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re: Discussion of Fed Liquidity’s Impact on Equity Markets

Posted on 4/5/21 at 1:17 pm to
Posted by RedStickBR
Member since Sep 2009
14577 posts
Posted on 4/5/21 at 1:17 pm to
Agree, so many good podcasts out there right now. I’m tempted to subscribe to a few of their newsletters, in addition to my Grant Williams sub.

Will check out the Lacy Hunt interview and, yes, Rosenberg is convincing. I love him. That’s the subscription I’m eyeing most.
Posted by wutangfinancial
Treasure Valley
Member since Sep 2015
11959 posts
Posted on 4/5/21 at 1:24 pm to
So how much was the grant williams subscription. I miss the end game so freaking much but at the time I looked they only had expensive subs.
Posted by RedStickBR
Member since Sep 2009
14577 posts
Posted on 4/5/21 at 1:26 pm to
A few hundred or so. Want to say all in was about $400.
Posted by wutangfinancial
Treasure Valley
Member since Sep 2015
11959 posts
Posted on 4/5/21 at 1:58 pm to
Does he have proprietary research? Or is it just his interviews?
Posted by RedStickBR
Member since Sep 2009
14577 posts
Posted on 4/5/21 at 3:58 pm to
It’s his podcasts and his newsletters that he publishes about once a month. The newsletters have a bunch of good macro / geopolitical research.
Posted by wutangfinancial
Treasure Valley
Member since Sep 2015
11959 posts
Posted on 4/5/21 at 8:39 pm to
Man I wish Logica did that so we could know what their money flows models are saying
Posted by RedStickBR
Member since Sep 2009
14577 posts
Posted on 4/5/21 at 9:10 pm to
I think their minimum investment is $1mm, so it’s not impossible
Posted by wutangfinancial
Treasure Valley
Member since Sep 2015
11959 posts
Posted on 4/5/21 at 9:14 pm to
Would be worth it just for the access if you had the money to blow
Posted by wutangfinancial
Treasure Valley
Member since Sep 2015
11959 posts
Posted on 4/6/21 at 6:11 pm to
Damn Mikey has Chris Cole on. More macro porn
Posted by RedStickBR
Member since Sep 2009
14577 posts
Posted on 4/6/21 at 8:52 pm to
On Real Vision?
Posted by wutangfinancial
Treasure Valley
Member since Sep 2015
11959 posts
Posted on 4/6/21 at 9:29 pm to
Yes, sir. They're throwing down crazy data trends in vol across asset classes. I haven't finished it yet.
Posted by RedStickBR
Member since Sep 2009
14577 posts
Posted on 4/11/21 at 7:49 am to
Hoisington’s latest:

LINK
Posted by RedStickBR
Member since Sep 2009
14577 posts
Posted on 4/11/21 at 9:39 pm to
Where is the Green/Cole podcast? Not seeing it on RV
Posted by wutangfinancial
Treasure Valley
Member since Sep 2015
11959 posts
Posted on 4/12/21 at 11:15 am to
Posted by RedStickBR
Member since Sep 2009
14577 posts
Posted on 4/12/21 at 3:51 pm to
Thanks
Posted by wutangfinancial
Treasure Valley
Member since Sep 2015
11959 posts
Posted on 4/22/21 at 8:50 am to
Bonds look like they're ready to go again
Posted by RedStickBR
Member since Sep 2009
14577 posts
Posted on 4/22/21 at 10:18 am to
I think you’re right. You’ve got the dollar trying to form a base as well.
Posted by CorkRockingham
Member since Jun 2017
502 posts
Posted on 4/22/21 at 10:32 am to
I’m scared that we are doomed for deflation to continue.

I know their is pain on either side but shouldn’t we all be hoping for inflation to come back and retain a stable level. Really what I mean is, since the debate on inflation muddies the water, should we hope for the 10y to go back to a sustainable level such as 5%.

When I think about the scenarios that play out if we don’t and stay in a deflationary environment is that we will continue to see the decline of lower and middle classes standard of living with exacerbating wealth inequality.

Thoughts?
Posted by wutangfinancial
Treasure Valley
Member since Sep 2015
11959 posts
Posted on 4/22/21 at 12:22 pm to
quote:

I know their is pain on either side but shouldn’t we all be hoping for inflation to come back and retain a stable level. Really what I mean is, since the debate on inflation muddies the water, should we hope for the 10y to go back to a sustainable level such as 5%.



The answer is yes. However, we probably would blow the bond market up if rates jumped that high

quote:

When I think about the scenarios that play out if we don’t and stay in a deflationary environment is that we will continue to see the decline of lower and middle classes standard of living with exacerbating wealth inequality.



Correct. We have the Fed and Treasury saying they are going to do more of the same - target low unemployment and stable prices. This means whatever was happening pre-covid that was an issue will increase at a higer rate. Low rates, inflated asset prices, the wealth affect driving consumption and increasing leverage. Also the Fed fear mongering about inflation is a complete joke. The last infrastructure bill pretty much guaranteed a disinflationary envrironment. We aren't getting most of these people back in the labor force until you pull those benefits back.
Posted by rocket31
Member since Jan 2008
41887 posts
Posted on 4/22/21 at 12:31 pm to
quote:

We aren't getting most of these people back in the labor force until you pull those benefits back.


yeah going to be very interesting how this all evolves.

wondering if they will cut people off cold turkey or taper
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