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re: Weekly Stock Market Plays/Thoughts - March/April

Posted on 3/28/17 at 8:35 am to
Posted by dabigfella
Member since Mar 2016
6687 posts
Posted on 3/28/17 at 8:35 am to
LOL rain on me?? Its you and rocket and thats it, lol there's like 1-2 downvotes on all my posts..... insufferable bc I troll you about looking for some ridiculous buyout on AUPH which will probably happen years away at best? Meanwhile everyone holding long at $10+ got destroyed. I don't really care, I can troll all I want when Im 3 for 3 on stocks rising over 10% in a matter of days. Legitimate companies all worth billions mind you. Say what you want but Im damn good and I don't need you to appreciate it, my portfolio appreciates me enough.
This post was edited on 3/28/17 at 8:37 am
Posted by headedwest21
Member since Dec 2016
1109 posts
Posted on 3/28/17 at 8:44 am to
I appreciate the knowledge dabigfella. You've made me some money.

Posted by dabigfella
Member since Mar 2016
6687 posts
Posted on 3/28/17 at 8:45 am to
anytime man, Im always down to actually discuss legitimate stocks, we should start a thread for actual in depth stock discussion and the penny stock pump and dump guys can have their own thread.

and just LOL at AUPH sub $7 as we speak down another 10% and down like 5% since bayou bengals posted how undervalued it was minutes ago..... headed for that $6.75 offering price, guess jim morrison and I weren't wrong after all were we?

We tried to educate you guys on how things work and you get so offended
This post was edited on 3/28/17 at 8:56 am
Posted by headedwest21
Member since Dec 2016
1109 posts
Posted on 3/28/17 at 9:03 am to
I'm not going to do much hating because I'm young and trying to learn how things work in depth. I made the mistake of reading one of those boards when I first started and put all my money in one of those biotechs. Lost a bit on that one but made it back on some other short turn arounds. Overall ahead decent amount now and appreciate the advise. I'm good with a thread on long term big cap stocks
Posted by dabigfella
Member since Mar 2016
6687 posts
Posted on 3/28/17 at 9:10 am to
It happens, the point is to learn from it. Jim Morrison and I both tried so hard to warn everyone when the offering happened and it was sitll $8/9 that it was going below the offering soon and were just bashed bc this time was different and AUPH was stock of the century.

I really wasn't affected I dont play that stuff anyways, I just like to troll and it doesnt hurt that literally every stock I mentioned in this thread popped 10% or more rather quickly which added fuel to my troll thesis.

When you have bayou bengals posting this.....you can't seriously be a long, this reeks of yahoo message board/seeking alpha pumper. I even mentioned I similar co I saw called TNXP that did the same shite went from $4 to $21 in no time at all, offered 100x, and is now .50 or less

quote:

I'm with ya. I agree with others that this means Glickman is extremely confident.

Consensus is that there were three ways to raise capital.
1) Buyout in the near future around $15
CEO knows the drug is worth WAYYY more than this.
2) Partnership with Japan thus giving them foreign rights to the drug
Would rather keep ALL rights for future buyout
3) public offering/dilution
Hurts short term, but demonstrates extreme confidence in the long term growth of the company. Maybe he's waiting for what we might consider an absurd buyout right now $40 or much higher.
This post was edited on 3/28/17 at 9:15 am
Posted by bayoubengals88
LA
Member since Sep 2007
19273 posts
Posted on 3/28/17 at 9:19 am to
You care way too much about being right on the internet.
Posted by dabigfella
Member since Mar 2016
6687 posts
Posted on 3/28/17 at 9:30 am to
LOL dont be so salty man, you were just talking about how undervalued this piece of trash was at $7.50 a few minutes ago and its $6.98 now.

It's ok really unless you have way more stock than you care to share, which I personally believe you do from the very bagholder-esque commentary you've given in this thread.

Yet again on another name I was right, so yea I can toot my own horn....again.

What do you teach at school? Hopefully its not anything financial?
Posted by bayoubengals88
LA
Member since Sep 2007
19273 posts
Posted on 3/28/17 at 9:32 am to
quote:

Yet again on another name I was right, so yea I can toot my own horn....again.

There is some serious overcompensation going on right here.
Posted by dabigfella
Member since Mar 2016
6687 posts
Posted on 3/28/17 at 9:34 am to
LOL its so funny how mad you are that Im right and you're wrong, I absolutely love it.

$6.92 as we speak rofl
This post was edited on 3/28/17 at 9:36 am
Posted by ynlvr
Rocket City
Member since Feb 2009
4616 posts
Posted on 3/28/17 at 9:37 am to
I like all the advice coming my way. Some I jump on, some I let slide. Tesla is going well at the moment and I like the stock. I doubled my money on AUPH last couple weeks for a hefty take. Thanks Rocket. But now, my open buy order has me back in the stock (at a loss as of this morning) and I'll ride it down further then hope for a bounce.

ACHC was a great call bigfella. I enjoyed the profit there too.

I made good bank on Wynn in January last year buying in @ $75 and out @ $104. Wish I would have stayed in. I seem to recall they were paying big dividends when I first got in but they were cut pretty sharply. However, Steve Wynn kept investing and posting positive commentary on the Macau market. Macau has plenty room to run and Steve plays the high-end like a violin.

Unfortunately, my biggest loser of late has been PANW and I can't blame anyone on this board for that mistake. I picked that turd all on my own.
Posted by dabigfella
Member since Mar 2016
6687 posts
Posted on 3/28/17 at 9:42 am to
Look I have no problem with people playing microcaps, its not my cup of tea, Im trying to move the needle in a bigger portfolio and Im not risking anything worthwhile in that stuff. What I got after was once some of these guys made 100-150% in a week or so, they got too attached to the piece of trash. Bayou Bengals began with talk of $15 value and $40 buyout, meanwhile an offering happened 35% below the current price in the $6.75 range. I said the stock was going to go below the offering and the tards all jumped on me and said I was an idiot.

Here we are at $6.92 and I tried to warn everyone, and I made a real estate analogy that it would be possible to buy AUPH lower. Again the whole point here is Im trying to help out but when people are wrong and keep trying to think Im trying to measure dicks, they're not seeing that nearly every trade I post is picture perfect and impeccably timed bc I do my homework, analyze charts, etc. Picking stocks isn't throwing darts at a board and hoping something sticks. I don't use seeking alpha or anything else for my analysis and I just want people to become better investors/traders whatever.

Did it do me any good to see a few you lose money on AUPH? Not in any way, I hate seeing that and I just wish we could have dialog without people thinking someone is showing off or whatever. Like I said, I think I've proven myself well before this thread and 3 more times in this freaking thread. I know what Im doing and Im willing to help people who want to be helped.
Posted by The Egg
Houston, TX
Member since Dec 2004
79358 posts
Posted on 3/28/17 at 10:06 am to
quote:

will say again RNN is running today
opened a position on this morning's dip
Posted by BeYou
DFW
Member since Oct 2012
6027 posts
Posted on 3/28/17 at 10:08 am to
Just to be clear, AUPH stock is down because there is questions around FDA approval. They will likely have to disclose a change in the trial design of their phase 3 study
Posted by dabigfella
Member since Mar 2016
6687 posts
Posted on 3/28/17 at 10:12 am to
It could be down for any myriad of reasons but when bigger investors pay $6.75 that's all the stock is worth I don't care if it's $8 or $9 or $10
Posted by ynlvr
Rocket City
Member since Feb 2009
4616 posts
Posted on 3/28/17 at 10:13 am to
quote:

I said the stock was going to go below the offering and the tards all jumped on me and said I was an idiot.


Solid logic seemed obvious to me at the time. Still seems logical. Dead money for a while with hopes that the clinical trial news remains strong and the Trump administration can hasten FDA approval.
Posted by BeYou
DFW
Member since Oct 2012
6027 posts
Posted on 3/28/17 at 10:21 am to
quote:

It could be down for any myriad of reasons but when bigger investors pay $6.75 that's all the stock is worth I don't care if it's $8 or $9 or $10


Seeking Alpha

quote:

Summary

The property of Calcineurin Inhibitors such as Voclosporin to reduce proteinuria may be unrelated to its efficacy in combating renal lupus.

Using UPCR as a primary endpoint alone is an inappropriate measure of Voclosporin’s efficacy.

The FDA will not accept UPCR and eGFR as the primary endpoint for the AURORA phase 3 trial if a biopsy component is not added.

The FDA thinking on lupus nephritis is unclear or at best difficult to discern based on absence of guidance documents.

This presents an additional risk to investment in Aurinia in the short -term, that is difficult to quantify given current data.
Posted by dabigfella
Member since Mar 2016
6687 posts
Posted on 3/28/17 at 10:23 am to
So a microcap biotech is high risk and may not get approved? Color me shocked. Again I don't know biotechs nor do I pretend to, what I do know is when offerings are done it's rare that stocks don't go below it shortly thereafter
Posted by bayoubengals88
LA
Member since Sep 2007
19273 posts
Posted on 3/28/17 at 10:25 am to
quote:

Just to be clear, AUPH stock is down because there is questions around FDA approval.
Are you referencing the SA hack who is Short AUPH?
Posted by jerryc436
Franklin
Member since Jan 2014
521 posts
Posted on 3/28/17 at 10:28 am to
I have been watching DB. Have you done any research or have any opinion on its value. I bought LVS instead of WYNN, it was a tossup for me and it looks like WYNN would have been better choice. I may buy Tesla but am not in position right now for the investment. I will be watching your posts in the future for recommendations. Thanks.
Posted by BeYou
DFW
Member since Oct 2012
6027 posts
Posted on 3/28/17 at 10:28 am to
quote:

Are you referencing the SA hack who is Short AUPH?


It was disclosed by AUPH in it's 40F.

quote:

"..Based on our recently released 48 week topline results for the AURA study, we are re-evaluating specific endpoints to optimize trial design and success. We do not believe this will affect the timing for the initiation or completion of the AURORA study..."


FTR, I hold 500 shares of AUPH.

Edit: I do think the medicine is sound and I do think this is a over reaction by the market, but it does explain the stock being down 10%.
This post was edited on 3/28/17 at 10:37 am
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