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For those that work for public companies
Posted on 10/31/20 at 3:16 pm
Posted on 10/31/20 at 3:16 pm
Are you able to project how the market will react to earnings releases for your company? I’m on our blackout list but I honestly never know how the stock will respond even with “inside” information.
3
Posted on 10/31/20 at 3:30 pm to lynxcat
Nope, never on earnings. Seems like I'm always surprised by the movement and when I get movement right, I'm still surprised by the magnitude.
quote:this however, I've been able to "predict" mainly because it's obvious...e.g: mergers, management changes and other big announcements.
but I honestly never know how the stock will respond even with
Posted on 10/31/20 at 5:30 pm to lynxcat
No it never makes sense to me. Analysts talk to CFO during the quarter. Analysts also subscribe to different analytics services for the industry so they have a pulse of what’s going on. I find it most interesting how they sell the story on the calls versus knowing internal story.
Posted on 10/31/20 at 5:36 pm to kaaj24
quote:
I find it most interesting how they sell the story on the calls versus knowing internal story.
Yeah I've definitely had a few "yeah that's not exactly what happened" moments during earnings calls.
Posted on 10/31/20 at 5:39 pm to castorinho
not surprising
I’d have some seriously creative explaining to do if I had to do an “earnings call” on my company
quarter by quarter just doesn’t work for smaller companies.
it’s dumb to place too much emphasis on that
I’d have some seriously creative explaining to do if I had to do an “earnings call” on my company
quarter by quarter just doesn’t work for smaller companies.
it’s dumb to place too much emphasis on that
Posted on 10/31/20 at 9:43 pm to kaaj24
I’ve found the stock generally goes the opposite of what I expected on earnings release. Over time, the direction aligns with my expectations but the volatility on earnings is ludicrous.
Also, the opening remarks shouldn’t be required. The report is published and so is the press release. Get to the point everyone is there for...analyst trying to poke holes with an executive team.
Also, the opening remarks shouldn’t be required. The report is published and so is the press release. Get to the point everyone is there for...analyst trying to poke holes with an executive team.
Posted on 11/2/20 at 10:26 am to lynxcat
quote:
Are you able to project how the market will react to earnings releases for your company?
When I did consulting, my public clients usually didn't move the needle on earnings much unless it was a big surprise announcement. The thing is management is always adjusting earnings targets, the last thing they want is for the street to be surprised.
Over the long haul, I definitely could have benefited from trading the stock. Insider trading is illegal for a reason, it works.
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