odds makers pick LSU to finish 7-5

quote:

---

Do the money people at LSU ask for Miles head if the odds makers turn out to be correct?

---

i'd have to say yes

quote:

---

sounds about right.

---

I didnt realize that public opinion of LSU was so low that they will be dogs @ Auburn

Also, didnt realize that Ark is actually considered BETTER than LSU, as the 6 includes maybe 3 for home field, but the rest of that six is 3 the gamblers think Ark is worth on a neutral site.

I am thinking that if the gamblers think LSU is not all that great, as you say, 7-5 "SOUNDS about right", then Miles should not be hounded about it.

I should have said it more as I felt it, as just stated.

quote:

---

I am thinking that if the gamblers think LSU is not all that great, as you say, 7-5 "SOUNDS about right", then Miles should not be hounded about it.

---

It sounds about right because of Miles

Looking back at last year, the gold sheet predicted a 7-5 regular season as well. They had us as dogs to Georgia, Florida, Bama, OM and Arky. So we beat that by 2 games. While Vegas does a damn good job most of the time, they aren't clairvoyant.

These "early" spreads are what bookies set to tempt the crowd (aka LSU FANS), so we bet the opposite. IT'S NOT ACTUALLY WHO THEY THINK WILL WIN.

quote:

---

Do the money people at LSU ask for Miles head if the odds makers turn out to be correct?

---

yes

he's expected to contend for the SEC West most years - not contend with .500

FWIW this is a year I'd take the over comfortably with LSU - I'd say 9-3 in spite of a difficult schedule

LSU draws plenty of betting action, offshore and in LV, and despite the early GOY lines, there is no way LV or Offshore hang LSU's season win total up at a flat 7. Look for at least an O/U of 7.5 or higher, probably set at 8(maybe 8.5), even if they're predicting hard rain for LSU.

If for no other reason than the last decade's reputation, and being a popular team, as the USC Fla OU Tex Bama LSU of the NCAA preseason numbers are shaded hard and are usually unfair. LSU has usually been set at 8, 8.5, or 9, on an 11 gm schedule. And at 9, 9.5, 10, 10.5 often, on 12 game schedules.

If LSU opens at even say 7.5, it would get hit, and go up in moneyline pricing, and/or also to 8. A flat 7 would get pounded by Over money. Not that NCAA futures have very high betting limits, they don't.

UNC is on a neutral field where LSU has great history, 8 of 12 are in Tigerstadium, with ULM, McNeese, MSU, WVU, and also a Vandy road tilt, in the mix. Still retooling Aub, Tenn, Old Myth without Snead. Then Bama primetime CBS in TS, UF and Ark on road.

Auburn is even money IMO.

quote:

---

will those odds remain the same if Les Miles get Mitch Mustain?

---

I know you are joking.

A third-string QB playing behind a true Frosh, off a 9-4 2009 Pac-10 team that was routed in it's defeats, is better than and/or good enough to transfer to an 2009 9-4 LSU that was razor-close in all losses via an SEC schedule, and muddy Big-10 bowl loss. And can just come in and learn the playbook, then proceed to steal the job from an almost two year incumbent..all in the span of less than eighty-something days 'til season kickoff?

Not that arguably, some players given team strengths and weaknesses, and/or current personnel, can't be better fits for some teams, schemes, or conference style play. But, it would be asking a bunch of most any collegiate QB.

If you can't win it..spin it..hard!