Started By
Message

re: For all those poorly misguided do-it-yourselfers

Posted on 2/13/09 at 11:52 am to
Posted by igoringa
South Mississippi
Member since Jun 2007
12377 posts
Posted on 2/13/09 at 11:52 am to
quote:

Collateralized Debt Obligation
Credit Default Swap
Asset Backed Security
Tranche
Securitize
Monoline Insurer


Somewhere there is a laptop on a kitchen table opening up google as we speak
Posted by amsterdam
In His Word
Member since Jul 2008
1036 posts
Posted on 2/13/09 at 11:53 am to
quote:

This particular DIYer beat the market by 45% in his retirement accounts and by over 200% in his taxable account. How would your picks have done for me last year?


I call B.S., and even if you did it thru equities you will not sustain that rate.
Posted by Cold Cous Cous
Bucktown, La.
Member since Oct 2003
15360 posts
Posted on 2/13/09 at 11:54 am to
I'd be honored to. W/r/t your first link, you claim :

quote:

If you think that DIY strategy for investing works, then check out the morning star report about the actual dollar weighted return of individual investors versus the actual rate of return of a mutual fund:

In reality, that article's headline reads "Another Reason Why Chasing Past Performance Is Bad" which is basically all amsterdam does. Moreover, the basic thesis of the article is that if "investors waited until the fund performed well before buying in, and then sold their shares when the price was lagging, then their dollar-weighted returns would be lower than the time-weighted return."

So, in other words, if you buy at the highest point and sell at the lowest point, you'll lose money. My God! Why didn't the guys at motley fool warn me about that!

Of course, it's doubly ironic considering that guys like you and amsterdam were screaming "buy buy buy" in late '07 and early '08, when the Col. and JT were recommending going into cash equivalents. In other words, it was you guys who wanted to buy at the highest points.
Posted by Y.A. Tittle
Member since Sep 2003
110807 posts
Posted on 2/13/09 at 11:57 am to
quote:

This particular DIYer beat the market by 45% in his retirement accounts and by over 200% in his taxable account. How would your picks have done for me last year?


Where'd this come from?

quote:

I call B.S., and even if you did it thru equities you will not sustain that rate.


Without commenting on the possible veracity of the statement, if someone's really done that in this market, why would you say such a thing and, I suppose, why would it even matter if he couldn't "sustain" it? He's obviously done something right, regardless. Or, do you assume it was just blind luck, if true?
Posted by igoringa
South Mississippi
Member since Jun 2007
12377 posts
Posted on 2/13/09 at 11:58 am to
quote:

I call B.S., and even if you did it thru equities you will not sustain that rate.


What you dont think he will sustain 200% a year.

Any other brainbusters for us?
Posted by Ric Flair
Charlotte
Member since Oct 2005
13874 posts
Posted on 2/13/09 at 11:58 am to
I used Growth Fund of America because that seems to be the one that most "investment managers" recommend (I'm guessing they get a kickback from the front end load on American funds).

Posted by MileHigh
Most likely a mile high
Member since Jan 2004
7920 posts
Posted on 2/13/09 at 12:00 pm to
quote:


I call B.S., and even if you did it thru equities you will not sustain that rate.

I will vouch for him. He pulled in some serious jack last year, but it was a very risky profile. Playing with options and what not.

And he has stated multiple times that he expects to earn 20% on his risky assets.
Posted by Cash
Vail
Member since Feb 2005
37628 posts
Posted on 2/13/09 at 12:01 pm to
quote:

Jersey is a big fan of Motley Fool, but I prefer Mad Money. We are constantly having this argument.


Posted by wampawampa
Member since Feb 2009
8 posts
Posted on 2/13/09 at 12:01 pm to
First it is always a good time to buy...

Second not Ed Jones...

Third, can't post CV, too many people would know who I am.

Fourth, five years is only significant if you bought it then, but not to exam a money management style over a complete market cycle.

Fifth, what the morning star points out is how YOU the investor actually have your returns diminshed by your own time. It is the actual average returns during that time frime, not just the best and worst cherry picked.

Sixth, past performance does not dictate future. that just means since it averaged 10% in the past I cannot say it will in the future. But I can see how the management philosophy and metrics faired in in specific conditions.

Seventh, COL again a one year return is utterly and completely useless. If you put your money in a 5% cd you beat the market last year, but you will not over the long run. Its like going to a casino and saying you won 2 grand by betting on black. Keep going back to the well and you will get burned by probability. congrats on a solid year though.
Posted by amsterdam
In His Word
Member since Jul 2008
1036 posts
Posted on 2/13/09 at 12:02 pm to
quote:

I do enjoy the irony of you posting a blog talking about how chasing past performance is bad, while your little apprentice spent pages using such past performance to support his bogus thesis. Carry on, I love the entertainment... hopefully you are a real estate agent too


Thats cute, apprentice huh? FYI Ive been in the business longer than him. Dont get mad that I unleashed the beast. I told him how much fun I was having on this board and he had to join.

I told him that there were guys on here that were salesmen, engineers, college students, and the like who call you an idiot all day long. Some have even been doing it for a whole year now.

Forget the fact that we do this every single day, and can practically back up what we say thru real life experiences, you guys have read a few books and blogs and have really cool theories.

To give pause to the bash fest, I hope you guys welcome him to the board like you did me. He is much better at debating an issue anyway.
Posted by dawgorama
Member since Jun 2004
14690 posts
Posted on 2/13/09 at 12:04 pm to
quote:

If you put your money in a 5% cd you beat the market last year, but you will not over the long run.


This is as useless a statement as there has ever been. What is the "long run"?
Posted by igoringa
South Mississippi
Member since Jun 2007
12377 posts
Posted on 2/13/09 at 12:04 pm to
quote:

Seventh, COL again a one year return is utterly and completely useless. If you put your money in a 5% cd you beat the market last year, but you will not over the long run. Its like going to a casino and saying you won 2 grand by betting on black. Keep going back to the well and you will get burned by probability. congrats on a solid year though.


So an individual picking himself cant win, but an individual who charges others to invest in his fund can.... is that your hypothesis... it is the receipt of paymnet that magically allows an individual to make appropriate long term selections and institute a successful strategy?
Posted by Ric Flair
Charlotte
Member since Oct 2005
13874 posts
Posted on 2/13/09 at 12:04 pm to
quote:

First it is always a good time to buy...


Stopped reading after this statement.
Posted by MileHigh
Most likely a mile high
Member since Jan 2004
7920 posts
Posted on 2/13/09 at 12:04 pm to
quote:


I told him that there were guys on here that were salesmen, engineers, college students, and the like who call you an idiot all day long. Some have even been doing it for a whole year now.

You don't know what JT does for living do you?

eta: I work in fast food, which you conveniently omitted.
This post was edited on 2/13/09 at 12:06 pm
Posted by Colonel Hapablap
Mostly Harmless
Member since Nov 2003
28791 posts
Posted on 2/13/09 at 12:05 pm to
quote:

COL again a one year return is utterly and completely useless.

only if its not your money.

ETA: and I would point out that knowing when to be in that CD and when to be in the market is the epitome of what you're saying is impossible.
This post was edited on 2/13/09 at 12:06 pm
Posted by Y.A. Tittle
Member since Sep 2003
110807 posts
Posted on 2/13/09 at 12:06 pm to
quote:

You don't know what JT does for living do you?


Posted by Cash
Vail
Member since Feb 2005
37628 posts
Posted on 2/13/09 at 12:06 pm to
quote:

First it is always a good time to buy...




Stopped reading after this statement.


There's always a bull market somewhere!!! Booyah!
Posted by igoringa
South Mississippi
Member since Jun 2007
12377 posts
Posted on 2/13/09 at 12:07 pm to
quote:

Thats cute, apprentice huh? FYI Ive been in the business longer than him. Dont get mad that I unleashed the beast.


Yet you had to go to him for information to debate. Hmmm dont worry we cant all be as successful and knowledgable as others.

quote:

Forget the fact that we do this every single day, and can practically back up what we say thru real life experiences,


ie anectdotal evidence. Very impressive.

quote:

you guys have read a few books and blogs and have really cool theories.


Yes we all know we cant match the almighty spoon fed rhetoric (now atleast we know who is holding the spoon).

quote:

He is much better at debating an issue anyway.



Now dont set that bar too high
Posted by Colonel Hapablap
Mostly Harmless
Member since Nov 2003
28791 posts
Posted on 2/13/09 at 12:07 pm to
I am very close to posting my trading record for 2008.
Posted by igoringa
South Mississippi
Member since Jun 2007
12377 posts
Posted on 2/13/09 at 12:08 pm to
My profession was omitted (business finance/cpa)... i feel so left out.
first pageprev pagePage 2 of 9Next pagelast page

Back to top
logoFollow TigerDroppings for LSU Football News
Follow us on X, Facebook and Instagram to get the latest updates on LSU Football and Recruiting.

FacebookXInstagram