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Point Spreads for the rest of the season

Posted on 10/28/24 at 12:39 pm
Posted by BarcarMartini
Metairie, LA
Member since Oct 2024
5 posts
Posted on 10/28/24 at 12:39 pm
Alabama - This will likely fall somewhere between LSU -1.5 and Alabama -2.5. This is what is also live on some early markets and makes sense. So, effectively a toss up, but I do imagine Alabama will ultimately close a very small favorite

@ Florida - Likely in the ballpark of LSU -3 to -5. A&M were three point favorites against them back in September in Gainesville, I imagine they'd be higher now given what has transpired since then. According to Vegas odds last Saturday, we are basically even on a neutral field with A&M. Florida has played quite well lately and this won't be an easy out. This will be on the higher end depending on what we show vs Alabama and how Florida shows the next two weeks against two good teams.

Vandy - Think this will be in the ball park of LSU -12 to -14, and I think I'm being conservative here. I'd still be pretty surprised at anything less than that even with how they've performed recently. Remember it wasn't even a month ago that this team lost to Georgia State and was duking it out with Ball State the entire game until the 4th quarter two weeks ago. Texas was 17 pt favorites AT Vandy. At home they would've been -20ish. I think Texas is ~7 pts better than us on a neutral field.

Oklahoma - Something like -10.5. Ole Miss was -11 at home against them last week.

Beat Alabama and you are probably close to a touchdown favorite against a hopefully banged up Florida team who had been on the road for two weeks before that. Then, you are almost certainly double digit favorites at home against your remaining two opponents. This season is very much alive (yes, I know we suck and Nussmeier is the second coming of Jordan Jefferson in the Rant's eyes, spare me for two seconds please). If nothing else, simply enjoy that we are playing meaningful football in November.

This post was edited on 10/28/24 at 12:41 pm
Posted by Alt26
Member since Mar 2010
32191 posts
Posted on 10/28/24 at 12:49 pm to
If the lines came out today it looks like they would be around:

Alabama (-1.5)
Florida (+1.5)
Vandy (+11)
Oklahoma (+10)

**This is based upon the Action Network power ratings which have LSU at 87.5 (No. 13). The power ratings are a bit higher on Florida than the record/results might suggest.
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