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LNG Bet — Ukraine Related

Posted on 1/25/22 at 7:38 pm
Posted by JudgeHolden
Gila River
Member since Jan 2008
18566 posts
Posted on 1/25/22 at 7:38 pm
If Putin cuts off gas to Ukraine, I think it will increase demand for US LNG in a sharp spike. How do I bet that?
Posted by aubie101
Russia
Member since Nov 2010
3090 posts
Posted on 1/25/22 at 7:55 pm to
Camber Energy is cheap gamble.. .63 cents a share.
Posted by Wallace Ritchie
Des Moines, Iowa
Member since Oct 2021
492 posts
Posted on 1/26/22 at 1:37 am to
I would look at an LNG carrier stock. They have to ship our LNG by ship to Europe and the carriers will do well if Putin cuts off supply.

Avoid Camber. Too many shares have diluted value and it doesn’t have good assets.
Posted by Upperdecker
St. George, LA
Member since Nov 2014
30574 posts
Posted on 1/26/22 at 5:31 am to
If you really wanted a Ukraine bet, you would have jumped into LMT calls on Monday like I did. Just broke out from a long term pattern and likely to keep climbing over $400 soon
Posted by BobRoss
Member since Jun 2014
1694 posts
Posted on 1/26/22 at 11:54 am to
Im just making a bet on UNG with calls..
Posted by frogtown
Member since Aug 2017
5011 posts
Posted on 1/26/22 at 3:24 pm to
The stock to be in is VET. Vermilion Energy. 50% of their revenue comes from Euro nat gas. They have nat gas wells in Ireland, France, Germany, and other smaller Euro countries. I believe the price of TTF(euro nat gas) is now around $20-$25 usd. It was $5 last year.

The other 50% of VET revenue comes from oil in Canada, US, and Austrailia.

VET will be printing money with record high euro nat gas prices and high oil prices. It is still pretty cheap even though they have had a decent run over the last year.
Posted by Texas Tea 123
Member since Sep 2017
207 posts
Posted on 1/26/22 at 3:33 pm to
The U.S. is already exporting LNG at max capacity, there is no volume upside just because prices are higher in Europe and Asia. There is a reason they're higher, because we can't export anymore.

European gas prices don't matter to domestic gas prices now, we have no ability to export more.

Further, vast majority of the gas is exported under contracted prices, i.e. no ability to capture the spread.

There are creative ways to play it, most have been sniffed out (who uses cheap U.S. gas to make things that are exported globally?)
This post was edited on 1/26/22 at 3:34 pm
Posted by BobRoss
Member since Jun 2014
1694 posts
Posted on 2/2/22 at 8:03 am to
Just shamelessly bumping this thread to rub it in the face of whoever downvoted me.
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