasons,which would likely send the stock back to $35-40. Also time value. Deal expected to take possible 6 month to close.
Posted on 4/27/22 at 5:38 am to damnlambert
quote:
e value. Deal expected to take possible 6 month to close.
I think I read that the deal will close in June .
Posted on 4/27/22 at 6:12 am to Guntoter1
If I owned Twitter, and I don’t (damn it), I’d be selling ASAP.
Posted on 4/27/22 at 6:20 am to Guntoter1
quote:
I think I read that the deal will close in June .
Twitter management told employees 3-6 months. The deal can be terminated if it doesn't close by Oct 24.
It will require a shareholder vote and while it seems extremely likely that shareholders will approve the buyout, there is the remote possibility that they won't. Elon has 9% voting power himself so he'll only need 42% in his favor plus he could be buying between now and when the deal closes to lower his purchase price.
Elon's Tesla shares are also reportedly already highly leveraged, with 51% being used as collateral for previous loans. If the TSLA price crashed, he could get margin called and be forced to sell some to cover his debt, which would make him have to sell more than he planned to buy Twitter and could scare off banks accepting his shares for collateral for the Twitter loans. How likely that is, who knows, but it is another risk.
Posted on 4/28/22 at 6:42 am to Guntoter1
Because everybody (current and future stockholders) has been fooled into thinking the "wokes"/anti-Elons have way more power and influence than the media would have you believe. The con game called "Revenge of the Wokes" is slowly unraveling. They are paper tigers.
Posted on 4/28/22 at 7:11 am to tigerpawl
quote:
Because everybody (current and future stockholders) has been fooled into thinking the "wokes"/anti-Elons have way more power and influence than the media would have you believe. The con game called "Revenge of the Wokes" is slowly unraveling. They are paper tigers.
It's not necessarily over even after Elon buys the company. If wokes start screaming about supposed inappropriate content on Twitter, it could easily drive big advertisers away, like it did on Youtube, and put pressure on the company to capitulate to some extent.
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