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re: Weekly Stock Market Plays/Thoughts - March/April

Posted on 3/15/17 at 8:10 am to
Posted by jerryc436
Franklin
Member since Jan 2014
615 posts
Posted on 3/15/17 at 8:10 am to
Holdings and trades:
AUPH: +2700 in a week. Out for now but will watch.
RNVA: Bought at 2.99 Holding but may take loss today
JNUG: Bought 6.75 Holding and will watch for now.
BLPH: Bought at 1.51 yesterday and watching closely.
RIG: Bought at 12.15 yesterday and consider long term hold for higher oil prices.
Realized gains $2700. Unrealized losses $2000.
This post was edited on 3/15/17 at 3:02 pm
Posted by bayoubengals88
LA
Member since Sep 2007
24584 posts
Posted on 3/15/17 at 8:33 am to
quote:

bayoubengals, no offense, but your posts tell me that you do not have a lot of time in the market and on top of that inexperience, you are playing in the biotech arena.
All you know is this thread. You don't know me. I have all the knowledge that it takes to do well long term. I haven't been in the market long. Three years...but that's three years of avid reading. Almost daily. The first time I've ever really tried to played pharmas was a month ago...and still, I'm not really here for a day trade, but more of an 18 month hold. Is it a gamble? Perhaps. Do I know that?
You bet your arse.
Posted by rocket31
Member since Jan 2008
41887 posts
Posted on 3/15/17 at 8:52 am to
quote:

im optimistic about CERU, but i got in at $2.15


sold at 2.84

Posted by rocket31
Member since Jan 2008
41887 posts
Posted on 3/15/17 at 9:10 am to
and its now at 3.40
This post was edited on 3/15/17 at 9:11 am
Posted by Venison
Central
Member since Aug 2014
71 posts
Posted on 3/15/17 at 9:26 am to
Damn CERC killing me. Hope it goes up again. Lost too much to get out now.
Posted by rocket31
Member since Jan 2008
41887 posts
Posted on 3/15/17 at 9:40 am to
quote:

BLPA: Bought at 1.51 yesterday and watching closely.


BLPH is now at 1.56
Posted by rocket31
Member since Jan 2008
41887 posts
Posted on 3/15/17 at 9:44 am to
quote:

Damn CERC killing me


its my only loser this week

ive set a mental stop loss and will get out if it hits.
Posted by BigBevo
Member since Mar 2017
4 posts
Posted on 3/15/17 at 9:45 am to
RNVA is getting some action today. i hold a few shares in my account.

also, good job on the CERU call. I wasnt able to participate on it.
Posted by RedBeardBaw
Member since Feb 2017
445 posts
Posted on 3/15/17 at 9:51 am to
I took a small position on CERU when it was at $2.34 a share, sold today at $3.27.

Got out of AUPH on Tuesday at $8.23/share...kicking myself for not selling Monday afternoon but still saw a nice 30% profit from it.

I'm down on CBR and CERC as of now. Keeping close eye on them to see what they'll do.
This post was edited on 3/15/17 at 9:52 am
Posted by rocket31
Member since Jan 2008
41887 posts
Posted on 3/15/17 at 10:55 am to
im re-entering AUPH now at 7.52

i *think* that is the end of the dilution
Posted by dabigfella
Member since Mar 2016
6687 posts
Posted on 3/15/17 at 11:05 am to
the offering is $6.75 why do you believe $7.52 is the end of the dilution? What was the peak the other day? dilute that by 33% bc thats how many new shares are coming but they dont hit for a few more days.....maybe you're right, I dont know, nobody knows, but institutional investors will be paying $6.75 in a few days if you wanna pay a little more than them and by little I mean 13% more give or take then thats fine but i gave you a heads up the other day on what was probably going to happen....
Posted by rocket31
Member since Jan 2008
41887 posts
Posted on 3/15/17 at 11:07 am to
quote:

the offering is $6.75 why do you believe $7.52 is the end of the dilution?


i dont have time to explain in the details now, but that is what my math gave me

its up to 7.80 since i bought in so all good so far, we will see what happens
This post was edited on 3/15/17 at 11:07 am
Posted by dabigfella
Member since Mar 2016
6687 posts
Posted on 3/15/17 at 11:15 am to
Im not trying to be a wise guy, Im just trying to understand the train of thought bc take a property as an example. If Market Value is $1,000,000 then why would you willingly pay $1,130,000 when the exact same property just sold for $1,000,000. We know the neighbor paid $1,000,000 for the exact same one, in this case the exact same shares you're acquiring at $7.52 will be acquired at $6.75. Are you so 100,000,000% sure the stock will rise that you're willing to pay that premium bc at this moment, you're paying more than the market price which $6.75. The buyers at $6.75 would probably love to sell their $6.75 shares to you at $7.52 today, I know I wouldn't cry over a quick turnaround like that.

Also are you a chartist at all? A very bearish head and shoulders appears to be forming on the hourly chart, take a look if you dont believe me, it appears to have broken below the neckline as we speak...
This post was edited on 3/15/17 at 11:25 am
Posted by rocket31
Member since Jan 2008
41887 posts
Posted on 3/15/17 at 12:37 pm to
I'm seeing a cup and handle

And I appreciate your insight. So all good. You've been doing this longer than most.

Posted by dabigfella
Member since Mar 2016
6687 posts
Posted on 3/15/17 at 1:04 pm to
you may be looking at different timeframes, on the hourly this is what's there, do you see the head and shoulders I'm talking about? Sorry I don't know how to resize it but you can see on the small image

This post was edited on 3/15/17 at 1:05 pm
Posted by dabigfella
Member since Mar 2016
6687 posts
Posted on 3/15/17 at 1:09 pm to


Do you see the line and the break below the head and shoulders? If it can close above that line it could be bullish again and clearly a huge gap to be filled above. For now though, its got a double top, lower highs and lower lows looking on the chart combined with a break below the neckline. All that combined with a $6.75 offering soon and it doesn't look like a time to go long but of course, the charts can indeed be wrong, I personally try to buy when the chart aligns and the setup looks good, but you're buying on fundamentals which are 2 different things.
This post was edited on 3/15/17 at 1:11 pm
Posted by Sterling Archer
Member since Aug 2012
8374 posts
Posted on 3/15/17 at 2:02 pm to
quote:

JNUG: Bought 6.75 Holding and will watch for now.


Bought at 5.62 and at 7.35 right now.
Posted by bayoubengals88
LA
Member since Sep 2007
24584 posts
Posted on 3/15/17 at 2:04 pm to
quote:

Bought at 5.62 and at 7.35 right now.

Posted by rocket31
Member since Jan 2008
41887 posts
Posted on 3/15/17 at 2:06 pm to
Damn id take those gains every time
Posted by rocket31
Member since Jan 2008
41887 posts
Posted on 3/15/17 at 2:09 pm to
In AUPH 7.52 out 7.74. 3%

This thing could go either way
This post was edited on 3/15/17 at 2:10 pm
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