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re: New betting strategy - for me at least

Posted on 8/21/25 at 11:38 am to
Posted by Richleau
Member since Dec 2018
3981 posts
Posted on 8/21/25 at 11:38 am to
Twenty bucks well worth it.
Posted by nicholastiger
Member since Jan 2004
53740 posts
Posted on 8/21/25 at 11:39 am to
I bet you gamble on LLWS
Posted by Topwater Trout
Red Stick
Member since Oct 2010
69450 posts
Posted on 8/21/25 at 11:58 am to
quote:

You guys are morons.


says the dumbass that came up with this can't lose betting strategy

you do realize if you are taking the point spread it really doesn't matter which side you take bc the spread is set to entice people to bet both sides.

Also if you are doing to have fun never bet on your team.
Posted by Richleau
Member since Dec 2018
3981 posts
Posted on 8/21/25 at 11:59 am to
Who said it’s can’t lose? Can any of you guys read?
Posted by Topwater Trout
Red Stick
Member since Oct 2010
69450 posts
Posted on 8/21/25 at 12:10 pm to
quote:

Who said it’s can’t lose?


oh my bad your whole thread premise is a new fun way to lose money gambling...got it! The thread is even dumber now...you basically just made a thread telling everyone to do high pick parlays to get a high payout...genius! i never would have thought that making really high odd bets would yield higher payouts
Posted by Sissidog02
Member since Jan 2020
6761 posts
Posted on 8/21/25 at 12:11 pm to
I use to bet every major sport college and pro. I won tens of thousands of $$, knew every team’s pros and cons.
Football by far the most popular and fun to me. This was from the Early 80s thru the 2010s, no computers early, searching for scores minute by minute, and chasing losses. I’ve heard every story and lived them. Betting with bookies named the Greek, the Barber, frat boys, and later online. As I got older i bet more and then won until the cold hard truth hits. I lost hundreds of thousands of dollars, vehicles, lied to people, and worst of all almost lost my family. The hard truth is NOBODY WINS but the house in the end. IDGAF what anyone says you cannot win, so preach to the young guys that line of sht. I’ve been there Done that- trust me you don’t want to go there. I guess it’s been over 10years now and haven’t bet on a single game. I can tell you tons of great, fun, dangerous, and sad stories but most people who gambled like me, have the same stories and most if not all end horribly. Remember the Most successful gamblers in history only hit 56% of their bets and the rest of us degenerates squirrels hit 10-39%. Stay safe, have fun, never bet more than you can afford(have a personal bankroll) and be disciplined. It’s an addiction like anything else, so be careful.
Posted by Richleau
Member since Dec 2018
3981 posts
Posted on 8/21/25 at 12:18 pm to
It’s twenty bucks you freak.
Posted by Richleau
Member since Dec 2018
3981 posts
Posted on 8/21/25 at 12:21 pm to
Sorry for your sad story. That’s rough man. Again, it’s 20 bucks and for fun. You guys however are weird and lame.
Posted by Tiger Ugly
Baton Rouge
Member since Jul 2008
17609 posts
Posted on 8/21/25 at 12:27 pm to
I like to listen to Ronny Rantz's show on Saturday and if Tommy Krysand is on - I fade his bets. Been working out great.
Posted by Saunson69
Stephen the Pirate
Member since May 2023
8230 posts
Posted on 8/21/25 at 12:30 pm to
quote:

Yeah but the spreads reflect that and make it more difficult than those sports.


Games like Baylor -1.5 vs LSU would be an example. Baylor was hot, so Vegas thought they'd win, but a team that pulls a 5th to 7th ranked recruiting class will usually beat a team who pulls in a 50th ranked class most times. That was sort of an anomaly spread. I just find CF betting easier. Especially home field advantage. I think Vegas applies the standard -3 point edge to home field advantage like they do in the NFL, but in my opinion home field advantage in CF is worth way more than 3 pts. I think it's 7. For example in the last 5 years, in the TAMU and Ole Miss game... LSU would've lost that Ole MIss game last year by at least 7 if it was at Ole Miss. We lost by 15 at TAMU last year, but if that game were in BR last year, I think we would've won. Same for Florida. UF beat LSU by 15 last year. If that game were at LSU, LSU likely wins imo.

Those were 15 point losses on the road that I think LSU wins at home. And Vegas thinks home field is just 3 points in CF. It's easy to take advantage of that over the long run.

You can tell Vegas thinks home field in CF is worth 3 because that's why Clemson started -3 vs LSU, and Ohio St -3 vs Texas. We have no data points this season, no one really knows who in which matchup is better, so Vegas has them as equal, and just puts a 3 pt edge to the home team in both matchup. The betting action has brought it to -3.5 to -4 Clemson (-105 payout) and -2.5 Ohio St.
This post was edited on 8/21/25 at 12:38 pm
Posted by Topwater Trout
Red Stick
Member since Oct 2010
69450 posts
Posted on 8/21/25 at 12:33 pm to
quote:

It’s twenty bucks you freak.


idiot proclaims new betting strategy and is downvoted into oblivion...starts calling people morons and freaks. Stick to FB dumbass
Posted by Richleau
Member since Dec 2018
3981 posts
Posted on 8/21/25 at 12:38 pm to
“For me” you obviously can’t read and that’s a shame. Just go back and look at your posts. None of what you proclaim I said, I actually said. It’s actually kind of frightening. Perhaps you should get checked out.
Posted by Topwater Trout
Red Stick
Member since Oct 2010
69450 posts
Posted on 8/21/25 at 12:45 pm to
quote:

New betting strategy


your thread title

quote:

None of what you proclaim I said, I actually said.


see above dumbass...my initial reply was...


quote:

yeh those 14+ favorites never lose just take a bunch to win with -500 odds.


your reply...

quote:

You guys are morons.


word of advice if you post something retarded own it and STFU

Posted by Richleau
Member since Dec 2018
3981 posts
Posted on 8/21/25 at 12:54 pm to
“For me at least” you really are retarded. Seek help.
Posted by ClientNumber9
Member since Feb 2009
9930 posts
Posted on 8/21/25 at 1:14 pm to
quote:

Never bet against your team. I did bet against LSU vs. Clemson however.


Posted by Fat Bastard
2024 NFL pick'em champion
Member since Mar 2009
88501 posts
Posted on 8/21/25 at 2:28 pm to
quote:

I disagree if you mean College Football. I won 58% of my ATS last year i


that is great. no, i am good ATS with college football also. Still it is way harder than my NHL and MLB systesm i run year round. money line sports are easier than spreAD SPORTS ( nfl, nba, college roundball etc )
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