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re: AUPH - Aurinia Pharmaceuticals

Posted on 1/12/21 at 7:42 pm to
Posted by oklahogjr
Gold Membership
Member since Jan 2010
36761 posts
Posted on 1/12/21 at 7:42 pm to
quote:

It’ll continue to have ups and downs.

Sure but it's hard to be more predictable than on the fda schedule. They've got a long row to how from here in my opinion. I'm definitely taking cash on next run. May consider buying back if it falls back below 20 after folks go profit taking. Hard to beat this kinda return.
Posted by bayoubengals88
LA
Member since Sep 2007
18926 posts
Posted on 1/12/21 at 8:32 pm to
quote:

you're the expert on this thing
First things first
Posted by jmcwhrter
Member since Nov 2012
6569 posts
Posted on 1/12/21 at 9:00 pm to
quote:

I'm definitely taking cash on next run.


This is why I'm not expecting much beyond $20 after approval

Approval is 95% baked in and not many people are looking to hold a one-drug fledgling pharmaceutical into market
Posted by GAFF
Georgia
Member since Aug 2010
2450 posts
Posted on 1/12/21 at 9:08 pm to
So the consensus is this thing still gets to $20?
Posted by molsusports
Member since Jul 2004
36114 posts
Posted on 1/12/21 at 10:35 pm to
I think it would be significantly higher than $20 within a few months if they are approved and get the label through 2037. I an squishy on the timing. Waiting to see if they are approved may miss the gains (as well as potential losses)
Posted by bayoubengals88
LA
Member since Sep 2007
18926 posts
Posted on 1/13/21 at 9:15 am to
quote:

So the consensus is this thing still gets to $20?

I don't think $30 is out of the question. Especially if buyout rumors heat up again.

First time that happened we went from $3 to $10.

at the end of 2019 we went from $8 to $22 within a month.

It could feasibly run from $14 to $30.

About 55% of my shares are in regular brokerage accounts. I might sell above $30 (many of these shares were bought in the 3-5 dollar range).

The rest is in my Roth. Those will go in the event of a buyout, or once share price exceeds $100.
This post was edited on 1/13/21 at 9:18 am
Posted by jmcwhrter
Member since Nov 2012
6569 posts
Posted on 1/13/21 at 9:18 am to
quote:

So the consensus is this thing still gets to $20?


Even some of the longest, iron-hands holders will trim down their positions after FDA approval.. It will probably pierce $20 but give it back pretty quickly I think
Posted by bayoubengals88
LA
Member since Sep 2007
18926 posts
Posted on 1/13/21 at 9:33 am to
quote:

Even some of the longest, iron-hands holders will trim down their positions after FDA approval..
We might be underestimating the percentage of institutional owners who will continue to hold, and the possibility of new investors after approval.
Posted by jmcwhrter
Member since Nov 2012
6569 posts
Posted on 1/13/21 at 10:30 am to
I hope so.. Honestly I've yet to see much from Greenleaf that gives me much hope of them successfully pulling off a Go-it-Alone
Posted by bayoubengals88
LA
Member since Sep 2007
18926 posts
Posted on 1/13/21 at 10:37 am to
quote:

Honestly I've yet to see much from Greenleaf that gives me much hope of them successfully pulling off a Go-it-Alone
What has he done that deserves criticism?
Seems like all our ducks are in a row
Posted by ynlvr
Rocket City
Member since Feb 2009
4591 posts
Posted on 1/13/21 at 2:39 pm to
Today's price action has been abominable. I am perplexed. When all news is good I get nervous. Especially when the ticker moves against me.
Posted by jmcwhrter
Member since Nov 2012
6569 posts
Posted on 1/13/21 at 2:50 pm to
quote:

Today's price action has been abominable. I am perplexed. When all news is good I get nervous. Especially when the ticker moves against me.



hoping they're playing games with the Jan 15 options... but man this is scary stuff

Any time the market is certain about something, I usually expect to get kicked in the balls
Posted by oklahogjr
Gold Membership
Member since Jan 2010
36761 posts
Posted on 1/14/21 at 1:14 am to
quote:

hoping they're playing games with the Jan 15 options... but man this is scary stuff

Any time the market is certain about something, I usually expect to get kicked in the balls


14 strike for Friday is making this week exciting. I'm honestly more nervous by the day for some reason
Posted by bayoubengals88
LA
Member since Sep 2007
18926 posts
Posted on 1/14/21 at 8:29 am to
I'm here to say I'm not nervous at all.

It's just money.

Posted by bayoubengals88
LA
Member since Sep 2007
18926 posts
Posted on 1/14/21 at 11:15 am to
quote:

Today's price action has been abominable.
Whatcha think about today's? :jump1: :jump2:
This post was edited on 1/14/21 at 11:16 am
Posted by ynlvr
Rocket City
Member since Feb 2009
4591 posts
Posted on 1/14/21 at 1:16 pm to
Yeah you right!
Posted by oklahogjr
Gold Membership
Member since Jan 2010
36761 posts
Posted on 1/15/21 at 12:12 pm to
I'm digging today's action more. Come on stay low and get me 100 shares for the ride up
Posted by bayoubengals88
LA
Member since Sep 2007
18926 posts
Posted on 1/15/21 at 12:39 pm to
quote:

I'm digging today's action more. Come on stay low and get me 100 shares for the ride up

No kidding. Too easy if you're confident.
Posted by GAFF
Georgia
Member since Aug 2010
2450 posts
Posted on 1/15/21 at 12:41 pm to
I’m in big (for me) since the phase 3 trials and want to buy more but man this price action is worrisome.
Posted by bayoubengals88
LA
Member since Sep 2007
18926 posts
Posted on 1/15/21 at 12:50 pm to
quote:

I’m in big (for me) since the phase 3 trials and want to buy more but man this price action is worrisome.

It was THREE somethin dollars not too long before phase 3 results! From $3.xx to $21 in four months!

This is nothing.
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