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Strength of Schedule and Record

Posted on 11/12/18 at 8:08 pm
Posted by Tiger1988
Houston
Member since May 2016
24332 posts
Posted on 11/12/18 at 8:08 pm
The SEC will come back to where it once was, but it isn’t there yet...
Year - final ranking SOS - Final Record - Comments
2011 - 2 - 1 - 13-1 - (3-1 vs Top 10; 6-1 vs Top 30)
2012 - 14 - 11 - 10-3 - (2-2 vs Top 10; 3-3 vs Top 30)
2013 - 14 - 11 - 10-3 - (1-1 vs Top 10; 2-3 vs Top 30)
2014 - 26 - 7 - 8-5 - (1-3 vs Top 10; 4-4 vs Top 30)
2015 - 16 - 5 - 9-3 - (0-2 vs Top 10; 3-3 vs Top 30)
2016 - 14 - 4 - 8-4 - (0-2 vs Top 10; 2-4 vs Top 30) Miles was 0-2. O was 2-2.
2017 - 18 - 31 - 9-4 - (1-2 vs Top 10; 1-3 vs Top 30)
2018 - (8) 18* - 6* -(11-2) 9-4*.- ( 1-1 vs Top 10; (3-2)2-4 vs Top 30) TAMU could fall out of the Top 30 with a loss.

*Estimates 2018 final rankings and schedule
This post was edited on 11/12/18 at 9:51 pm
Posted by lsutigermall
Plantation Trace
Member since Nov 2006
7301 posts
Posted on 11/12/18 at 8:10 pm to
Good chart. Thanks
Posted by Stephen1979
Member since Oct 2016
5754 posts
Posted on 11/12/18 at 8:11 pm to
Good post. 1988 was a great year
Posted by LSUinMA
Commerce, Texas
Member since Nov 2008
4776 posts
Posted on 11/12/18 at 8:12 pm to
Good effort, but I cant read that shite.

I may be able to squint at it and identify the missing Romulan cruiser.
Posted by UnAnon
Breaux Bridge
Member since Sep 2013
6433 posts
Posted on 11/12/18 at 9:03 pm to
How is LSU 1-1 versus top 10 in 2018 but in 2014 1-3 when Ole Miss and Auburn didn't finish in the top 10?

cause we'd be what 2-1 versus top 10 by that metric this year?
Posted by boxcar willie
kenner
Member since Mar 2011
16035 posts
Posted on 11/12/18 at 9:06 pm to
the way the NCAA calculates SOS it really doesn't mean as much as you think it does
Posted by BornAndRaised_LA
Springfield, VA
Member since Oct 2018
5228 posts
Posted on 11/12/18 at 9:20 pm to
So this projection has us losing to A&M (we’ll be favored) and to our bowl opponent (currently unnamed).

Not sure how they objectively predict the upset and the other loss is pure speculation.

Useless to forecast. Should just show current...
Posted by Nutriaitch
Montegut
Member since Apr 2008
7520 posts
Posted on 11/12/18 at 9:31 pm to
quote:

How is LSU 1-1 versus top 10 in 2018 but in 2014 1-3 when Ole Miss and Auburn didn't finish in the top 10?


both Mississippi schools were top 10’in the final CFP rankings
Posted by moneyg
Member since Jun 2006
56480 posts
Posted on 11/12/18 at 9:36 pm to
There are a lot of ways to calculate SOS. Average, is the poorest method, IMO.

A tough SOS should be based on the number of games you play against quality teams.

It doesn't matter at all in my opinion if your cupcakes are ranked 60, or your cupcakes are ranked 120. It should be very heavily weighted towards top teams.

Posted by Tiger1988
Houston
Member since May 2016
24332 posts
Posted on 11/12/18 at 9:53 pm to
quote:

There are a lot of ways to calculate SOS. Average, is the poorest method, IMO.

A tough SOS should be based on the number of games you play against quality teams.

It doesn't matter at all in my opinion if your cupcakes are ranked 60, or your cupcakes are ranked 120. It should be very heavily weighted towards top teams.


Then Miles would have been one of the greatest coaches of all
Time considering how hard LSU had it in the SEC West and having to play UF EVERY YEAR during that freaking stretch from 2005-2015.

With that said, I used the right way to do that, by the teams power rankings which averages in their schedule against the best. Take a look at Massey or other services and read the method.
Posted by BornAndRaised_LA
Springfield, VA
Member since Oct 2018
5228 posts
Posted on 11/12/18 at 10:02 pm to
How did you do the projected losses and final ranking?
Posted by UnAnon
Breaux Bridge
Member since Sep 2013
6433 posts
Posted on 11/12/18 at 10:08 pm to
exactly my point, bro.
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