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re: Sporting News: Edward Jim Orgeron Jr. is the 15th best coach in America

Posted on 6/21/19 at 10:46 am to
Posted by Damone
FoCo
Member since Aug 2016
32966 posts
Posted on 6/21/19 at 10:46 am to
quote:

The OSU defense was horrible last year too.

They were 26th in S&P+ for 2018, which means statistically LSU's offense would have performed very poorly against them.
Posted by RogerTheShrubber
Juneau, AK
Member since Jan 2009
299716 posts
Posted on 6/21/19 at 10:50 am to
quote:

They were 26th in S&P+ for 2018,


Sounds like he may want to adjust his inputs.

They gave up 26 ppg.

BTW: Georgia was ranked 8th in S&P, LSU put up 475 yards against them.
Posted by MOT
Member since Jul 2006
31030 posts
Posted on 6/21/19 at 10:56 am to
quote:


Looking at the adjusted S&P+ ranking for LSU, particularly for passing, are you under the impression that this was encompassing?

It’s not only adjusted for opponent, it’s done in a way that takes into account the strength of their opponents as well.
quote:


Overall defensive squads were terrible.

Are you under the impression this comment is encompassing, or that averaging the defensive rankings somehow is? His methodology is so much more advanced you can’t even comprehend how simplistic your approach is.
Posted by RB10
Member since Nov 2010
52225 posts
Posted on 6/21/19 at 10:57 am to
quote:

Are you under the impression this comment is encompassing, or that averaging the defensive rankings somehow is? His methodology is so much more advanced you can’t even comprehend how simplistic your approach is.


Roger is in here suggesting that S&P+ adjust their inputs because he doesn't like the results.

Posted by tandrews37
Member since Jun 2019
721 posts
Posted on 6/21/19 at 11:00 am to
quote:

BTW: Georgia was ranked 8th in S&P, LSU put up 475 yards against them.


cool, thanks for proving to everyone that S&P reflects an entire season's worth of data, and not just 8% of it.
Posted by Damone
FoCo
Member since Aug 2016
32966 posts
Posted on 6/21/19 at 11:01 am to
quote:

Sounds like he may want to adjust his inputs.


You should let him know since you’re on the cusp of the most accurate statistical analysis of football we’ve ever seen.
Posted by tandrews37
Member since Jun 2019
721 posts
Posted on 6/21/19 at 11:02 am to
quote:

Got a link to that?


tigerdroppings.com

Posted by tandrews37
Member since Jun 2019
721 posts
Posted on 6/21/19 at 11:04 am to
quote:

Overall defensive squads were terrible.



yes, a large chunk of the defenses that LSU faced in 2016 and 2017 were in fact terrible.

Posted by tandrews37
Member since Jun 2019
721 posts
Posted on 6/21/19 at 11:05 am to
quote:

But did they factor in that Haskins and Day would go full-retard and blow their playoff slot by desperately seeking Heisman stats in the Purdue game?


color me shocked. another O-tard who doesn't understand S&P.
Posted by MOT
Member since Jul 2006
31030 posts
Posted on 6/21/19 at 11:05 am to
Here is a link to an explanation of S&P+ for anyone who really is interested in learning about the metrics. This article is a couple years old and I believe he has made some slight adjustments since then.

It’s clearly not as in depth as sorting stat columns on the NCAA’s website, but maybe one day Bill will learn to think outside the box a little, do some actual research, and possibly get up to the same speed as the wizards in our fan base.

LINK
Posted by tandrews37
Member since Jun 2019
721 posts
Posted on 6/21/19 at 11:06 am to
If he fails to win the West or make the playoffs in the next two seasons, he will take care of that himself.
Posted by RogerTheShrubber
Juneau, AK
Member since Jan 2009
299716 posts
Posted on 6/21/19 at 11:06 am to
quote:

who doesn't understand S&P.


You've clearly stated that you don't understand the S&P
Posted by tandrews37
Member since Jun 2019
721 posts
Posted on 6/21/19 at 11:06 am to
quote:

You've clearly stated that you don't understand the S&P


got a link to that quote from me, buster brown?
Posted by Buckeye Jeaux
Member since May 2018
17756 posts
Posted on 6/21/19 at 11:24 am to
quote:

color me shocked. another O-tard who doesn't understand S&P.
BS! I understand it perfectly... Some dudes force feed oodles & oodles of football stats into a black box and come up with predictions that are the teeniest bit better than a coin-flip.

Then they sell this crap to corporate media pinheads, and everybody lives happily ever after!
This post was edited on 6/21/19 at 11:25 am
Posted by CaptainPanic
18.44311,-64.764021
Member since Sep 2011
25582 posts
Posted on 6/21/19 at 11:28 am to
It's a conspiracy!!!!
Posted by RogerTheShrubber
Juneau, AK
Member since Jan 2009
299716 posts
Posted on 6/21/19 at 11:29 am to
quote:

You should let him know


He recently changed his formula. He'll keep updating and make it better.

quote:

My new S&P+ formula more heavily weights recent history/priors by keeping preseason projections included in the projections for the full season. And the conference-level adjustments I added had the effect of slapping down the ratings of most teams from mid-major conferences while propping up a lot of P5s.
Posted by lsu2006
BR
Member since Feb 2004
40140 posts
Posted on 6/21/19 at 11:29 am to
The college football deep state cabal is out to get Poor Old Ed. Sick people!
Posted by Lonnie4LSU
Baton Rouge
Member since Aug 2008
9525 posts
Posted on 6/21/19 at 11:34 am to
quote:

you drunk
m

No.

2015 averaged 440 yrs of O per game. 2018 averaged 402 yrs per game.
Posted by Buckeye Jeaux
Member since May 2018
17756 posts
Posted on 6/21/19 at 11:35 am to
Conspiracy? Nah. Most ball coaches would call S+P, "noise".
Posted by RogerTheShrubber
Juneau, AK
Member since Jan 2009
299716 posts
Posted on 6/21/19 at 11:36 am to
quote:

that are the teeniest bit better than a coin-flip.


yep. S&P is meant to be predictive but is very slightly more accurate than a coin toss.

But the entire process is still a work in progress.
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