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re: Dont let today's fools gold fool you.
Posted on 9/8/11 at 2:10 pm to kfizzle85
Posted on 9/8/11 at 2:10 pm to kfizzle85
quote:
I would be surprised if they don't have extremely similar number of carries, namely, half as many as a RB who is a primary starter
Maybe at the start of the season, but one will get hot or one will get hurt. I'm betting that one finishes with 50% greater points than the other.
Posted on 9/8/11 at 3:54 pm to kfizzle85
Doubting Mark Ingram's greatness will get you nowhere mr fizzle. As an lsu fan, I would expect you to understand that by now.
Posted on 9/8/11 at 4:22 pm to John Merlyn
I didn't doubt his greatness, I doubted the rationality of putting two running backs from the same team on your fantasy team.
Posted on 9/8/11 at 4:29 pm to kfizzle85
I agree with that to a point. Some draft guru's advocate taking the backup to an elite back in the final round or two.
Posted on 9/8/11 at 5:10 pm to John Merlyn
I drafted 7 RBs this year.
Posted on 9/9/11 at 8:52 am to kfizzle85
quote:
His numbers have been 800, 1000, 1100 on the low end and 1180, 1220 and ~1350 on the high end. The only mark he has gotten right is that we would surpass 1180. The only other two that are within his post achieving margin of error are 1220 and 1100. We surpassed the high he said we would not pass in may in July. So please forgive me for questioning how right he was. To be clear, I do not know where we are headed. The only prediction I agree with so far was posted by Chad.
Dont bunch all those numbers up to make it look like im all over the place.
You are taking that way out of context.
800 does not even come into play until after we get to close to the 1000 level.
At that point we will find out if 800 is the next destination.
It is very possible that once 1000 comes along my buddy may have new info that cant be known right now but will be known once 1000 comes along if 800 will be the new target.
It is possible that we will call the bottom once that time comes.
I wish I knew this stuff as well as him.
Like I have said before, im trying to learn, but im learning everyday I will never be as talented at this as him.
About the only thing that 1000 hours of learning options has taught me is that this subject is much deeper and complex then I could ever imagine.
If anyone reading this ever just got the chance to talk to this guy you would know that he knows what he is doing.
This is far from a small timer with a trading account.
This guy could probably buy the Saints if he wanted to.
Anyway, without the ability to get too technical the important thing to know is to stay short right now.
There will still be some really up and down days in the near future.
But my buddy is predicting a HUGE down day in the -700 range.
I dont know the exact day this is going to happen but he seems pretty sure of that.
He does not expect any of this to be the end of the world, he honestly believes a great bull market is going to start after all this mess shakes out.
When it does, I will be well positioned to take advantage.
And for Mark Ingram.
My technical evaluation of him is he will have at least 8453 yards rushing in his career. But once he hits 8452 his new number could change to as high as 14441. I will not know if 14441 can be reached until he gets to 8453.
Im very bullish on Ingram. Im going long on Ingram in all my fantasy leagues, and I would advise all reading this to do the same.
And that one is straight from me.
This post was edited on 9/9/11 at 8:56 am
Posted on 9/9/11 at 9:02 am to Baylor
You're embarrassing yourself, fwiw.
Posted on 9/9/11 at 9:40 am to Baylor
quote:
800 does not even come into play until after we get to close to the 1000 level.
Really?
quote:
Dont bunch all those numbers up to make it look like im all over the place.
You are not all over the place. You are a bear who put very precise numbers out to be judged on. Your problem is you get very defense when I started judging you. I don't think your buddy is wrong in the direction of the market. I just think your bet on his precision is foolish.
Posted on 9/9/11 at 10:05 am to C
Im not a bear. I hate being short.
Cant wait for the day when I can go long.
He is not a bear either.
He is long more often then he is short.
Enjoyed a great ride from march 09 to may 11
I enjoyed that much more then what I am doing now.
Cant wait for the day when I can go long.
He is not a bear either.
He is long more often then he is short.
Enjoyed a great ride from march 09 to may 11
I enjoyed that much more then what I am doing now.
Posted on 9/9/11 at 10:08 am to C
quote:
You are not all over the place. You are a bear who put very precise numbers out to be judged on. Your problem is you get very defense when I started judging you. I don't think your buddy is wrong in the direction of the market. I just think your bet on his precision is foolish.
You could be 100% correct.
Although the precision that I believe in is not necessary for me to come out way ahead.
Im not looking to profit from every dip or rally in the market.
Just want to be in when its on the uptrend and out when its on the downtrend.
Posted on 9/9/11 at 10:11 am to LSURussian
quote:
You're embarrassing yourself, fwiw.
You and your one sentence statements with absolutely nothing to back them up.
I have read about 1000 of those from you.
What I found pretty embarrassing was when I told you we would hit 1100 before hitting 1400 when the S&P was almost 1370.
Less then 2 months later we hit 1101 and have not been near 1400 since.
Posted on 9/9/11 at 10:14 am to Baylor
Hey Baylor, why is your irrelevant university trying to prevent A&M to the SEC?
As for your predictions......

As for your predictions......
Posted on 9/9/11 at 10:39 am to Baylor
quote:Why are you embarrassed about that? I'm referring to your constantly trying to defend your incorrect predictions.
What I found pretty embarrassing was when I told you we would hit 1100 before hitting 1400 when the S&P was almost 1370.
Less then 2 months later we hit 1101 and have not been near 1400 since.
You're making it look personal like you have something to prove. You don't. The market screws with everyone, even experienced investors.
If you make enough predictions, some of them are likely to come true. That is your situation summed up.
You said we could call you an idiot if you were wrong about one of your predictions. I didn't call you an idiot because no one knows what the market is going to do.
Posted on 9/9/11 at 11:32 am to Baylor
quote:
Im not a bear. I hate being short.
You are not short while sitting in cash, you're neutral. Being in fixed income would have made you some jack since you started the prognostications.
Posted on 9/9/11 at 12:09 pm to Baylor
quote:
Im not a bear.
A bear market is a general decline in the stock market over a period of time. So how are you not a bear with your predictions?
Posted on 9/9/11 at 12:19 pm to Baylor
quote:
What I found pretty embarrassing
Posted on 8/8/11 at 11:19 p.m.
quote:
We WILL see 1100 tomorrow,and 1000 very soon.
We've closed higher every day since you posted this.
Posted on 9/12/11 at 8:45 am to C
quote:
A bear market is a general decline in the stock market over a period of time. So how are you not a bear with your predictions?
What I meant was im not a perma-bear.
There are people in this world who think the sky is falling 24 hours a day/365 days a year.
I am bearish at the moment, but this is not a reflection of me by proxy of my friend at all times.
There are people that are always bullish no matter what. If you dont believe that just tune in to CNBS for about 5 mins.
My buddy is very balanced. He has proven to be able to be both bullish and bearish depending on the situation.
A LOT of traders(if not most)cant make money both ways. Most are either permabear or permabull
This post was edited on 9/12/11 at 9:10 am
Posted on 9/12/11 at 9:08 am to Baylor
What I do know is I got out at 1360 something which I posted on this forum back when I got out.
The high for the year I think is 1371.
Once again.
When you are calling a top you dont literally have to be 100% correct on the exact day people.
It dont really matter if you are 20 or even 50 points off.
The greatest market timers in the world cant pinpoint to the exact day.
And the few examples of that happening was nothing more then pure luck.
You have to look at the whole picture.
quit looking at exact numbers.
That like trying to predict an exact score of a football game.
I bet you I could ask the next 100 people in this thread to predict the exact score of LSU's football game next week, and all 100 of you would be wrong.
But im sure there will be a few smart people that get pretty close to the real score.
Thats what matters.
I got out at 1360 something the market has gone down over 200 points since then.
Thats what matters. I have already saved over 200 points on the downside.
Thats huge. Thats what matters.
The high for the year I think is 1371.
Once again.
When you are calling a top you dont literally have to be 100% correct on the exact day people.
It dont really matter if you are 20 or even 50 points off.
The greatest market timers in the world cant pinpoint to the exact day.
And the few examples of that happening was nothing more then pure luck.
You have to look at the whole picture.
quit looking at exact numbers.
That like trying to predict an exact score of a football game.
I bet you I could ask the next 100 people in this thread to predict the exact score of LSU's football game next week, and all 100 of you would be wrong.
But im sure there will be a few smart people that get pretty close to the real score.
Thats what matters.
I got out at 1360 something the market has gone down over 200 points since then.
Thats what matters. I have already saved over 200 points on the downside.
Thats huge. Thats what matters.
Posted on 9/12/11 at 9:18 am to Baylor
You're trying too hard to impress other posters.
Your friend's predictions have been correct and incorrect.
Just like most stock market predictions are.....
Your friend's predictions have been correct and incorrect.
Just like most stock market predictions are.....
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