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re: Follow me on a trade, or don't, GOOGL

Posted on 8/26/22 at 9:31 am to
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
91362 posts
Posted on 8/26/22 at 9:31 am to
quote:

frick this. The markets open. Good fricking luck.


Posted by jerryc436
Franklin
Member since Jan 2014
589 posts
Posted on 8/26/22 at 10:20 am to
I have a core position and added to it at 111.67 this morning. It is a long term hold and I believe it will be up in the next few years.
Posted by FLObserver
Jacksonville
Member since Nov 2005
15852 posts
Posted on 8/26/22 at 10:31 am to
Guess the run up on Google today is not happening
Posted by go ta hell ole miss
Member since Jan 2007
14572 posts
Posted on 8/26/22 at 12:22 pm to
quote:

Your reading comprehension sucks. I didn’t say technical analysis has no value. I do look at technicals but it looks like that’s all he was looking at in his OP.


No, it doesn’t. You can trade and make money solely off technicals with no analysis of fundamentals. Your understanding technicals and the significance to trading sucks. It’s good that you don’t think you can make money that way, though.
Posted by Realityintheface
Member since May 2022
1784 posts
Posted on 8/26/22 at 2:24 pm to
Just checking in on my technical analysis gurus with whatever this google trade was.

Google down 5%. Hmmmmm

If you can consistently make money off of technicals, you would be richer than Musk. It is a tool but you will not make money consistently with just technicals. Your statements are false and will cause people to lose money. There is no magical technical analysis or strategy that provides consistent returns. Sure you win sometimes but not consistently over years. You advocate gambling and not investing.
Posted by go ta hell ole miss
Member since Jan 2007
14572 posts
Posted on 8/26/22 at 2:40 pm to
quote:

You advocate gambling and not investing.


I do not advocate it at all. People like you should absolutely, 100%, not trade on technicals. Trading is not investing. Your combing the two further confirms my point which we agree on, you should not be trading on technicals. You telling someone else (like the OP) that is capable of reading and trading on technicals that they cannot make money doing it is wrong.

We can agree on the fact you should not be trading on technicals. We’ll just have to disagree on whether anyone can trade on technicals.

And, a 5% move based on Powell’s statements about inflation doesn’t make you right at all. Most people I communicate with expected today to be a bloodbath. Powell completely missed the mark on inflation being transitory and now he is going to overshoot on rates and QT is going to double in September. I have 3800 strike puts on the S&P based solely on technicals, which you say cannot be traded, for these very reasons.

GOOG is likely to go to $105s, and then bounce. And it will have nothing to do with fundamentals.
This post was edited on 8/26/22 at 2:54 pm
Posted by Realityintheface
Member since May 2022
1784 posts
Posted on 8/26/22 at 2:52 pm to
Trading on 100% technicals is a losing strategy. Fact. People that tell you all you need is technical analysis to be successful are selling books, seminars, or youtube clicks.

If you are not investing in the market, you are gambling in the market. 100% technical analysis is gambling.
Posted by go ta hell ole miss
Member since Jan 2007
14572 posts
Posted on 8/26/22 at 3:00 pm to
quote:

People that tell you all you need is technical analysis to be successful


We’ll see. I just put my technicals on the line for GOOG with less than two minute technical review. I have zero clue about their fundamentals, but expect a bounce off the 105s.One of us will be wrong.
This post was edited on 8/26/22 at 3:02 pm
Posted by Realityintheface
Member since May 2022
1784 posts
Posted on 8/26/22 at 4:00 pm to
To thatguy777 and anyone else reading this thread, I give you the thoughts of Warren Buffett:

But Buffett discovered one small problem. Technical analysis didn't work. He explained, "I realized that technical analysis didn't work when I turned the chart upside down and didn't get a different answer."
After eight years of trying, he concluded that it was the wrong way to invest. Then he focused on the teachings of Ben Graham, which stressed business fundamentals, finding a strategy that both made sense and, more importantly, worked."

Who are you going to listen to? Warren Buffett, one of the top 10 richest people in the world worth over 100 billion dollars that advocates fundamental analysis or the clown I’m arguing with?

100% technical investing is a fools errand. Multiple studies have shown technical analysis is a drag on performance. Any studies that support technical analysis cheery pick time lines in order to sell books/seminars/subscriptions/click.

You are gambling. You will win a few times or maybe even a hot streak in blackjack, but consistently over time you will loose.

Throw that technical analysis book away and get some fundamental ones.

Case closed.
Posted by j1897
Member since Nov 2011
4315 posts
Posted on 8/26/22 at 5:03 pm to
quote:

If you can consistently make money off of technicals


If you do bullish plays only, over the long term, you will make a ton of money using technicals.


Not because they mean anything, but because the market generally always goes up. Find me a technician that only shorts stocks, and i'll change my mind.
Posted by thatguy777
br
Member since Feb 2007
2506 posts
Posted on 8/26/22 at 5:57 pm to
You’re being irrational for someone that’s supposedly traded for 30 years. All of the major indices were down 3+% today. Obviously, yea it didn’t work out.

And for the 2nd time in this thread I’ve told you it wasn’t a pure technical trade. I’m still in this and down, I’m sure that makes you happy. You seem to have some issues
This post was edited on 8/26/22 at 6:03 pm
Posted by UncleLester
West of the Mississippi
Member since Aug 2008
9127 posts
Posted on 8/27/22 at 2:56 am to
If you liked $GOOG at $117, do you now love it at $111?

If so, I am in.
Posted by UncleLester
West of the Mississippi
Member since Aug 2008
9127 posts
Posted on 9/13/22 at 11:09 am to
Do we like $GOOG better at $106?
Posted by fallguy_1978
Best States #50
Member since Feb 2018
53118 posts
Posted on 9/13/22 at 12:54 pm to
I do if your timeline is long. Tech might also go lower. Buy half now if you want to jump in or at least that's what I'd do.
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