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re: Spread dropping like a rock. Thoughts on why?

Posted on 9/11/25 at 12:35 pm to
Posted by kew48
Covington Louisiana
Member since Sep 2006
1548 posts
Posted on 9/11/25 at 12:35 pm to
Money coming in on Florida. , This is the reason for the movement. Vegas doesn’t care who Wins- just to adjust odds to optimize the making the most money !
Posted by Alt26
Member since Mar 2010
34149 posts
Posted on 9/11/25 at 1:18 pm to
Another reason for the movement in Florida's favor is the uncertainty of Moore playing. Outside of QB, there is no other position where an injury to the starter can move the betting line more than Center. I forget the stat, but there is a pretty significant correlation between a team losing their starting center and struggling the following week.

Hell, just look at the Saints last season. Weeks 1 and 2 they score 40+ and, I think, win by the largest margin of victory in the first 2 weeks of a season, combined, in NFL history. The stating center gets hurt in week 3 and the offense/season collapses. Now, that not to say the Saints would not have regressed to the mean even without the injury. But there is no doubt the loss was huge.
Posted by vidtiger23
Member since Feb 2012
7986 posts
Posted on 9/11/25 at 3:00 pm to
quote:

Well we’re 108 in the nation in offense. Thats with a Heisman candidate QB and one team being Tech.

I get you’re point, but I’d be willing to bet the two defenses we’ve faced our one of the toughest pairings in the nation.
Posted by vshouse
Opelousas
Member since Oct 2013
103 posts
Posted on 9/11/25 at 3:47 pm to
Fl is better than the team showed last week. LSU will have to play better than ut did last week.


You can’t say Florida is better than they showed last week without saying the same thing about LSU. Both did not play well
Posted by Honkus
Member since Aug 2005
56577 posts
Posted on 9/12/25 at 3:51 pm to
ESPN Bet NJ juat posted a LSU -6.5 line. Massive to crossover 7. Waiting for my bookie
This post was edited on 9/12/25 at 3:52 pm
Posted by Tigrdynasty
19th hole
Member since Jun 2018
3162 posts
Posted on 9/12/25 at 6:47 pm to
There's one main reason why lines move. Books are minimizing their risk
Posted by theCAW
Polk County
Member since Dec 2023
7334 posts
Posted on 9/12/25 at 6:54 pm to
quote:

Florida is definitely as bad as many think they are
now we’re not we are actually worse

If lsu shits the bed and Florida comes out strong lsu wins 23-13

Of lsu comes out strong it’ll be 34-13
Posted by Tigris Christi
Member since Jul 2016
2136 posts
Posted on 9/12/25 at 6:55 pm to
Really…LSU fans hate Jayden Daniels?

What polling agency did you get that info?
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