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re: Oregon Blog Predicts the Game

Posted on 8/15/11 at 4:39 pm to
Posted by bisonduck
Oregon City, OR
Member since Apr 2011
13374 posts
Posted on 8/15/11 at 4:39 pm to
Yeah, it's about even (the dline). Our oline goes 302, 292, 291, 300, 325 and LSU's like 340/325 on the bookends and I know that blackwell and longeran go like 290/300 and I believe the other guard is like 305. So, ours is like 302 across and yours like 312.
This post was edited on 8/15/11 at 4:41 pm
Posted by therick711
South
Member since Jan 2008
26097 posts
Posted on 8/15/11 at 4:40 pm to
quote:

"How would your projection change if LSU some how, some way against all odds comes up with a rushing performance on the order of what Stanford did in '09?"

Jordan Jefferson /= Andrew Luck


Reading helps you understand what is being asked. Last I checked in '09 no one voted for Luck as the Heisman candidate and he didn't have a career day throwing.

Check the video a few pages back. Was it that great passing offense that allowed Gerhart to break all those tackles? I forgot, you guys are the steel curtain and any time someone gashes you it is just because they were lucky or they set a record on the ground because of their passing offense. Look at Luck's stats, not otherworldly passing. 12/20 251 12.6 2Tds. Looks like they could just do whatever they wanted with you. Ever thought that maybe the five loss team just beat you up?
This post was edited on 8/15/11 at 4:45 pm
Posted by bisonduck
Oregon City, OR
Member since Apr 2011
13374 posts
Posted on 8/15/11 at 4:42 pm to
quote:

Reading helps you understand what is being asked. Last I checked in '09 no one voted for Luck as the Heisman candidate and he didn't have a career day throwing.


Without looking at the stats he was like 15/21 for like 254 yards. That is a guess. He was throwing dimes, dude. Try again. Fail.

Edited: he was 12/20 251 2 tds and no interception. He dropped some dimes in that game.
This post was edited on 8/15/11 at 4:47 pm
Posted by therick711
South
Member since Jan 2008
26097 posts
Posted on 8/15/11 at 4:53 pm to
quote:

Without looking at the stats he was like 15/21 for like 254 yards. That is a guess. He was throwing dimes, dude. Try again. Fail.


Yeah he killed you. It certainly wasn't the big white guy with 220 yards rushing and 3 touchdowns. Definitely the respect for Luck. Hopefully since then you have figured out that when someone is plowing over you, you might want to quit focusing on the passing game. Looks more like a coaching Fail.

ETA: Look at that time of Possession

Possession Oregon 22:17 Fighting Trees 37:43

That no huddle can be a bitch.
This post was edited on 8/15/11 at 5:00 pm
Posted by Ace Midnight
Between sanity and madness
Member since Dec 2006
94716 posts
Posted on 8/15/11 at 4:55 pm to
quote:

Or is your prediction assuming such a performance and a terrible passing game?


My prediction, since this is the opener, is based on past history and the "knowns". It would be hard to project, say, Ware and Ford each breaking 100 yards. If that actually happens, LSU probably wins going away, on the order or 42 to 20. I'm assuming an inconsistent offense, not necessarily a terrible one - missed reads, routes broken off, false starts, illegal procedure, delay of game, just off-season rust stuff, on LSU's part.

I'm assuming that, scheme-wise, LSU contains Oregon in the first half and at the end of the game. Oregon's best chance is after making some halftime adjustments against a possibly tired LSU defense.

Posted by bisonduck
Oregon City, OR
Member since Apr 2011
13374 posts
Posted on 8/15/11 at 5:01 pm to
quote:

Yeah he killed you. It certainly wasn't the big white guy with 220 yards rushing and 3 touchdowns. Definitely the respect for Luck. Hopefully since then you have figured out that when someone is plowing over you, you might want to quit focusing on the passing game. Looks more like a coaching Fail.

ETA: Look at that time of Possession

Possession Oregon 22:17 Fighting Trees 37:43

That no huddle can be a bitch.


Luck stretched the defense. He was very instrumental in Gerhart getting the 220. Likewise, Stanford was coming of age and we just came off the biggest arse whoopn' that USC had taken in a decade. That was very much a trap game.
This post was edited on 8/15/11 at 5:02 pm
Posted by bisonduck
Oregon City, OR
Member since Apr 2011
13374 posts
Posted on 8/15/11 at 5:12 pm to
I think another misnomer that floats around a lot is the size of WR corp. It will be a very physical unit.
Posted by JDubOregon
Eugene, Or
Member since Aug 2011
299 posts
Posted on 8/15/11 at 5:39 pm to
quote:

Possession Oregon 22:17 Fighting Trees 37:43

That no huddle can be a bitch.


Don't forget that was LMJ first year of getting real experience and Masoli at QB.

On a side note that is probably the highest T.O.P. for the Ducks the whole year.
Posted by White Tiger
Dallas
Member since Jul 2007
15193 posts
Posted on 8/15/11 at 8:35 pm to
quote:


No one is disputing Oregon has good skill players, but how can you run or set and pass when you're getting hit in the backfield? Oregon is SOFT...I said it.


This statement actually skirts the edges of reason. While the Va Tech game has nothing whatever to do with the upcoming contest against the feared Ducks, I think that relatively speaking, UO is SOFT. They are more likely to get stuffed than take flight.

Posted by White Tiger
Dallas
Member since Jul 2007
15193 posts
Posted on 8/15/11 at 8:37 pm to
Man, I love the Duck Commander!
Posted by SteveLSU35
Shreveport
Member since Mar 2004
14842 posts
Posted on 8/15/11 at 8:51 pm to
Oregon scored their last TD on AU b/c the ref threw a great block and allowed a huge play. It would have been a tackle for a short gain.

They if that play is stopped they punt and Oregon on scores 11 pts on AU's "great d".

This was on 3rd down too.
This post was edited on 8/15/11 at 8:56 pm
Posted by hellboy
Anywhere but here.
Member since Aug 2009
129 posts
Posted on 8/15/11 at 9:24 pm to
At the end of the day, you will struggle to manage the line of scrimmage and that will be your undoing.

You won't consistenly keep our dline out of your backfield; your dline will have breakdowns versus our running game that will be costly.

But that's not all.

Our back 7 are absolutely superior athletes and superbly coached and prepared. Better than you faced versus Auburn.

They will attack and swarm to the ball and neither your running nor your passing game will be nearly as effective as you had hoped. At least not beyond the middle of the 1st quarter.

You will take an early lead. However, we will adjust to your style of play by the 2nd quarter and you will execute less and less effectively than you need to to maintain that early lead.

Our offense will begin to gather momentum and take the lead going into the half.

We extend our lead to 14-17 points in the 3rd.

You find a new wrinkle or 2 which allow you to draw near, so people have the sense that it was a close game.

But in the end we win by 10-14 and it really won't have been all that close.

Not really.

This post was edited on 8/15/11 at 9:49 pm
Posted by bisonduck
Oregon City, OR
Member since Apr 2011
13374 posts
Posted on 8/15/11 at 9:35 pm to
Auburn got breaks as well. It works both ways.
Posted by DucksflyinPAC
Portland, Oregon
Member since Mar 2011
1872 posts
Posted on 8/15/11 at 11:07 pm to
quote:

Speed kills! just saying



Posted by Lsupimp
Ersatz Amerika-97.6% phony & fake
Member since Nov 2003
85209 posts
Posted on 9/3/11 at 11:38 pm to
How'd this work out for ya ?


You are who we thought you were.
Posted by LSUCanFAN
In the past
Member since Jan 2009
28097 posts
Posted on 9/3/11 at 11:40 pm to
My prediction was 40 to 21
LINK
Posted by jjbodean1970
Huntington, WV
Member since Mar 2006
6493 posts
Posted on 9/3/11 at 11:40 pm to
quote:

At the end of the day, you will struggle to manage the line of scrimmage and that will be your undoing.

You won't consistenly keep our dline out of your backfield; your dline will have breakdowns versus our running game that will be costly.

But that's not all.

Our back 7 are absolutely superior athletes and superbly coached and prepared. Better than you faced versus Auburn.

They will attack and swarm to the ball and neither your running nor your passing game will be nearly as effective as you had hoped. At least not beyond the middle of the 1st quarter.

You will take an early lead. However, we will adjust to your style of play by the 2nd quarter and you will execute less and less effectively than you need to to maintain that early lead.

Our offense will begin to gather momentum and take the lead going into the half.

We extend our lead to 14-17 points in the 3rd.

You find a new wrinkle or 2 which allow you to draw near, so people have the sense that it was a close game.

But in the end we win by 10-14 and it really won't have been all that close.

Not really.

spot on, basically a script of the game.
Posted by SteveLSU35
Shreveport
Member since Mar 2004
14842 posts
Posted on 9/3/11 at 11:43 pm to
Posted by BulkLogan1
Gonzales
Member since Jan 2009
1150 posts
Posted on 9/3/11 at 11:44 pm to
:lol:
Posted by Swampcat
Member since Dec 2003
12268 posts
Posted on 9/3/11 at 11:46 pm to
U play in the pac10.
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