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Shocking numbers, outsiders showing more love for LSU and their players than LSU fans

Posted on 9/14/22 at 5:23 am
Posted by TrueTigerTale
Zachary, La.
Member since Sep 2011
19318 posts
Posted on 9/14/22 at 5:23 am
Most of the those streaming the odds on college football are favoring LSU to win, they’re going against Vegas. Most are citing Kelly’s coaching and the improvement of LSU from week one to week two. Some see a win for Kelly this week as pivotal in the progression of LSU football, which to me implies Kelly and the Tigers being more aggressive and more focused overall on winning. LSU wins, the tricky part is, by how much? Will this game be a 24 - 21 pt. affair or 44 - 34?
This post was edited on 9/14/22 at 6:21 am
Posted by LSUTIGERS8181
Houston, TX
Member since Aug 2012
9988 posts
Posted on 9/14/22 at 5:31 am to
All betting sites have State favored. Not sure where you’re getting info from but looking at Odds Shark now it has LSU projected to lose 34-23. You must think we grew some LB’s and Safties over night
Posted by Choot em Tiger
Member since Jan 2012
9748 posts
Posted on 9/14/22 at 5:32 am to
Last week odd sharks computer model had Southern winning 26-24.
Posted by Hurricane2020
Member since Apr 2020
2460 posts
Posted on 9/14/22 at 5:46 am to
Idk what games that you have been watching but our safety play has been probably the best position on the field, with CB right behind it. Our LBs have been mediocre, but safeties are doing good.
Posted by DeafJam73
Baton Rouge
Member since Sep 2010
18401 posts
Posted on 9/14/22 at 6:16 am to
I’m not sure the SU game is a good metric of progress. It’s good game speed reps, but MSU will be very telling if LSU has actually gotten better. Blowing out SU all game is exactly what they were supposed to do. I’m not being negative, but it’s just going to take time for this team to really improve.
Posted by TrueTigerTale
Zachary, La.
Member since Sep 2011
19318 posts
Posted on 9/14/22 at 6:18 am to
quote:

All betting sites have State favored. Not sure where you’re getting info from but looking at Odds Shark now it has LSU projected to lose 34-23.


You must have a reading comprehension disorder. I never stated nor implied those making the point spreads were mostly favoring State. I clearly pointed to those who are streaming and selecting the winners of the point spreads. Cleary that is something you have trouble comprehending, you appear to suffer from this more than most of our wives! That is telling!
This post was edited on 9/14/22 at 6:26 am
Posted by Sleepy_Tiger
Baton Rouge, La
Member since Aug 2021
6707 posts
Posted on 9/14/22 at 8:34 am to
Thanks for confirming somebody hacked your account last week. I thought it was odd I agreed with most of your post.

Back to the usual dribble I see
Posted by Timeoday
Easter Island
Member since Aug 2020
8431 posts
Posted on 9/14/22 at 8:42 am to
The dog at home when given less than 7, baws. The dog at home when given less than 7. Oldest rule in the book!!
This post was edited on 9/14/22 at 8:44 am
Posted by PP7 for heisman
New Orleans
Member since Feb 2011
5310 posts
Posted on 9/14/22 at 9:22 am to
quote:

Odds Shark now it has LSU projected to lose 34-23.

Oddsharks prediction model could not be more useless.

It has multiple 20+ point underdogs winning outright.

It has Va tech (-36) losing to woffard, kent state (-34.5) losing to LIU, Cincinatti (-22) losing to Miami-Ohio, Kentucky (25.5) losing to Youngstown state, and Northwestern (-20.5) losing 32 to 8 to Southern Illinois.

Their "prediction model" means absolutely nothing.
Posted by ccomeaux
LA
Member since Jan 2010
8184 posts
Posted on 9/14/22 at 9:26 am to
Predictive algorithms this early in the season are a bit squirrely.
Posted by Forever
Member since Dec 2019
5720 posts
Posted on 9/14/22 at 9:39 am to
quote:

ot sure where you’re getting info from but looking at Odds Shark now it has LSU projected to lose 34-23

Odds Shark is dog shite. I’m convinced that they don’t even actually run simulations. I ran an analysis on their accuracy to see if I could find betting arbitrage opportunities where I took the biggest discrepancy between their projected scores and the point spreads and I would’ve lost almost every bet on 10 games. Their models are less accurate than educated guesses and far less accurate than point spreads
Posted by LATECHgradLSUfan
LA
Member since Sep 2007
3259 posts
Posted on 9/14/22 at 10:03 am to
quote:

It has Va tech (-36) losing to woffard, kent state (-34.5) losing to LIU, Cincinatti (-22) losing to Miami-Ohio, Kentucky (25.5) losing to Youngstown state, and Northwestern (-20.5) losing 32 to 8 to Southern Illinois.



How in the world do they publish that trash...that is horrendous
Posted by TrueTigerTale
Zachary, La.
Member since Sep 2011
19318 posts
Posted on 9/14/22 at 10:27 am to
quote:

Thanks for confirming somebody hacked your account last week. I thought it was odd I agreed with most of your post.

Back to the usual dribble I see


Your post made me laugh. It’s all cool baw. I respect LSU fans that think LSU will likely lose to State and are willing to give Kelly time to rebuild. I just found it interesting that outsiders streaming their picks are mostly picking LSU. Are they not willing to give Kelly time, and just wanting to grind on him if LSZu loses? What’s up with that?
This post was edited on 9/14/22 at 12:22 pm
Posted by Hurricane Mike
Member since Jun 2008
20059 posts
Posted on 9/14/22 at 11:38 am to
quote:

Most are citing Kelly’s coaching and the improvement of LSU from week one to week two.


No such case could even begin to be made by playing Southern

quote:

Most of the those streaming the odds on college football are favoring LSU to win, they’re going against Vegas


How did those people fare in Week 1?



Posted by Hurricane Mike
Member since Jun 2008
20059 posts
Posted on 9/14/22 at 11:42 am to
quote:

I’m not sure the SU game is a good metric of progress


You're not sure? They're one of the worst teams in 1AA
Posted by TrueTigerTale
Zachary, La.
Member since Sep 2011
19318 posts
Posted on 9/14/22 at 12:28 pm to
quote:

I’m not sure the SU game is a good metric of progress

You're not sure? They're one of the worst teams in 1AA


Are you sure there’s no benefit? In playing Southern it allowed LSU to the benefit of working on all 3 phases of their game. LSU fans will find out how much beneficial it was this Saturday because Miss St is poses a challenge on both sides of the ball.
This post was edited on 9/14/22 at 12:31 pm
Posted by White Tiger
Dallas
Member since Jul 2007
12830 posts
Posted on 9/14/22 at 12:40 pm to
I seriously doubt LSU wins on Saturday. There is a good chance the defense will be completely befuddled with the MSU offense.

Posted by weadjust
Member since Aug 2012
15082 posts
Posted on 9/14/22 at 12:41 pm to
quote:

I clearly pointed to those who are streaming and selecting the winners of the point spreads.


I doubt many of these streamers or anybody for that matter has actually watched State play. Game 1 had a 2 hour rain delay and ended about 1 AM eastern time and Game 2 was on FS1 and ended at 3AM eastern time.
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