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re: Why the frick is A&M a 65% favorite to beat LSU

Posted on 9/24/18 at 12:51 pm to
Posted by Big EZ Tiger
Member since Jul 2010
24265 posts
Posted on 9/24/18 at 12:51 pm to
quote:

College Station is a tough place to play. Probably almost as big a home field advantage as Tiger Stadium used to be

We certainly have had no issues stomping them over there recently though. They are improved with Jimbo and the QB has serious wheels. I'm not sure why they would be favored though. They could beat LSU, but LSU already won at a place that is traditionally harder to win at against a team that is in the top 10.
Posted by LSUAlumnus2001
On the Bayou
Member since May 2016
656 posts
Posted on 9/24/18 at 12:53 pm to
I don't disagree that it would be near impossible to change my mind, lol. To me quitting would be he stopped recruiting and stopped his attention to details for an extended time period such as 6 months or more. A bowl game that you win or lose that isn't the National Championship is great to win and you want to win but really it isn't that big of a deal in the grand scheme of things. He still didn't quit though, he tried to win that game.
We can agree to disagree though, I'm not the arguing type. Discussion yes, arguing no.
This post was edited on 9/24/18 at 12:54 pm
Posted by Skeezer
Member since Apr 2017
2296 posts
Posted on 9/24/18 at 12:54 pm to
They will beat us
Posted by H-Town Tiger
Member since Nov 2003
59078 posts
Posted on 9/24/18 at 1:02 pm to
quote:

Saban quit, bottom line.


I think you are quibbling over semantics just to argue for its own sake. I don’t think Saban (or Jimbo for that matter) quit in the sense most mean. Obviously Saban turned in his resignation and I don’t think he should have been coaching that game, but he didn’t quit, he was distracted, there’s a difference. If you want to argue he quit on someone it would be in the Dolphins
This post was edited on 9/24/18 at 1:03 pm
Posted by LNCHBOX
70448
Member since Jun 2009
84062 posts
Posted on 9/24/18 at 1:03 pm to
quote:

think you are quibbling over semantics just to argue for its own sake


I'm not the guy making an argument that Jimbo isn't a good coach
Posted by Tchefuncte Tiger
Bat'n Rudge
Member since Oct 2004
57150 posts
Posted on 9/24/18 at 1:05 pm to
Why are you worried about a game that is not being played until November?
Posted by Green Chili Tiger
Lurking the Tin Foil Hat Board
Member since Jul 2009
47589 posts
Posted on 9/24/18 at 1:15 pm to
quote:

It's mainly record and rank when evaluating a team. Don't try to undermine their rank and record of LSU. You're reaching.




Then why is A&M favored? If it's "mainly record and rank", then why is others receiving votes, 2-2, aTm favored over number 5 ranked, 4-0 LSU?
Posted by H-Town Tiger
Member since Nov 2003
59078 posts
Posted on 9/24/18 at 1:17 pm to
quote:

I'm not the guy making an argument that Jimbo isn't a good coach


That’s a separate argument and i disagree with about Jimbo quitting on FSU last year but even there its different than Saban at LSU where at worst it was 1 game, he was not checked out the 2004 season
Posted by LNCHBOX
70448
Member since Jun 2009
84062 posts
Posted on 9/24/18 at 1:20 pm to
quote:

That’s a separate argument and i disagree with about Jimbo quitting on FSU last year but even there its different than Saban at LSU where at worst it was 1 game, he was not checked out the 2004 season



Does it really count as checked out for Jimbo when you lose your stud starting QB for the season in week 1?
Posted by L S Usetheforce
Member since Jun 2004
22751 posts
Posted on 9/24/18 at 1:21 pm to
Where have you seen updated lines from Lsu A&M as the favored team?
This post was edited on 9/24/18 at 1:21 pm
Posted by Bucks2TigerFan
Member since Jun 2018
825 posts
Posted on 9/24/18 at 1:24 pm to
ESPN's FPI is just a marketing tool.

They use it to act like they actually have some analytical prowess to back up their BS.

But, even if you believe that their underlying statistical model is correct, and that's a reach itself, right now they don't have enough current season data, and are still mainly using their half-baked preseason guesstimates.

It won't be for another 3 or 4 weeks until it will even have enough good current season statistics.

One stat you notice ESPN never touts is just how correct FPI's predictions are, either in predicting winners or the final point spread. It's nowhere near as good as they try and make you beliee.
Posted by LSUAlumnus2001
On the Bayou
Member since May 2016
656 posts
Posted on 9/24/18 at 1:32 pm to
Neither am I, I actually said I think he is a good coach. I'm just pointing out that he is not a great coach that is to be feared really by a school like LSU. We will quite possibly lose some games to his teams but we will also beat him just as many if not more.
Posted by LNCHBOX
70448
Member since Jun 2009
84062 posts
Posted on 9/24/18 at 1:33 pm to
quote:

I'm just pointing out that he is not a great coach that is to be feared really by a school like LSU.


And you base this off of what again?
Posted by H-Town Tiger
Member since Nov 2003
59078 posts
Posted on 9/24/18 at 1:34 pm to
quote:

Does it really count as checked out for Jimbo when you lose your stud starting QB for the season in week 1?


No, like I said I don’t think he quit, but I do think things had gone sour at FSU and it was probably best for all involved for him to move on. Maybe at the end he was checking out, but it’s not like he wasn’t trying to win, hell didn’t they have to win that rescheduled game to get bowl eligible?
Posted by LNCHBOX
70448
Member since Jun 2009
84062 posts
Posted on 9/24/18 at 1:36 pm to
quote:

No, like I said I don’t think he quit, but I do think things had gone sour at FSU and it was probably best for all involved for him to move on. Maybe at the end he was checking out, but it’s not like he wasn’t trying to win, hell didn’t they have to win that rescheduled game to get bowl eligible?


None of that takes away from the very impressive run he had there, which is the point of this discussion you jumped into the middle of. Dude doesn't think Jimbo should be feared at a school with basically unlimited money for resources. That's nuts.
Posted by Tiger2424
Member since Nov 2015
1203 posts
Posted on 9/24/18 at 1:39 pm to
Not really, we playing Ole Miss this week. Should be the only concern
Posted by dukke v
PLUTO
Member since Jul 2006
202667 posts
Posted on 9/24/18 at 1:39 pm to
To be fair, I don’t think the FSU q.v. is even close to being a stud....
Posted by LSUAlumnus2001
On the Bayou
Member since May 2016
656 posts
Posted on 9/24/18 at 1:39 pm to
quote:

And you base this off of what again?

Mostly personal opinion which I understand doesn't hold much weight to others opinions with which I'm fine but also his tenure at FSU didn't really strike any fear into me from the mighty ACC. I could totally be wrong and if so then oh well. Whether he checked out or not, I just don't think any great coach would've allowed his tenure to end like it did.
This post was edited on 9/24/18 at 1:42 pm
Posted by LNCHBOX
70448
Member since Jun 2009
84062 posts
Posted on 9/24/18 at 1:41 pm to
quote:

but also his tenure at FSU didn't really strike any fear into me from the mighty ACC


It just ended the SEC streak of national champions, made it to the first CFP, etc No biggie.
Posted by LSUAlumnus2001
On the Bayou
Member since May 2016
656 posts
Posted on 9/24/18 at 1:43 pm to
I don't consider Clemson to be the whole ACC. Yes, they are very good but other than them they haven't had much.
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