Other SEC Baseball teams to root for this weekend

Good point. I didn't look at it from that lens but probably should. Any team that could push us out, we should be rooting against.

Vandy gets mizzou this weekend and South Carolina next weekend… they won’t be on the bubble for long

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andy gets mizzou this weekend and South Carolina next weekend… they won’t be on the bubble for long

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Vandy also lost to Louisville this week who was another bubble team. They should win those series but they need a 5-1 finish, like LSU. They are not a secure thing by any means.

Warren Nolan's RPI prediction isnt painting a pretty picture for us

It does have us only going 2-4 to finish out, which at 11-19 we'd have an RPI of 55 headed into the SECT, not great. Seems as if even if we have one of our best case scenarios play out and we go 5-1 say to finish 14-16, our RPI at best would be in the mid-high 40s? Seems like to even get an at-large we'd probably have to nearly make the SECT title game to improve the RPI enough.

14-16 has always been "automatic" for the SEC in the past but no one's RPI has been that poor (high 40s) either (believe i saw it was in the 30s at worst in the past 5ish years)...those quad 4 losses really killing us. Will be interesting to see how it all plays out, if we go 4-2 or worse, we are definitely out sans winning the SECt it feels.



For reference here, it also has Vanderbilt who is currently 68 in RPI finishing out undefeated and 16-14 in the conference (they have Mizzou and South Carolina left) and their RPI will only improve to 59 on their prediction headed into the SECT. That would be shocking to see a 16-14 SEC team left out the tournament but sure seems like they are screwed sans winning the SECt

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Vandy actually beat Louisville pretty handily. Louisville is all but out of the postseason unless they win the acc tournament

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My bad. I got the game mixed up in my head somehow. You're right.

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Good point. I didn't look at it from that lens but probably should. Any team that could push us out, we should be rooting against.

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Hunt did a segment earlier this week looking at it through that lens. Last year, with the addition of Texas and OU, the SEC got 13 of 16 teams in. The year before, they got 11 of 14. He thinks that with NIL and the portal, the dissolution of the Pac, the Big 10 being basically UCLA and nobody else, us taking the Big 12s best 2 team, that it’s clear most of the top talent is spread throughout the SEC, so getting about 12 of 16 should be the new norm.

And with all the changes, the 13 conference wins or 14 wins isn’t going be the exact same barometer that it once was. Will still probably close, but what he thinks will be more important is having a top 12 overall resume of the 16 SEC teams (adding 2 extra teams makes for a greater differences in schedules), so that overall resume will not just include overall SEC standings (which is always going to be the most heavily weighted still), but RPI, quad 1 wins, quad 4 losses, etc…

So, in his “path for LSU to make a regional,” he 1st thought we need to try to get to #12 or 13 in the SEC standings 1st. We are currently 14th, and we can go ahead and remove Mizzou and South Carolina from the discussion. We are 1 game behind Vandy and 2 games behind Kentucky. So we need to pull against those 2 teams. I can’t remember who Kentucky plays, but Vandy finishes with Mizzou and SC (I think).

This is where his overall resume theory comes in. He thinks we can finish a game behind Vandy, who beat us 2/3, and still have an overall better resume due to their RPI, which was about 12-15 spots lower than ours if I recall, and won’t get much better with their 2 remaining opponents. Now, if they sweep both series, we’re probably screwed. But if they go 4-2, we could potentially go 4-2, still finish a game behind them, and still have the better overall resume and get in over them. I don’t know if that is provided Kentucky goes 3-3 or worse, and we finished tied with them for 13th or just ahead in the overall standings at 13th alone.
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