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Russell 2000 Index Trend - Another Data Point

Posted on 10/23/23 at 2:33 pm
Posted by cadillacattack
the ATL
Member since May 2020
9638 posts
Posted on 10/23/23 at 2:33 pm
I found this summary in an email from Seeking Alpha, which I once subscribed to.
(Publicly available) I’m unable to post the entire article, but here is the overview from author Paul Frank, … who provides focused analysis on the iShares Russell 2000 ETF. Article is titled “IWM Small Caps: New 52 Week Low, Everything Is Not Fine”.

IMO, This provides an updated datapoint that we may already be in … or are entering a deep economic recession. Many here have believed this for quite some time now, never having bought into the political hijacking of the traditional definition of what constitutes a Recession, nor the belief that “it’s transitory “

Another indicator to watch carefully during a very volatile time in the markets ….

quote:

Small-company stock indexes reached for new 52-week lows this week, indicating a bearish market trend.

Rotten breadth participation outside of a handful of Big Tech names this year has historically indicated a topping market and approaching bear.

When we include the inverted Treasury yield curve since late 2022 and now rising crude oil prices into the economic mix, the odds of a recession are nearing 100%.
This post was edited on 10/23/23 at 2:35 pm
Posted by BourbonDad
Somewhere on the vol surface
Member since Sep 2016
208 posts
Posted on 10/23/23 at 3:15 pm to
Take out the top 7 names from S&P and it’s a similar chart. Once they give, nite nite.
Posted by biscuitsngravy
Tejas, north America
Member since Jan 2011
3780 posts
Posted on 10/24/23 at 10:55 pm to
Jay wants a recession.
Posted by Bard
Definitely NOT an admin
Member since Oct 2008
57977 posts
Posted on 10/25/23 at 5:59 am to
quote:

Jay wants a recession.


I don't think he has a choice. Ever since the COVID actions (shutdowns and shitloads of liquidity force-fed into the economy), there was always going to be some sort of market correction. The federal government's continued pursuit of high deficits while debt servicing skyrockets is what put JPow between a rock and a hard place.

I've said for a while now that we will be lucky to get out of this with just stagflation (due to the irresponsibility of the WH and Congress), I still stand by that.
Posted by Breesus
Unplug
Member since Jan 2010
69549 posts
Posted on 10/25/23 at 6:53 am to
So in a guaranteed recession what’s the best couple plays for your investments? VTSAX? Treasury Bonds? Savings Bonds? Gold and property? Cash, high yield savings accounts, and short term tbills until the crash and then reinvest after?
This post was edited on 10/25/23 at 6:56 am
Posted by HailToTheChiz
Back in Auburn
Member since Aug 2010
53794 posts
Posted on 10/25/23 at 8:06 am to
I'm beginning to believe we can't have a recession until the government quits saving individuals and businesses
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