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re: Heard on the news $4 a gallon gas again

Posted on 1/16/11 at 2:41 pm to
Posted by tigerpawl
Can't get there from here.
Member since Dec 2003
22345 posts
Posted on 1/16/11 at 2:41 pm to
OPEC - which includes the Esteemed Mr. Chavez and Saudi 911 Supporters - are sucking cash out of this country at a record clip.

Let the domestic drilling begin - tap new reserves and put people to work in the process and lower unemployment.

Can anybody give me a reasonable explanation of how gas/crude prices are almost double in a few months?

Posted by TH03
Mogadishu
Member since Dec 2008
171037 posts
Posted on 1/16/11 at 3:20 pm to
quote:

There isn't enough oil in the US to begin to cover our consumption.


Fail. Nice assumption though, but do some research. The Bakken in the Dakotas/Minnesota has enough oil, not to mention the up and coming Delaware Basin in West Texas.

LINK

quote:

EOG Resources out of Houston, Texas reported that a single well it had drilled into an oil-rich layer of shale below Parshall, North Dakota was anticipated to produce 700,000 barrels (111,000 m3) of oil.[13] This, combined with other factors, including an oil-drilling tax break enacted by the state of North Dakota in 2007,[14] shifted attention in the Bakken from Montana to the North Dakota side.[citation needed] The number of wells drilled in the North Dakota Bakken jumped from 300 in 2006[15] to 457 in 2007.[16] Those same sources show oil production in the North Dakota Bakken increasing 229%, from 2.2 million barrels (350,000 m3) in 2006 to 7.4 million barrels (1,180,000 m3) in 2007


And, with the increasing move to further utilize Natural Gas, the Haynesville, Bossier, Eagle Ford, and Marcellus Shales have more than enough natural gas to cover our consumption.
This post was edited on 1/16/11 at 3:22 pm
Posted by foshizzle
Washington DC metro
Member since Mar 2008
40599 posts
Posted on 1/16/11 at 6:19 pm to
quote:

We should be drilling everywhere in the US so we don't have to rely on outside countries for oil, most of whom don't like us and can raise the price on a whim.


Sorry, but there's a lot of fail here.

First off, we get along just fine with the countries we import oil from. The top nations are, in order, Canada, Mexico, Saudi Arabia, Venezuela and Nigeria. Note that we import about the same amount from the bottom four, and we get about twice as much from the number one source, Canada.

We get along great with Canada, Mexico, Saudi Arabia (the government, not the people), and Nigeria (same caveat). The only exception is Venezuela but Papa Chavez really needs to keep the oil spigot flowing if he wants to remain in power, he's there by virtue of oil revenues.

Bottom line, most of them like us just fine.

Secondly, they can't just "raise prices on a whim" and expect to make it permanent. We can get oil from elsewhere, nobody has a monopoly on the stuff.
Posted by cwill
Member since Jan 2005
54753 posts
Posted on 1/16/11 at 9:03 pm to
quote:

Fail. Nice assumption though, but do some research. The Bakken in the Dakotas/Minnesota has enough oil, not to mention the up and coming Delaware Basin in West Texas.


Fail. While the oil shales are significant and fantastic discoveries - they will not produce enough oil to cover US consumption. Do you realize just how tremendous US oil consumption really is? And just so you understand, I would like to drill everywhere and anywhere, however, I have no illusions that the US will ever be energy independent.

It's interesting that you would forget to mention the Eagle Ford, Niobrara and Utica shales - all oil, all very significant. The Eagle Ford has been called the 6th largest domestic oil "discovery" - it was there but the tech wasn't.
Posted by LSUtoOmaha
Nashville
Member since Apr 2004
26582 posts
Posted on 1/16/11 at 9:37 pm to
Hopefully it goes to $4 and oil goes to $150. I would give me the opportunity to short the crap out of some funds/stocks when people go into mass hysteria like they did 2-3 years ago.
Posted by TH03
Mogadishu
Member since Dec 2008
171037 posts
Posted on 1/17/11 at 8:42 am to
quote:

It's interesting that you would forget to mention the Eagle Ford, Niobrara and Utica shales - all oil, all very significant.


Yea, I've worked the Eagle Ford and Niobrara. Most companies in the Haynesville Shale (Chesapeake and Petrohawk to name a couple) are shifting most of their efforts towards the Eagle Ford and the Delaware Basin, with Petrohawk planning to be pretty much out of the Haynesville by 2012.

quote:

The Eagle Ford has been called the 6th largest domestic oil "discovery" - it was there but the tech wasn't.


Same with any shale, Haynesville, Marcellus, the technology, as well as the ridiculous cost to drill the vertical and then bring in the horizontal wasn't available until the past 5 or so years. Not to mention all the water needed for the fracs, which only brings the cost up higher. But until we utilize the abundance of natural gas in the NW LA area, drilling will continue to go down, as most companies already have plans to pull out of the Haynesville.


quote:

I have no illusions that the US will ever be energy independent.


It is possible, but not independent on Oil alone. The only thing I agree with Obama on is utilizing the domestic natural gas reservoirs thus preserving the new oil discoveries.
Posted by TigerDeBaiter
Member since Dec 2010
10267 posts
Posted on 1/21/11 at 1:14 pm to
Thought I would bump the thread with this.

Posted by BayouBengal
Member since Nov 2003
28275 posts
Posted on 1/21/11 at 1:26 pm to
Also gasoline doesn't have the same elasticity of demand like many other goods. No matter the price, there will be a large built in demand.
Posted by tiger91
In my own little world
Member since Nov 2005
36740 posts
Posted on 1/21/11 at 2:53 pm to
So we're getting jipped according to that graph. Up and down oil = stead rising gas = ugh.

It is what it is and I can bitch but it won't help.

Posted by tiger91
In my own little world
Member since Nov 2005
36740 posts
Posted on 1/21/11 at 2:53 pm to
quote:

Can anybody give me a reasonable explanation of how gas/crude prices are almost double in a few months?


I'd like to know/understand also.
Posted by justoneword
Member since Jan 2011
105 posts
Posted on 1/21/11 at 4:32 pm to
Greed.
Posted by TigerDeBaiter
Member since Dec 2010
10267 posts
Posted on 1/21/11 at 4:53 pm to
quote:

So we're getting jipped according to that graph. Up and down oil = stead rising gas = ugh.


Yeah, pretty much..
Posted by PointsInCase
Member since Dec 2009
698 posts
Posted on 1/21/11 at 4:59 pm to
quote:

So we're getting jipped according to that graph. Up and down oil = stead rising gas = ugh.
The price of crude is ONE of the factors that determines the price at the pump, albeit it is the largest contributor to price. Still, other factors must be considered, which is why the two lines do not move consistently.

Oil companies make bank because they have the most desired resource in the world that most cannot live without. Until this relatively inelastic demand changes, expect continued profits.
Posted by Weaver
Madisonville, LA
Member since Nov 2005
27723 posts
Posted on 1/21/11 at 10:28 pm to
So if we can drill for our own oil why don't we?
Posted by JWS3
Baton Rouge
Member since Jun 2008
2502 posts
Posted on 1/21/11 at 11:50 pm to
It is still cheaper to import crude than to drill in the U.S.
Posted by dlmast87
Amish Country
Member since Dec 2007
1941 posts
Posted on 1/22/11 at 8:21 am to
This graph is pretty misleading in my opinion. If you take the difference between the high point (1/3) 91.98 and the low point (1/21) 88.50 it's only a difference of about $.08 per gallon of oil. Hardly enough movement to show large decreases in gas prices.
Posted by Jabberwocky
tumtum tree
Member since Sep 2007
6923 posts
Posted on 1/22/11 at 8:39 am to
quote:

I'd like to know/understand also


every year this happens. the prices get higher when it starts to get really cold, bc people are using it to heat their homes. they make a shitload of money, then give us a break for a few months. as soon as summer starts, prices go back up bc people are using it to fill their cars and go on vacation. stays high for a few months, they make a ton of money, then we get a little break again. gets cold, prices go up.

eta, i'm no money expert...just my litte opinion
This post was edited on 1/22/11 at 8:41 am
Posted by cwill
Member since Jan 2005
54753 posts
Posted on 1/22/11 at 3:27 pm to
quote:

So if we can drill for our own oil why don't we?


What makes you think we aren't?
Posted by Zach
Gizmonic Institute
Member since May 2005
112578 posts
Posted on 1/22/11 at 3:45 pm to
Gas prices will go up as long as Obama is President. He sees it as a means of forcing us into alts. It's what leftists do.
Posted by BrandNew
Member since Aug 2010
330 posts
Posted on 1/22/11 at 3:59 pm to
quote:

Gas prices will go up as long as Obama is President. He sees it as a means of forcing us into alts. It's what leftists do.


You're a retard. Keep your crappy, irrelevant comments on the Politard Board.

One of the reasons crude and gas prices do not move in tandem is because not all crude is processed into gas immediately. You have to factor in refineries, which undergo maintenance or have problems, reducing gas production and increasing prices. That's not to say companies have some incentive to reduce supply and increase prices at opportune times.
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