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Ppi report is out

Posted on 3/13/25 at 8:49 am
Posted by HailHailtoMichigan!
Mission Viejo, CA
Member since Mar 2012
71357 posts
Posted on 3/13/25 at 8:49 am
Posted by Yaboylsu63
Member since Mar 2014
2113 posts
Posted on 3/13/25 at 8:55 am to
Are we expecting a lower CPI for next month?

Isn’t PPI a precursor metric?
Trying to remember my econ..
Posted by Bard
Definitely NOT an admin
Member since Oct 2008
55417 posts
Posted on 3/13/25 at 8:57 am to
quote:

Isn’t PPI a precursor metric?


It can be, but it's far from a 1:1 metric. At best, it gives a general idea of likely movement direction for CPI 30-60 days out.
Posted by BCreed1
Alabama
Member since Jan 2024
5088 posts
Posted on 3/13/25 at 9:36 am to
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
89380 posts
Posted on 3/13/25 at 9:52 am to
It’s a great print, but 2yr rates are basically unchanged and 10y rates are higher on the day. The stock and bond market hasn’t really reacted to it at all. Kind of strange IMO.
Posted by Bard
Definitely NOT an admin
Member since Oct 2008
55417 posts
Posted on 3/13/25 at 10:30 am to
quote:

It’s a great print, but 2yr rates are basically unchanged and 10y rates are higher on the day. The stock and bond market hasn’t really reacted to it at all. Kind of strange IMO.


Sounds like people are holding cash to hedge a little, hoping the inflation trend continues but worried about a recession. Maybe waiting to hear what JPow says next?
Posted by bigjoe1
Member since Jan 2024
795 posts
Posted on 3/13/25 at 11:00 am to
I think traders are just reacting to the tariff news.
Lot of damage has been done to market technical and it'll take a lot of time to get things sorted out.
Posted by Bard
Definitely NOT an admin
Member since Oct 2008
55417 posts
Posted on 3/13/25 at 12:36 pm to
quote:

Sounds like people are holding cash to hedge a little, hoping the inflation trend continues but worried about a recession. Maybe waiting to hear what JPow says next?


As an added point, gold just hit $3k/oz while crypto continues its nosedive. Gives me a little stronger belief that money is moving to established shelters.
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