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Started By
Message
re: Is the bear market over?
Posted on 4/4/23 at 1:35 pm to Upperaltiger06
Posted on 4/4/23 at 1:35 pm to Upperaltiger06
No this bear market is gonna last the rest of our lives
0
Posted on 4/4/23 at 1:38 pm to I Love Bama
quote:
I know I am the biggest bear there is on money talk and I would love to be wrong about the state of our economy.
You should be the most bullish
You’re gonna be safe in a nice 3rd world country while the rest of us are in the fema camp
Posted on 4/4/23 at 3:20 pm to Upperaltiger06
no
Posted on 4/4/23 at 4:31 pm to I Love Bama
quote:
I am diversifying away from USD buying property in Venezuela
Posted on 4/4/23 at 5:18 pm to JohnnyKilroy
quote:
It’s pretty damn open. We will almost certainly set production records this year for domestic oil. We are drilling more than ever practically.
At least of January's numbers, we were still ~500k bpd behind pre-COVID numbers in crude production, so that's not too bad. The problem is we have lower refining capacity and are refining at a lower rate.
US Crude Production
Inputs to refineries
Refinery capacity utilization
Number and Capacity of US Petroleum Refineries
Posted on 4/4/23 at 8:50 pm to Bard
With price of oil going back up, gas is sure to follow and cost of logistics will rise, therefore cost of everything will rise and inflation will be back on the rise again.
Posted on 4/4/23 at 9:04 pm to Bard
quote:
At least of January's numbers, we were still ~500k bpd behind pre-COVID numbers in crude production,
2019 we averaged 12.3 m bpd. Projections are for 12.4 average this year.
Refining rate should improve in 2023 as there were a ton of major turnarounds across several refineries in 2022.
Posted on 4/5/23 at 7:18 am to Bard
quote:
One of the big signals the Fed is looking for to know when to pause/pivot on rate hikes is for Unemployment to start going up. Job creation has remained stubbornly strong so Unemployment has continued to remain low.
March job numbers are coming out right now. Expectation was around 200k, coming in at 145k. The market should take this as a good sign, but we'll see.
Posted on 4/5/23 at 10:17 am to Bard
ADP report is less reliable. Let's see what the BLS report on Friday shows.
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