re: call your shot(s); winners for 2026

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PATH still sucks, -35% YTD

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PATH is giving me PLTR 2022-early 2023 vibes. Almost 2 years at the low, then takeoff. Earnings this Thursday after hours.

Please excuse my jumping in here…

It’s simply a dilution story and will continue to be that way.
You may get the occasional pop, but that’s not a thesis in my book.

FINANCIAL OVERVIEW
RECENT PERFORMANCE (2024–2026)
Richtech Robotics has experienced persistent cash burn, with operating losses far exceeding its revenue base. In fiscal year 2025, the company reported $5.04 million in revenue but a net loss of $15.75 million. This reflects an operational model where costs, particularly selling, general, and administrative expenses, have scaled significantly faster than sales. Liquidity has been maintained primarily through capital raises rather than self-sustaining product margins.

DILUTION AND CAPITAL
The company has relied heavily on equity financing to fund its operations. Shareholders have faced substantial dilution, with shares outstanding increasing significantly over the last year. With substantial capacity remaining under its current at-the-market offering, continued dilution remains a high probability for existing investors.

OUTLOOK TO 2030
Looking forward, the company targets expansion into industrial and data service sectors to drive growth. Analysts project annual revenue growth potential, with some estimates suggesting a path toward $100 million in long-term revenue. However, profitability remains a significant hurdle. Unless the company achieves efficient scaling and reduces its heavy reliance on equity-funded operations, the path toward 2030 will likely continue to be defined by high cash consumption and further share dilution.

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I’m trying to figure out what the next wave of AI infrastructure bottlenecks looks like —

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It’s CPOs, co-packaged optics. Data centers are moving from copper to optical fiber due to signal degradation and energy consumption.

Recent Goldman report estimated that the total addressable market could increase nine times to 154 billion by 2028.

Granted there’s been a lot of run up already with many names like LITE, AXTI, AAOI, but the super cycle is just starting.

I’m back in the green on ZETA, up to 2500 shares. Fingers crossed, people are thinking it’s getting close to go time

those same people were wrong on PATH so we will see

PATH earnings tomorrow AH. Watching closely.