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Can someone school me on FICO?

Posted on 9/21/26 at 9:28 pm
Posted by bayoubengals88
LA
Member since Sep 2007
26206 posts
Posted on 9/21/26 at 9:28 pm
Stock is down 53% ytd.
Monopoly over?
Housing down?
Is the sell off over done or is this a classic value trap?

The only moving average left is the 200 day on the monthly chart…all the way down to $446

Stock is $924 now trading at 17.5 forward P/E and still growing at a good clip…a stunning 24% YoY.
Posted by TorchtheFlyingTiger
1st coast
Member since Jan 2008
3391 posts
Posted on 9/22/26 at 6:23 am to
I heard about this on CNBC last week. They've aggressively increased
prices leading some customers to seek other methods.

2023: FICO implemented a steep tier-based structure ranging from $0.60 to $2.75 per score (spiking costs up to 400% for some).
2024: FICO shifted to a fixed royalty of $3.50 per score after receiving heavy industry pushback.
2025: FICO raised the price further to $4.95 per score.
2026: FICO doubled prices again up to $10.00 for certain traditional mortgage reporting channels while introducing direct-licensing alternatives
This post was edited on 9/22/26 at 6:24 am
Posted by TorchtheFlyingTiger
1st coast
Member since Jan 2008
3391 posts
Posted on 9/22/26 at 6:33 am to
Meanwhile,
quote:

The Federal Housing Finance Agency has shaken up Fair Isaac (FICO) by allowing Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac to accept VantageScore 4.0, ending FICO's exclusive role in government backed mortgage credit scoring.
finance.yahoo.com

Same link further down has article with more bullish take: "FICO Stock Has Fallen 43% From Its Peak. Does the Selloff Make Sense?"
quote:

The Business Kept Growing While the Stock Fell

The economics of FICO's model are genuinely unusual, and understanding them is what makes the 2026 selloff so interesting. An 85% gross margin means almost every revenue dollar above the marginal cost of delivering a score flows straight through to gross profit.

This post was edited on 9/22/26 at 6:39 am
Posted by Penn
Jax Beach
Member since Jan 2008
23719 posts
Posted on 9/22/26 at 6:40 am to
In the biz, know you enough

Don’t
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