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Mortgage escrow shortage question

Posted on 11/14/26 at 7:54 am
Posted by PJinAtl
Atlanta
Member since Nov 2007
15019 posts
Posted on 11/14/26 at 7:54 am
We just got our annual escrow analysis from our mortgage company and they've done something that I've never seen before.

Based on the analysis, they say we have a projected escrow shortage of $339.66. We can pay the lump sum or have it spread out over the next year. No big deal, I'm used to that.

But, for the next 12 months our monthly escrow payment (outside of the projected shortage) has dropped by $146.77. If there's a projected shortage, why are they reducing the monthly escrow inflow?

Am I missing something?
Posted by UltimaParadox
North Carolina
Member since Nov 2008
55425 posts
Posted on 11/14/26 at 8:06 am to
quote:

Am I missing something?


yeah makes little sense, did you have a shortage last year and the shortage is smaller?

ARM? Even then rates are expected to go up not down
Posted by PJinAtl
Atlanta
Member since Nov 2007
15019 posts
Posted on 11/14/26 at 8:22 am to
quote:

ARM? Even then rates are expected to go up not down

No, 30 year fixed rate. Bought the house in 2016.

quote:

did you have a shortage last year and the shortage is smaller?

Hadn't thought about that. I'd need to check, but I bet that's it.
Posted by Everyday Is Saturday
Member since Dec 2025
2992 posts
Posted on 11/14/26 at 11:34 am to
Insurance premium (different company) or change in Property taxes going forward?
Posted by Tiger Prawn
Member since Dec 2016
26975 posts
Posted on 11/14/26 at 2:31 pm to
You probably had a much bigger escrow shortage last year that they were making up over the previous 12 months. Now they caught up with that shortage and this year is still short, but not as bad as last year
Posted by PeteRose
Hall of Fame
Member since Aug 2014
18375 posts
Posted on 11/14/26 at 3:30 pm to
I wish I have your problem. My escrow has been short 1k every year since COVID. If I pay off my house tomorrow, I would still owe 700/month. That just doesn’t sound right.
Posted by lsuconnman
Baton rouge
Member since Feb 2007
5993 posts
Posted on 11/14/26 at 3:59 pm to
quote:

or change in Property taxes going forward?


Unless you were recently elected to public office, you can be certain your property taxes aren’t going down.
Posted by Everyday Is Saturday
Member since Dec 2025
2992 posts
Posted on 11/14/26 at 6:20 pm to
quote:

Unless you were recently elected to public office, you can be certain your property taxes aren’t going down.


Texas raised the homestead exemption limits 2025-26 and operation double nickel intends to do more.

It is (was) possible. But I do hear you.
Posted by LSUDAN1
Member since Oct 2010
11675 posts
Posted on 11/15/26 at 2:33 pm to
Once I got enough equity in my house, I cancelled my escrow and do it all myself. Just have to be disciplined and put the money away.
Posted by HarveyBanger
Member since Mar 2018
1297 posts
Posted on 11/15/26 at 3:07 pm to
Escrow math will drive you insane.
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