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Started By
Message
re: LSU is a 10 point favorite vs UK
Posted on 10/12/14 at 5:30 pm to bayoubengal225
Posted on 10/12/14 at 5:30 pm to bayoubengal225
You like that line.
All I've said is that each game left on LSU's schedule is both winnable and losable.
Kentucky is no different. They are a good team with a very capable offense. It will be a challenge, just like every game we have left.
Have a great day.
All I've said is that each game left on LSU's schedule is both winnable and losable.
Kentucky is no different. They are a good team with a very capable offense. It will be a challenge, just like every game we have left.
Have a great day.
0
Posted on 10/12/14 at 5:31 pm to Scoob
quote:
10 pt favorite sounds about right.
Eh, I just think it's a bit high.
8 seems about right.
Posted on 10/12/14 at 5:34 pm to Shaun176
If o-line plays like last night, that spread seems right, as kentucky gives up yards rushing. I do jope to see Harris this week.
Posted on 10/12/14 at 5:35 pm to Shaun176
Anybody have a time for the game yet?
Posted on 10/12/14 at 5:38 pm to MOT
Lol, watch.
Posted on 10/12/14 at 5:45 pm to adamb2151
Unless you know something about multiple injuries/suspensions to the QB and RB positions that aren't public yet that is not even close to being correct. I'm willing to bet just about anything on it.
Posted on 10/12/14 at 5:48 pm to Shaun176
I'm hoping we win by 1.
Posted on 10/12/14 at 5:56 pm to WoWyHi
You realize that they are just trying to generate action by setting a line like this. As soon as the money comes in on KY + the points, the line will move.
Posted on 10/12/14 at 7:09 pm to Lithium
quote:
Didn't we open at 10 vs Miss St?
Not even close to the same thing.
MSU was a team that nobody thought was this good. They have dominated LSU, TAMU, and Auburn in back to back to back weeks. Kentucky has struggled with everybody. Yeah they beat USCe, but they are pretty much garbage. They almost beat UF in the swamp, but they didn't. They went down 14-3 to a ULM team that we never let score on us.
Kentucky is a decent team, and will likely finish with 8 wins because they play in the East, but on the road against LSU, 10 points seems about right.
I expect Harris to play in this game, and play well.
Posted on 10/12/14 at 7:10 pm to adamb2151
(no message)
This post was edited on 10/12/14 at 7:11 pm
Posted on 10/12/14 at 7:33 pm to Tigers2010
LSU -10 kind of worries me. I do not gamble but I would take Kentucky plus the points.
Posted on 10/12/14 at 7:34 pm to Shaun176
Only 10 point??!! Miles has burned this program to the ground!!
Posted on 10/12/14 at 7:36 pm to MottLaneKid
quote:
LSU -10 kind of worries me. I do not gamble but I would take Kentucky plus the points.
I think most people, including myself, feel that way. Which is probably an indication that LSU wins big.
Posted on 10/12/14 at 7:40 pm to JPLSU1981
Take the points and UK. UK not much different from UF. UF only a blown coverage away from winning last night excluding the home team advantage LSU has in this one.
Posted on 10/12/14 at 7:42 pm to 504to225
quote:
UF only a blown coverage away from winning last night excluding the home team advantage LSU has in this one.
if you take away FL's blown coverage, you have to take away LSU's. You simply can't "if" the game in a one-way fashion.
Posted on 10/12/14 at 7:43 pm to Shaun176
Points spreads are made to induce bets. Has absolutely nothing to do with the game. Please Google this if you think I'm wrong.
Posted on 10/12/14 at 9:25 pm to goatman1419
quote:
Points spreads are made to induce bets. Has absolutely nothing to do with the game. Please Google this if you think I'm wrong.
While correct, a point spread that was "off" would create arbitrage opportunities...Which there are not generally-speaking. Meaning the lines do indeed indicate how many points one team is better than the other given the venue, generally-speaking of course.
So yes, the line is determined to induce equal money on both sides, but there most certainly is a similarity associated with it in the context of the line (or fairly close to it) being the most likely actual result.
In other words, just because the line makers intention is not to tell us how many points one team will win by (their intention is to balance the money), that does not mean that spread isnt the most likely result....Most of the time, it is. The two "intentions" kind of go hand-in-hand.
This post was edited on 10/12/14 at 9:30 pm
Posted on 10/12/14 at 10:13 pm to Shaun176
quote:
LSU is a 10 point favorite vs UK On Vegas Insider.
Seems high. UK is moving the ball well and scoring with their offense, which is a concern given our issues on defense. I expect a tough, close game.
Posted on 10/12/14 at 10:18 pm to 504to225
quote:
Take the points and UK.
Not bad advice.
quote:
UK not much different from UF. UF only a blown coverage away from winning last night
And they were two huge punt returns from being beaten soundly. Does UK have a Debose?
quote:
excluding the home team advantage LSU has in this one.
Why would one want to "exclude" a factor in the game while deciding whether and how to bet on it? If home field is worth about three points, then a three-point win on the road is the equivalent of a nine-point win at home. Assuming UK and UF are equal, and taking into account the home field situation, then then the point spread would be about right. Personally, I think UK is probably better than Florida on offense but not as good on defense, so I expect a fairly high-scoring and close game.
Posted on 10/12/14 at 10:20 pm to WoWyHi
Considering Kentucky got screwed against Florida, this is a very evenly matched game.
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