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Started By
Message
re: Tropical Storm Gustav (could be bad)
Posted on 8/25/08 at 3:06 pm to FrisceauxTiger
Posted on 8/25/08 at 3:06 pm to FrisceauxTiger
quote:
The GFDL model has been thought of a somewhat reliable model over the years
GFDL sucks at long range modeling. Funny just 3 years ago nobody knew what an ocean model run was today everyone is an expert. No model is precise in dealing with 8+ days. Models will not converge until 3 days out. Notice all the models have simular paths in the 2-3 day range? Stop with all the sky is falling BS models will always have outliers to cause someone to freak..
Sincerely
Catman88
-former employee at Naval Oceanographic Headquarters Major Shared Resource Center (Where many of these models run)
3
Posted on 8/25/08 at 3:08 pm to Catman88
thanks catman its funny that gfdl model shows every 8hrs but your right is bad at long distance.What webpage do you trust the most.
Posted on 8/25/08 at 3:13 pm to katytigers
Well Im a advid poster at storm2k.org there are many very trained oceanographers and meterologist that post there. As well as a very good collection of model listing and expert opinions. (Also many ranter like people too though) Other than that I call my buddies back where I used to work and get the scoop. Came in handy when I worked there during Katrina since I was evacuating the friday before the storm. (Of course I had to drive back 2 days after the storm which sucked!)
Posted on 8/25/08 at 3:13 pm to katytigers
i never saw katrina doin what it did..that storm was wierd as shite..i think the really bad hurricanes hate the ms/la area..
Posted on 8/25/08 at 3:15 pm to Catman88
Hence, a cone of probability.
The sky is not falling. But you ask a local official with the current storm protection that Metro New Orleans is under and see if they shouldn't be concerned if they do fall under that cone....and Catman, is this storm the way it is bombing not disconcerning?
I AM NOT SAYING IT IS COMING HERE. JUST MONITOR.
That is what those pros at the NHC usually tell us.
The sky is not falling. But you ask a local official with the current storm protection that Metro New Orleans is under and see if they shouldn't be concerned if they do fall under that cone....and Catman, is this storm the way it is bombing not disconcerning?
I AM NOT SAYING IT IS COMING HERE. JUST MONITOR.
That is what those pros at the NHC usually tell us.
Posted on 8/25/08 at 3:18 pm to arklatiger
what does
quote:mean?
bombing
Posted on 8/25/08 at 3:20 pm to arklatiger
man if that son of a bitch hits here..god..
i just wana go to that damn game! lol...gustav you can hit on monday...i want sunday to enjoy victory & drink & be merry
jk i hope it doesnt hit here..let it hit mexico..
i just wana go to that damn game! lol...gustav you can hit on monday...i want sunday to enjoy victory & drink & be merry
jk i hope it doesnt hit here..let it hit mexico..
Posted on 8/25/08 at 3:22 pm to FrisceauxTiger
Bombing out I should say...or rapid intensification.
It was just an Invest this morning and then a quick upgrade at tropical storm...
...and to add there is just as likely a set up that can bring this thing right back to Coral Gables unfortunately for those folks after it gets to the South Central Gulf....
But we shall see...
It was just an Invest this morning and then a quick upgrade at tropical storm...
...and to add there is just as likely a set up that can bring this thing right back to Coral Gables unfortunately for those folks after it gets to the South Central Gulf....
But we shall see...
Posted on 8/25/08 at 3:23 pm to arklatiger
I could write a book on how the NHC is pretty screwed up but I will pass.
I think it goes without saying to monitor ANY storm that enters the gulf.
I think it goes without saying to monitor ANY storm that enters the gulf.
Posted on 8/25/08 at 3:23 pm to arklatiger
So..maybe by wednesday or thursday we'll know were it's headed for sure? just wondering what people are predicting
Posted on 8/25/08 at 3:28 pm to Cheetah Flex
The nightshift Brusly weekend weather girl will give you as good info as you get here ... it wont affect the game and wrong board anyway.
Posted on 8/25/08 at 3:30 pm to apacheba
yea but everyone needs to know about it..even if it doesnt affect the game..not everyone reads the OT(me)
Posted on 8/25/08 at 3:31 pm to Cheetah Flex
Almost assured it wont affect this game. Probably wont know what it will do until Saturday. Could ruin the holiday weekend though.
Posted on 8/25/08 at 3:32 pm to Catman88
yea that wouldnt be a fun day off...
Posted on 8/25/08 at 3:33 pm to Catman88
Catman88, are you a fan of Jeff Master's blog. I like to check out his updates on wundergound.
Posted on 8/25/08 at 3:36 pm to apacheba
What I find amusing is discussing Invests and model trends on a Tiger board that is intended to do anything but discuss Invests and Model Trends...I came here curious about the upcoming games and got myself trapped in a nerdy discussion.
For further info....Weather Underground and Accuweather can link you up on good info.
Most of all...try to stay ahead of the local TV Mets...they I found screwed the pouch on Katrina...None of them said much of it til Friday night during the Saints Preseason game.
For further info....Weather Underground and Accuweather can link you up on good info.
Most of all...try to stay ahead of the local TV Mets...they I found screwed the pouch on Katrina...None of them said much of it til Friday night during the Saints Preseason game.
Posted on 8/25/08 at 3:39 pm to Stevo
Sorry never think to read it.. he has some balls though.. Any guy that has ever been a hurricane hunter has to have a tough stomach.. Knew one guy that flew out into one to see what it was like and he said it didnt take long for him to throw up.
Posted on 8/25/08 at 3:43 pm to Tigers58
there goes the price of oil
Posted on 8/25/08 at 3:43 pm to Cheetah Flex
BTW been meaning to ask your opinion on the political convention this week we may as well discuss it here ... there's nothing going on with LSU football. Let's talk about the weather and politics ... anybody for religion too? Cool we could really clog up the board. 
Posted on 8/25/08 at 3:45 pm to Tigers58
That thing won't hit on or before Saturday...if it hits at all.
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