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re: WWYD as Wisconsin Coach?

Posted on 9/4/14 at 3:13 pm to
Posted by TheSexecutioner
Member since Mar 2011
5264 posts
Posted on 9/4/14 at 3:13 pm to
quote:

So what you're really saying is that you think choosing getting stabbed in the eye with a knife is a much better option than getting stabbed in the eye with a fork.


Posted by SouthOfSouth
Baton Rouge
Member since Jun 2008
43577 posts
Posted on 9/4/14 at 3:14 pm to
I went back and made sure I fully read your OP. Still, the idea that you gain nothing by punting is nowhere remotely close to true.

First, A muffed punt is a possibility if you punt. Thus giving you the ball around the 50.

Kneeling the ball and giving the opponents the ball inside the 10 doesn't help at all. If you hold them to a FG then a TD just ties it.

Now I understand that a first down or a TD means the same thing to Wisconsin in this situation (a loss), but in 1 situation you give LSU a 1st and 10 (punt) and another you give them 1st and 6 (kneel). The 6 yards are easier to get than the 10.

Also, Wisconsin would pressure the punt if they stopped them which could either block it, or cause a shank (which LSU is prone to).

I could possibly see going for it, and that's not where I have my problem with your stance, it is that kneeling would be smarter than punting. There is no situation where that is true in my mind. If I was a coach with what I considered a dominant defense, I would punt.
This post was edited on 9/4/14 at 3:16 pm
Posted by TheSexecutioner
Member since Mar 2011
5264 posts
Posted on 9/4/14 at 3:15 pm to
quote:

If that dude punts it 50 yards in the air


Not very far. A 50 yard punt is only long because they are punting from ~15 yards behind the line of scrimmage. I do agree with your point that field position really wouldnt be any better.
Posted by SabiDojo
Open to any suggestions.
Member since Nov 2010
84356 posts
Posted on 9/4/14 at 3:18 pm to
The punt wasn't really a bad idea until Les decided to not have anyone return it. Unlike some people, I thought that was a pretty smart move by Les. First game of the season, high pressured situation. A player could easily muff the punt. Also, not having a punt returner put Wisconsin in a very precarious position. Do you let the ball keep rolling and it burns more time off the clock? Or do you immediately stop the ball to stop the clock and give LSU a shorter field?

I don't know what I would've done, tbh. There was a lot on the line.
Posted by TigerRanter
Louisiana
Member since Feb 2005
6828 posts
Posted on 9/4/14 at 3:20 pm to
quote:

First, A muffed punt is a possibility if you punt. Thus giving you the ball around the 50.

But LSU puts no one back to muff it.
Posted by SouthOfSouth
Baton Rouge
Member since Jun 2008
43577 posts
Posted on 9/4/14 at 3:21 pm to
quote:

First, A muffed punt is a possibility if you punt. Thus giving you the ball around the 50.
But LSU puts no one back to muff it.


Right. But I was just trying to hit all the bases.

Look at the end of the day, if you want to go for it, fine. But please someone tell me any reason why kneeling it is better than punting? Please anyone...
Posted by nycajun
Nothin' could be finer.....
Member since Dec 2004
18183 posts
Posted on 9/4/14 at 3:22 pm to
A (slightly) different way to pose the question:
What would you do in each of the following hypothetical situations, assuming LSU will elect not to field a punt in case 1or 2?
1. Punt or go for it (you have no other option).
2. Punt or take a knee (you have no other option).
3. Punt or take a safety (you have no other option).

OP would argue that, at least in Situations 1 and 2, punt is the inferior choice.
This post was edited on 9/4/14 at 3:25 pm
Posted by CheerWhine
A little bit of Mardi Gras
Member since Apr 2014
77141 posts
Posted on 9/4/14 at 3:23 pm to
Agreed, no return man on the punt was a great call by Les. Gave up some field position, but eliminated any risk of a muff. Field position didn't matter too much anyway when all we needed was one first down to win. If I were Wisconsin, I think I would've gone ahead and stopped the ball. You need as much time as you can get in case you force a three-and-out and get the ball back.
Posted by TigerRanter
Louisiana
Member since Feb 2005
6828 posts
Posted on 9/4/14 at 3:23 pm to
quote:

But please someone tell me any reason why kneeling it is better than punting? Please anyone...

That, I don't know. Taking a safety or running a fake punt is better than kneeling.
Posted by TheSexecutioner
Member since Mar 2011
5264 posts
Posted on 9/4/14 at 3:24 pm to
quote:

I went back and made sure I fully read your OP. Still, the idea that you gain nothing by punting is nowhere remotely close to true.

First, A muffed punt is a possibility if you punt. Thus giving you the ball around the 50.

Kneeling the ball and giving the opponents the ball inside the 10 doesn't help at all. If you hold them to a FG then a TD just ties it.

Now I understand that a first down or a TD means the same thing to Wisconsin in this situation (a loss), but in 1 situation you give LSU a 1st and 10 (punt) and another you give them 1st and 6 (kneel). The 6 yards are easier to get than the 10.

Also, Wisconsin would pressure the punt if they stopped them which could either block it, or cause a shank (which LSU is prone to).

I could possibly see going for it, and that's not where I have my problem with your stance, it is that kneeling would be smarter than punting. There is no situation where that is true in my mind.


Ok, I should have said you net no gain. Yes, a muffed punt or blocked punt is a possibility but you will also give up the advantage of receiving a kickoff if you hold LSU to a FG.

I should have said spiked the ball or, better yet, ran a QB sneak instead of taken a knee. Then it would be 8-10 yards

The difference between being down 4 and 7 isn't all that huge in that desperate of times. So if youre chance of scoring a TD is 5% your chances of winning goes from 5% to 2.5% with that extra 3 points. I think that small percentage can easily be made up with the difference in field position from recieving a punt vs a kick.

I 100% agree with you that if you turn the ball over at the 6, punting is better. Let's say you spike the ball or run a QB sneak instead of kneeling
Posted by LSUfan20005
Member since Sep 2012
9138 posts
Posted on 9/4/14 at 3:24 pm to
Silly question. I would never have been in that position in the first place, I am a Madden All Star
Posted by SouthOfSouth
Baton Rouge
Member since Jun 2008
43577 posts
Posted on 9/4/14 at 3:25 pm to
quote:

1. Punt or go for it (you have no other option).
2. Punt or take a knee (you have no other option).
3. Punt or take a safety (you have no other option).

OP would argue that, at least in Situations 1 and 2, punt is the inferior choice.


And there is 0 arguments given the situation #2 that you should take a knee. None. Down 4 with 1:32 left you cannot give me a valid reason to kneel.
Posted by SabiDojo
Open to any suggestions.
Member since Nov 2010
84356 posts
Posted on 9/4/14 at 3:26 pm to
quote:

If I were Wisconsin, I think I would've gone ahead and stopped the ball. You need as much time as you can get in case you force a three-and-out and get the ball back.


Agreed. That's what they should have done.
Posted by SouthOfSouth
Baton Rouge
Member since Jun 2008
43577 posts
Posted on 9/4/14 at 3:27 pm to
quote:

The difference between being down 4 and 7 isn't all that huge in that desperate of times. So if youre chance of scoring a TD is 5% your chances of winning goes from 5% to 2.5% with that extra 3 points. I think that small percentage can easily be made up with the difference in field position from recieving a punt vs a kick.

I 100% agree with you that if you turn the ball over at the 6, punting is better. Let's say you spike the ball or run a QB sneak instead of kneeling


If you think the field position is such a big deal then LSU could always run to the 1 yard line and stop then kneel themselves on the 1 yard line.

Knowing Les, I don't know if he takes the FG. If LSU made it to the 1 and it was 4th down he may just go for the TD. I think I would.
This post was edited on 9/4/14 at 3:29 pm
Posted by TheSexecutioner
Member since Mar 2011
5264 posts
Posted on 9/4/14 at 3:28 pm to
quote:

That said, the OP could have made the same point in a much less obscure way




Seriously though, I'm not trying to be a jerk, but you saw how many people were absolutely bamboozled by that "kneeling" scenario. You think you could come up with a way to explain that via a post that the Rant would understand? I mean, I literally wrote twice that kneeling could NEVER be the correct choice and still over half of the posters somehow gathered that I was advocating kneeling.
Posted by TheSexecutioner
Member since Mar 2011
5264 posts
Posted on 9/4/14 at 3:29 pm to
quote:

If you think the field position is such a big deal then LSU could always run to the 1 yard line and stop then kneel themselves on the 1 yard line.

Knowing Les, I don't know if he takes the FG. If LSU made it to the 1 he may just go for the TD. I think I would.


I've covered this. I said it would be contingent on Les not being really smart and going for it on 4 downs. A little bit of game theory. I think its a safe bet Les kicks the FG but if he doesn't, then yeh, you are in worse position than punting it.
Posted by SouthOfSouth
Baton Rouge
Member since Jun 2008
43577 posts
Posted on 9/4/14 at 3:31 pm to
The reason people are attacking you is because you said:

quote:

Rank these 3 options in terms of giving your team the best shot at winning.

a) go for it
b) punt
c) kneel the ball

I say A,C,B.


You said you would kneel over punt which is ridiculous.
Posted by TheSexecutioner
Member since Mar 2011
5264 posts
Posted on 9/4/14 at 3:31 pm to
quote:

That's seriously your rationale? A 4th and 12 is probably not doable, so just kneel the ball, lose a few yards doing so, and hand it over? Don't punt it and try to hold, don't take the safety, don't go for it, just kneel and give up?


Yup, exactly what I implied!!! Your comprehensions is outstanding!
Posted by SouthOfSouth
Baton Rouge
Member since Jun 2008
43577 posts
Posted on 9/4/14 at 3:32 pm to
quote:

I think its a safe bet Les kicks the FG but if he doesn't, then yeh, you are in worse position than punting it.


I don't think so. The way the defense was playing, I think he goes for it. But still I think either way LSU was running the ball so well against Wisc 2nd string D line that they score from the 6 or 8 yard line anyway.
Posted by nycajun
Nothin' could be finer.....
Member since Dec 2004
18183 posts
Posted on 9/4/14 at 3:33 pm to
Always be cautious about claiming that there is no argument, when what you mean is that you will refuse to consider an argument. OP would argue that you have a better (not good, but better) chance of getting a stop defending 20 yards of the field ( including the EZ) than defending 60 yards. In either case you need a stop or it's game over.
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