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re: 1st 90 Days Retired - portfolio allocation question
Posted on 4/12/26 at 8:43 pm to Everyday Is Saturday
Posted on 4/12/26 at 8:43 pm to Everyday Is Saturday
quote:That is an impressive benefit.
full tax table room for conversions next 3-5 years.
Posted on 4/12/26 at 8:49 pm to RoyalWe
quote:
There’s also a compounding angle: keeping money in a tax-deferred account means a larger pre-tax balance stays invested, so you’re effectively earning returns on the IRS’s share as well.
quote:I think you're missing the commutative property here. If tax rate is same, the compounding doesnt make a difference if you pay tax up front or after compounding. You are multiplying same factors just in a different order.
And if I expect my future rates to be similar, there’s no real arbitrage to capture.
At that point, all I’d be doing is prepaying taxes and reducing the amount that stays invested, which gives up the benefit of compounding on a larger pre-tax balance
Even in same future bracket seniors face IRMAA and tax on SS income. In my case, effective taxes will almost certainly rise due to IRMAA, widow penalty, tax on SS income. That's before accounting for the uncertainty of future tax rate policy. I assign some value to locking in known tax rates. Then there is the likelihood I may inherit additional tax differed assets with a 10 yr required distribution window. Also as OP mentioned, it may be advantageous to pay tax now so heirs dont face higher rates on inherited funds during theor.high earning years.
Please show some cases for not doing conversions in early retirement or references other than other boards to peruse.
This post was edited on 4/12/26 at 9:04 pm
Posted on 4/12/26 at 8:58 pm to RoyalWe
Blessed and key feature in decision to retire early.
To your point, though, even with minimum
3-years of aggressive Roth conversions due to free and clear tax tables, it’s still a hefty RMD that awaits.
Pumping tax deferred for 30 yr career does that to a person! Kidding.
Suppose there are worse problems to have.
Thanks for your response. Find the perspectives and experience very valuable. Sincerely!
To your point, though, even with minimum
3-years of aggressive Roth conversions due to free and clear tax tables, it’s still a hefty RMD that awaits.
Pumping tax deferred for 30 yr career does that to a person! Kidding.
Suppose there are worse problems to have.
Thanks for your response. Find the perspectives and experience very valuable. Sincerely!
Posted on 4/12/26 at 8:59 pm to RoyalWe
Only way I see Roth conversion being suboptimal for me is if I pass early (well before wife hits IRMAA) and my widow could convert or distribute for many years in lower bracket because she will lose my pension income.
My dilema.is determining best timing and size of annual conversions. On one hand want to knock.it out quickly to minimize years my dividends and LTCG are subject to 15% tax. But is it worth it to trigger 24% bracket instead of 22% and possibly 3.8% NIIT? On.otherhand, I could go slow and optimize for tax rate but risk not getting enough converted in time to matter.
This is why I need a good Roth optimizer tool and not just follow a.dogmatic approach. (Often based on flawed understanding of the math)
My dilema.is determining best timing and size of annual conversions. On one hand want to knock.it out quickly to minimize years my dividends and LTCG are subject to 15% tax. But is it worth it to trigger 24% bracket instead of 22% and possibly 3.8% NIIT? On.otherhand, I could go slow and optimize for tax rate but risk not getting enough converted in time to matter.
This is why I need a good Roth optimizer tool and not just follow a.dogmatic approach. (Often based on flawed understanding of the math)
Posted on 4/12/26 at 9:21 pm to TorchtheFlyingTiger
I agree the Roth vs. traditional math is equivalent if tax rates are the same and the tax is paid from outside funds. Where it breaks down for me is in how the conversion is actually funded and the scale of the account. If the tax has to come from the IRA—especially before 59½—you’re not just prepaying taxes, you’re reducing the amount that stays invested (while taking a penalty), which permanently shrinks the compounding base.
The more significant issue is that the account is large enough that growth is expected to outpace withdrawals. That gives me flexibility to manage taxable income while keeping most of the balance compounding before tax. Those dollars I do not touch continue compounding to ridiculous numbers, honestly.
So without a clear marginal tax advantage, I don’t see a strong case for converting. I am aware that I am an edge case.
The more significant issue is that the account is large enough that growth is expected to outpace withdrawals. That gives me flexibility to manage taxable income while keeping most of the balance compounding before tax. Those dollars I do not touch continue compounding to ridiculous numbers, honestly.
So without a clear marginal tax advantage, I don’t see a strong case for converting. I am aware that I am an edge case.
Posted on 4/12/26 at 9:27 pm to TorchtheFlyingTiger
quote:While I did not use their plan, Q3 Advisors are supposedly Roth Conversion experts. BTW, they agreed that unless my situation changed that I should not convert. Their 'guarantee' is kind of silly, though, because it's pretty easy to show $500K in tax savings when you take into account all of the factors if you have a decent nest egg.
This is why I need a good Roth optimizer tool and not just follow a.dogmatic approach. (Often based on flawed understanding of the math)
Posted on 4/12/26 at 10:02 pm to RoyalWe
Yeah taking the penalty to convert wouldnt be efficient. I'll only do it if I can pay the tax from cash or brokerage assets or wait until 59.5.
Posted on 4/12/26 at 10:09 pm to RoyalWe
Did you consult w Q3 and if so what was your impression? Would you recommend? $11k seems steep but I'd like someone to QC my strategy before I commit nd make costly mistakes DIY.
Posted on 4/12/26 at 10:54 pm to TorchtheFlyingTiger
I had a couple of calls with them, but I did not become a client. I think they have a certain client that they're trying to find. I wasn't it. They admitted I was an edge case but at the end we both agreed it wasn't worth me pursuing unless my situation changed. They will tout that their models are the best. I don't know what their models do better than other models (if anything), but you won't find out until they've got your money.
Posted on 4/13/26 at 10:19 am to RoyalWe
quote:
So without a clear marginal tax advantage, I don’t see a strong case for converting. I am aware that I am an edge case.
Suspect you are but make sure whole picture is in focus. Marginal tax advantage and:
IRMAA impact (if high RMD pushes your MAGI / high tax brackets).
If you have wealth transfer plan, you may be transferring (tax deferred) at heirs highest tax brackets of their career.
I’m sure there are other considerations and these may not matter to your situation.
My key take away is whole picture > RMD reduction (marginal tax only) focus so to speak. In my case, RMD reduction is important part of whole picture.
This post was edited on 4/13/26 at 10:21 am
Posted on 4/13/26 at 10:24 am to RoyalWe
quote:
Helping IRA Millionaires save $1 million (or more) in unnecessary taxes
Compound 1% AUM fee of your portfolio for 20yrs.
Should be a surgeon general warning label requirement! Kidding.
Posted on 4/13/26 at 11:44 am to Everyday Is Saturday
I love these threads where boomers brag about retirement knowing us millenials never will
Posted on 4/13/26 at 12:02 pm to Everyday Is Saturday
I did the modeling with Boldin. I'm a former engineer and am used to doing a lot of financial modeling. Of course, as things change I will re-evaluate. I have also engaged fee-only financial advisors to use as sounding boards. Unfortunately, it's difficult to find good ones.
I also subscribe to the "Die With Zero" attitude meaning that my kids will inherit significant amounts before I die. A $10K gift would have made a world of difference to me in my 20s or 30s, so I am going to help my kids when they're looking to do something specific (e.g., buy a house, buy a car, etc.).
You can also gift your kids a significant amount ($19K per year, per parent) while you're still alive. If they're working, give them at least enough to fully fund a Roth IRA or even more to "save up" for those larger purchases. I would only give it with the understanding that it's not to increase their lifestyle and if I found they broke that trust then I'd re-evaluate my giving. They'll be so far ahead of the curve, they won't begrudge my not converting my IRA to Roth.
I also subscribe to the "Die With Zero" attitude meaning that my kids will inherit significant amounts before I die. A $10K gift would have made a world of difference to me in my 20s or 30s, so I am going to help my kids when they're looking to do something specific (e.g., buy a house, buy a car, etc.).
You can also gift your kids a significant amount ($19K per year, per parent) while you're still alive. If they're working, give them at least enough to fully fund a Roth IRA or even more to "save up" for those larger purchases. I would only give it with the understanding that it's not to increase their lifestyle and if I found they broke that trust then I'd re-evaluate my giving. They'll be so far ahead of the curve, they won't begrudge my not converting my IRA to Roth.
Posted on 4/13/26 at 12:06 pm to el Gaucho
quote:I'm 53 and retired at 52. I'm not a boomer and have always been a hard-working W-2 employee. I tell everyone "Jason Kelly", but most just tell me the approach is stupid. Meanwhile, I'm retired.
I love these threads where boomers brag about retirement knowing us millenials never will
The truth is you can also have wealth. What it takes is widely known. The problem is few people have the discipline to do it. I'm happy to answer questions, but people don't ask so I'm okay with them living their lives. Their choices, their results. My choices, my results.
Posted on 4/13/26 at 12:08 pm to RoyalWe
quote:
I'm 53
quote:
I'm not a boomer
Got some news for you chief
quote:
The truth is you can also have wealth. What it takes is widely known. The problem is few people have the discipline to do it.
The dollar has lost 90% of its value in millenials working lives, so far
Who knows how bad it will be by the time we’re boomer age
This post was edited on 4/13/26 at 12:12 pm
Posted on 4/13/26 at 12:12 pm to el Gaucho
quote:What's the news?
Got some news for you chief
Posted on 4/13/26 at 12:13 pm to el Gaucho
quote:Question: Do you think that just affects millenials?
The dollar has lost 90% of its value in millenials working lives, so far
Posted on 4/13/26 at 12:16 pm to RoyalWe
Boomer means that you’re over 40
I feel like currency debasement hurts less if you are already making good money i.e. not just starting out
I feel like currency debasement hurts less if you are already making good money i.e. not just starting out
Posted on 4/13/26 at 12:18 pm to el Gaucho
quote:If you don't know what generations are, sure that can be a definition. Of course I was born almost three decades after World War 2 ended, but don't let that distinction stop you.
Boomer means that you’re over 40
Posted on 4/13/26 at 12:20 pm to el Gaucho
quote:
I love these threads where boomers brag about retirement knowing us millenials never will
55yo here.
Have found that $ investing (1+k)^n compounds much faster than bitching does.
Started with nil but a goal to have saved / invested enough money that would earn more money than I did once I turned 45yo.
To say, if I can do it, many can do it. Discipline is your friend.
Time! Buy assets that compound in value. Do it now. Do it often. Chit works!
It mocks currency debasement.
This post was edited on 4/13/26 at 12:54 pm
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