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Uber opens its books to bloomberg

Posted on 4/17/17 at 10:10 am
Posted by barry
Location, Location, Location
Member since Aug 2006
50348 posts
Posted on 4/17/17 at 10:10 am
LINK

quote:

The ride-hailing giant more than doubled gross bookings in 2016 to $20 billion, according to financial information Uber shared with Bloomberg. Net revenue was $6.5 billion, while adjusted net losses were $2.8 billion, excluding the China business, which it sold last summer.


Posted by TigerTatorTots
The Safeshore
Member since Jul 2009
80782 posts
Posted on 4/17/17 at 10:12 am to
I don't use Uber much so I'm not sure the ins and outs...help me understand how they lose money. They have no capital expenditures right? An employee just signs up, uses his/her own assets to buy their car, then Uber starts making money off their fares. How do they lose so much money?
This post was edited on 4/17/17 at 10:16 am
Posted by Big Saint
Houston
Member since May 2009
1453 posts
Posted on 4/17/17 at 10:14 am to
Advertising somewhat but I would imagine most of their money is reinvested in the self driving car model they are working on trying to beat Tesla to market.
Posted by barry
Location, Location, Location
Member since Aug 2006
50348 posts
Posted on 4/17/17 at 10:23 am to
quote:

An employee just signs up, uses his/her own assets to buy their car, then Uber starts making money off their fares


you still have to manage that employee, they have millions of drivers. That cost money.
Also investing back into the company (driverless cars)
Advertising
Lord knows how much on legal fees and dealing with governments and municipalities.


Their gains are apparently still outpacing their losses, but still they have burned through A LOT of cash.
This post was edited on 4/17/17 at 10:25 am
Posted by Croacka
Denham Springs
Member since Dec 2008
61441 posts
Posted on 4/17/17 at 10:45 am to
Aren't there also many promotions where uber actually pays the driver more than the cost of the fare?
Posted by Hawkeye95
Member since Dec 2013
20293 posts
Posted on 4/17/17 at 10:46 am to
quote:

Their gains are apparently still outpacing their losses, but still they have burned through A LOT of cash.


its ridiculous how much cash they burn through. A warning sign that something is not right with management if you ask me.

Posted by GregYoureMyBoyBlue
Member since Apr 2011
2960 posts
Posted on 4/17/17 at 10:52 am to
quote:

its ridiculous how much cash they burn through. A warning sign that something is not right with management if you ask me.


This isn't typically the case with high growth "unicorns" in the valley. People plow the cash into a business that has proven unit economics and scalability which is what Uber has. Say what you want about management's ability to control culture and PR sure, but their business model and trajectory is tight.
Posted by Hawkeye95
Member since Dec 2013
20293 posts
Posted on 4/17/17 at 11:55 am to
quote:

This isn't typically the case with high growth "unicorns" in the valley. People plow the cash into a business that has proven unit economics and scalability which is what Uber has. Say what you want about management's ability to control culture and PR sure, but their business model and trajectory is tight.


Yeah, its easier to fix shitty management than it is to fix a product that has no fit.

But its still a warning flashing warning sign that something is amiss.
Posted by lynxcat
Member since Jan 2008
24159 posts
Posted on 4/17/17 at 12:32 pm to
I'm trying to wrap my head around Gross Sales of $20B resulting in only $6.5B in Net Sales. I'm going to take the Gross Sales figure it basically mythical based on some standard fare that is never actually paid.
Posted by Hawkeye95
Member since Dec 2013
20293 posts
Posted on 4/17/17 at 12:40 pm to
quote:

I'm trying to wrap my head around Gross Sales of $20B resulting in only $6.5B in Net Sales. I'm going to take the Gross Sales figure it basically mythical based on some standard fare that is never actually paid.


my guess is gross sales is all rides, net sales is their revenue from said rides.
Posted by lynxcat
Member since Jan 2008
24159 posts
Posted on 4/17/17 at 12:45 pm to
Seems like the money paid to drivers would need to be recognized as SG&A or maybe COGS? I don't want on the service industry so less familiar with the accounting standards.

Uber takes a 20% cut from the driver which would only get us to $4B in net sales.
Posted by Weagle25
THE Football State.
Member since Oct 2011
46193 posts
Posted on 4/17/17 at 1:22 pm to
They do hand out a lot of free rides. When a friend "invites" you to Uber, I think they get a free ride and you get a free ride

The only time I've used Uber was free
This post was edited on 4/17/17 at 1:23 pm
Posted by Hawkeye95
Member since Dec 2013
20293 posts
Posted on 4/17/17 at 1:29 pm to
quote:

Uber takes a 20% cut from the driver which would only get us to $4B in net sales.


I think their commission structure changes of the service offered and location.

Plus they have other revenues - ads, promotions, ubereats.

Posted by seawolf06
NH
Member since Oct 2007
8159 posts
Posted on 4/17/17 at 2:27 pm to
quote:

An employee just signs up, uses his/her own assets to buy their car, then Uber starts making money off their fares.


They do have full-time, non-driver employees who manage the drivers as well as full suite of IT and other employees.
Posted by barry
Location, Location, Location
Member since Aug 2006
50348 posts
Posted on 4/17/17 at 3:01 pm to
quote:

But its still a warning flashing warning sign that something is amiss


I think it's still a long game with investors seeing a fleet of self driving cars as the ultimate destination. I mean it's an onbscene amount of cash burn even for a unicorn, but I think the belief is if self driving cars take off they are going to be swimming in profits.
Posted by Hawkeye95
Member since Dec 2013
20293 posts
Posted on 4/17/17 at 3:29 pm to
quote:

I think it's still a long game with investors seeing a fleet of self driving cars as the ultimate destination. I mean it's an onbscene amount of cash burn even for a unicorn, but I think the belief is if self driving cars take off they are going to be swimming in profits.


There prospects look great IMHO. the thing is any ownership is going to be extremely watered down if they keep burning through the cash. Or they are going to have a very heavy debt load.

Someone is going to get rich that is for sure, the question is who will that be.
Posted by GregYoureMyBoyBlue
Member since Apr 2011
2960 posts
Posted on 4/17/17 at 3:43 pm to
quote:

There prospects look great IMHO. the thing is any ownership is going to be extremely watered down if they keep burning through the cash. Or they are going to have a very heavy debt load.

Someone is going to get rich that is for sure, the question is who will that be.


Every time they raise money, management gets a new option pool so ownership is probably not getting as diluted as you might think. They've raise mostly equity from what i've read with probably a number of different loan facilities as extra cushion. I'd be much more interested to hear about the terms, liquidation preference, voting rights, and relative capital stack based on their former raises. It's going to be really interesting what happens after all the Uber backlash over the past couple months. What has happened historically is that existing investors will get pissed that the numbers aren't as good as they thought it would be, new investors will demand a down round when they are in a cash crunch, management will say "no down round, but we will give you better terms (liq pref, dividends, etc)", and then the common shareholders/employees get burned when there is exit since there is so much preference on top.

From a business model standpoint, Uber is just following the model of everyone else at this point. Prove positive LTV/CAC, show a shrinking number of months from new market entrance to cash flow positive per market, generally find an acceptable "plateau" when the market is relatively saturated, and then deploy the other Uber Goods and Services. Square burned through loads of cash, Snapchat did the same, Zillow, LinkedIn, so did Facebook, etc. All that matters is that you can tell the story of how you will make money in the future and as long as you have investors willing to believe, you're on solid ground.
Posted by Tigerfan56
Member since May 2010
10520 posts
Posted on 4/17/17 at 4:07 pm to
quote:

I think it's still a long game with investors seeing a fleet of self driving cars as the ultimate destination. I mean it's an onbscene amount of cash burn even for a unicorn, but I think the belief is if self driving cars take off they are going to be swimming in profits.


Someone help me out here. I feel like once self-driving cars become available - it will practically crush the pay for a ride service industry like Uber. A large % of their clientele have to be drinkers who need a DD or people living in huge cities who don't feel like dealing with the traffic- both of which could conceivably buy and use their own self driving cars instead.

Sure it would take some time before the public all made the switch to self-driving cars, but once it happened - Uber is left relying on only those who can't afford the self driving cars. Maybe the cars will be super expensive, but once the tech is there- surely there will be copycat manufacturers offering affordable varieties? Just seems like even by banking on the self-driving car, it's a self-destructing timebomb waiting to happen for them unless they shift to dealing cars?

What am I missing? How does a fleet of self-driving service cars make money if people can buy their own self drivers?
Posted by barry
Location, Location, Location
Member since Aug 2006
50348 posts
Posted on 4/17/17 at 4:13 pm to
The model is that once self driving cars exist, there is no point in owning one.
This post was edited on 4/17/17 at 4:14 pm
Posted by Tigerfan56
Member since May 2010
10520 posts
Posted on 4/17/17 at 4:25 pm to
quote:

The model is that once self driving cars exist, there is no point in owning one.


I'm not saying you're wrong, I just don't understand this. Will rides be so much cheaper? What about long trips and vacations? How can rides become so cheap that it wouldn't make sense to own a car at all (unless the self-drivers are priced as a luxury item)? Most people taker their car to work every day and back, plus trips to the gym/store/any other activity. It would be way more convenient to own your own for every ride than have to wait for Uber to get one to you.
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