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re: The BCS vs Playoff Debate
Posted on 7/15/09 at 10:14 am to LSU Red24
Posted on 7/15/09 at 10:14 am to LSU Red24
First, there are plenty of SEC team scenarios in which the 3 best teams would not play each other, second, I could give a rat's arse about making sure all the other "kids" get a fair chance if they're not better than these SEC teams.
Third, there is no way the BCS can ever make me believe that they have a complex formula which determines the 2 best teams in the land. This is just so patently ridiculous it hurts to think about us having to swallow it year in and year out.
Third, there is no way the BCS can ever make me believe that they have a complex formula which determines the 2 best teams in the land. This is just so patently ridiculous it hurts to think about us having to swallow it year in and year out.
Posted on 7/15/09 at 10:14 am to afinewagoneer
Since the Big Ten doesn't play a conference championship game, they should have to play another conference regular season champion e.g. PAC-10 regular season champion. Either a conference should have twelve teams with a conference championship game or play another game against a worthy opponent. Ohio St. has been having 50 game waiting periods for the national championship game. They would benefit from increasing the number of competitive games, especially late in the season.
Posted on 7/15/09 at 10:15 am to hojo
quote:
. Perfection in life and sports is simply not possible. Pursuit of that perfection is a worthy endeavor, however.
if we had a perfect system the champ would be announced before bowls
Posted on 7/15/09 at 10:17 am to Baloo
quote:
Why wouldn't a team with title aspirations play a tough OOC opponent to get the team "game tested" for the conference slate? We also know teams would schedule those tough games BECAUSE THAT'S WHAT THEY DID prior to the BCS disincentive.
the BCS has improved the system and you see what the results are.
playoffs will take that next step and completely eliminate any incentive for OOC games
Posted on 7/15/09 at 10:18 am to SlowFlowPro
I can think of exactly one "great" OOC game from last year--Ohio State and USC. Are we really arguing OOC games--they're basically nonexistent as it is.
Posted on 7/15/09 at 10:18 am to SlowFlowPro
if we hadn't beaten the hell out of va tech in 2007, we would not have been national champs. beating good teams always helps.
Posted on 7/15/09 at 10:20 am to hojo
quote:
I can think of exactly one "great" OOC game from last year--Ohio State and USC. Are we really arguing OOC games--they're basically nonexistent as it is.
some people incorrectly believe that playoffs will lead to better OOC games
playoffs will lead to more 1-AA OOC games
Posted on 7/15/09 at 10:21 am to easy money
And it still would, as I've stated ad nauseum, if we continued to use the BCS rankings to determing the top 10 for the playoffs. At least in this case we wouldn't have to keep swallowing other conference teams as gettting an automatic berth when we all know the SEC usually has 4 of the top 10 teams in the country in any given year.
Posted on 7/15/09 at 10:22 am to Indiana Tiger
Of course schedules are dictated by economics. But cross-regional matchups are virtual sellouts while playing Directional State U means a three-quarter capacity stadium. Now, a handful of schools sellout regardless, but that is not the case at the majority of schools.
But the economic argument also shows why AD’s don’t want a tough OOC schedule. The worst thing a title contender can do is lose. You don’t see a 10-2 team with a monster schedule leapfrogging an 11-1 team from the Big 12 or the Big Ten. Maybe the Big East, since that conference is so weak. Nothing brings in profit like winning (that goes for every single sport). And winning a title is worth even more. So why play a rugged OOC when you can try and rig a better record and a better shot at the title?
Like I said before jumping in this thread, it is literally impossible to change anyone’s mind. Everyone’s opinions are too calcified. I don’t think we’ll see a playoff and I’m not staying up nights about it. I’d like to see one, but I like the bowls. So I can really go either way. I just staed some general impressions on the debate, and your virulent reaction really demonstrates my basic point: no one listens to anyone and no one can be convinced.
Honestly, I think the BCS is so terrible that it should be scrapped and we should go back to the old chaotic bowl system. I want New Years Day back. And it was more fun. If we’re not going to systematically crown a title, let’s do it the most entertaining way. And that’s the old bowl system with no absurd rating system, which is just the top two teams in the polls with the illusion of objective math behind it.
But the economic argument also shows why AD’s don’t want a tough OOC schedule. The worst thing a title contender can do is lose. You don’t see a 10-2 team with a monster schedule leapfrogging an 11-1 team from the Big 12 or the Big Ten. Maybe the Big East, since that conference is so weak. Nothing brings in profit like winning (that goes for every single sport). And winning a title is worth even more. So why play a rugged OOC when you can try and rig a better record and a better shot at the title?
Like I said before jumping in this thread, it is literally impossible to change anyone’s mind. Everyone’s opinions are too calcified. I don’t think we’ll see a playoff and I’m not staying up nights about it. I’d like to see one, but I like the bowls. So I can really go either way. I just staed some general impressions on the debate, and your virulent reaction really demonstrates my basic point: no one listens to anyone and no one can be convinced.
Honestly, I think the BCS is so terrible that it should be scrapped and we should go back to the old chaotic bowl system. I want New Years Day back. And it was more fun. If we’re not going to systematically crown a title, let’s do it the most entertaining way. And that’s the old bowl system with no absurd rating system, which is just the top two teams in the polls with the illusion of objective math behind it.
Posted on 7/15/09 at 10:23 am to hojo
quote:
And it still would, as I've stated ad nauseum, if we continued to use the BCS rankings to determing the top 10 for the playoffs.
top 10 is not top 2
it's relatively easy to end up in the top 10. just lose 2 games or less and play in a BCS conference
quote:
At least in this case we wouldn't have to keep swallowing other conference teams as gettting an automatic berth when we all know the SEC usually has 4 of the top 10 teams in the country in any given year.
a. that is not true
b. you'll never have a system that excludes any of the BCS conferences from title contention while giving another conference a chance to double, triple, or in your estimation, quadruple up on the postseason revenue.
Posted on 7/15/09 at 10:25 am to hojo
quote:
First, there are plenty of SEC team scenarios in which the 3 best teams would not play each other
Thats not true at all. Each team plays every team in their division, then the two division winners play in the SECCG so there is a winner of the SEC. Yes, I understand maybe LSU wont play Georgia one year and Bama may win the West and play Georgia, but we didnt even win the west so we dont deserve to win the SEC.
quote:
second, I could give a rat's arse about making sure all the other "kids" get a fair chance
well Im sure those "kids" dont give a rats arse about your opinion at all. putting Utah and Boise into BCS conferences would give them legit chances to win their conference and earn a shot at a NC and we wouldnt have to hear their bitching every year.
And no there will never EVER be a perfect scenario, but this is the "lesser of the two evils" so to speak.
Posted on 7/15/09 at 10:25 am to Baloo
quote:
The worst thing a title contender can do is lose.
and the worst thing a team who knows they're only looking at 1-2 losses in conference could do is lose to an OOC opponent, eliminating them from the playoffs that easy. why get off of easy street?
quote:
So why play a rugged OOC when you can try and rig a better record and a better shot at the title?
same situation with playoffs but OOC victories are worth even less and losses hurt just as much
quote:
If we’re not going to systematically crown a title, let’s do it the most entertaining way.
CFB does systematically crown a champ
Posted on 7/15/09 at 10:26 am to hojo
1. The BCS is a playoff. A two-team playoff, but a playoff nonetheless.
2. I support a 4 team playoff because it is more times than not too difficult to determine the two most worthy teams. I want a 4 team playoff to increase the likelihood of including the 2 most worthy. I don't expect to have the 4 most worthy because that is as difficult or more so than the problem with two.
3. I'm against 8+ playoff scenarios because autobids will be extremely likely and I believe this will have a very bad effect on the regular season. It's not going to be like a switch is thrown, but over time people will come to see it like the basketball regular season. However, if the economics of the playoffs become clearly favorable, I'm under no illusion that my opinion will matter one bit.
2. I support a 4 team playoff because it is more times than not too difficult to determine the two most worthy teams. I want a 4 team playoff to increase the likelihood of including the 2 most worthy. I don't expect to have the 4 most worthy because that is as difficult or more so than the problem with two.
3. I'm against 8+ playoff scenarios because autobids will be extremely likely and I believe this will have a very bad effect on the regular season. It's not going to be like a switch is thrown, but over time people will come to see it like the basketball regular season. However, if the economics of the playoffs become clearly favorable, I'm under no illusion that my opinion will matter one bit.
Posted on 7/15/09 at 10:28 am to SlowFlowPro
quote:
some people incorrectly believe that playoffs will lead to better OOC games
playoffs will lead to more 1-AA OOC games
It completely depends on the format of the playoffs. If it only takes conference champs, then it will lead to better OOC games, because the disincentive for losing OOC has been removed. If there are at large bids based on the current criteria, it will lead to a worse OOC schedule. If there is at-large teams selected by a committee, it completely depends on what the committee stresses. In basketball, they stress SOS, even if you don't win, so it incents teams to play a tough OOC schedule.
It completely and totally depends on the system created. But the great OOC game is essentially dead right now, it is not a viable argument for keeping the current system.
Posted on 7/15/09 at 10:28 am to SlowFlowPro
Exactly. My point being that with the BCS the top 2 is not usually the top 2. It's the height of human arrogance to think that a formula could determine that.
And if 3 SEC teams end up in the top 10, then I say great. This might not ultimately be practical, but even 2 SEC teams would be at least a better representation of the true disparity in talent across the country.
And if 3 SEC teams end up in the top 10, then I say great. This might not ultimately be practical, but even 2 SEC teams would be at least a better representation of the true disparity in talent across the country.
Posted on 7/15/09 at 10:29 am to Baloo
if you guys don't mind, check my playoff idea on the main board. i would like some feedback
Posted on 7/15/09 at 10:30 am to Baloo
quote:
If it only takes conference champs, then it will lead to better OOC games
i agree with this
but what would be the point of good OOC games if they truly don't matter? it would come down to these games making money, and i'm pretty sure the rent-a-wins make more money (i could be wrong)
quote:
If there is at-large teams selected by a committee, it completely depends on what the committee stresses.
in CFB it will always start with # of losses
Posted on 7/15/09 at 10:30 am to hojo
quote:
My point being that with the BCS the top 2 is not usually the top 2
the BCS has gotten every champion right except possibly 2003 and 2004. that's 8/10
and there are no fresno states toe embarrass CFB
Posted on 7/15/09 at 10:33 am to SlowFlowPro
So Oklahoma was deserving over Texas last year? Seriously? And you can't tell me that the 2006 LSU team wasn't better than Ohio State.
Posted on 7/15/09 at 10:37 am to SlowFlowPro
From a feasibility standpoint, it is impossible to rate 110 teams or so on the basis of a 12-game schedule. There’s just not enough data to fairly compare teams across conferences. OK, we can tell the extreme examples (the SEC is far better than the Sun Belt), but among the top conferences, it just is too hard to compare the Big Ten champ to the Big 12 champ to the ACC champ to the Pac-10 champ.
It’s all guesswork. Which is why, if we’re gonna keep the bowls, let’s be honest about it, and go back to the old crazy system which didn’t lie about being guesswork. By the way, the old system was fun as hell. Remember the glut of football on New Years? It was awesome.
It’s all guesswork. Which is why, if we’re gonna keep the bowls, let’s be honest about it, and go back to the old crazy system which didn’t lie about being guesswork. By the way, the old system was fun as hell. Remember the glut of football on New Years? It was awesome.
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