re: Predict McMahon Year 3 SEC Record

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I think 12-8 is the ceiling but we are lock step in our thinking, otherwise

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My first instinct was 11-7 but I looked at our schedule and started counting what I think will be wins and losses and the uncertainty of Reed's status and I'm saying 9-9 but this 9-9 will be much different than last year's 9-9 as I think the conference is better and I think we will have fared much better in the OOC this year than last year - we shite the bed last year OOC.

But I think 9-9 in the SEC this year gets us in the dance!

This is the best the SEC has probably ever been at basketball. We are the #1 conference by a longshot right now and that never happens. Total domination in the ACC/SEC challenge right now with 6 more games to go (9-1 currently).

It's going to be extremely tough sledding to get wins in this conference

10-8 and I’m taking receipts

Man, 8-10 with this schedule wouldnt be bad. Ill go with 9-9, but i could easily see 8-10 or 10-8, hard to see if being outside of that without major injury. Im expecting reed to be back by sec play with this prediction

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League is stacked. Had them at 9-9 before the season started.

I think 11-7 is the ceiling and 7-11 is the floor

I'd be happy with 9-9.

We beat SMU and finish 12-1 in OOC, that will get us a tourney bid

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That's why stacking wins in the non-conf. schedule this year is more important than ever. No one in the SEC is suffering "bad" losses and, in many cases, everyone is compiling multiple good wins.

IF LSU can finish the non-conf. schedule 12-1, I think you are looking at a situation where 10-8 in conf. play almost certainly gets them in the NCAAT. 9-9 will (likely) give them a strong argument, but just short of a certainty. 8-10 still MIGHT get LSU in, but there would probably be at best a 50/50 shot.

In no sport is the home field/court advantage greater than in college basketball. So I try to break down expectations from that perspective. I think a 6-3 record at home and 3-6 record on the road is a realistic baseline goal. Even in what looks to be maybe the toughest SEC in decades. If that were to happen, LSU would finish the regular season 21-10 and, more importantly, 6-7 in games away from home (Neutral/Road). Wins away from home are MASSIVE come selection Sunday and 21 overall wins + 6 neutral/road wins should be good enough for a spot out of a very strong conference.