re: LSU has a blue chip ratio of 73%

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This makes no sense. It should be easy for them to figure this out. It’s who is on the current roster. Why should 4 years ago matter?

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If they are in the team it should matter

Ironically we get crest for Walker Howard, but not for Nuss or Hilton

Who’s EVAN?

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Clay Travis shows that during 1996-2014, every national championship team, except for Oklahoma in 2000, had at least two top 10 recruiting classes in the four years before the title. So, he concludes that, “football success has followed recruiting success.

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This, like the original assertion about BCR, is simply flawed logic. For example:

"100% of Heisman winning QBs the last 40 years have had two arms. LSU's QB room is full of guys who all have two arms. Therefore, LSU is a lock to have a Heisman winning QB."

The question to ask is, how many teams have had a BCR rate over 50% (or at least two top 10 recruiting classes in a four year stretch) that haven't won a title; THAT'S how you show a correlation. This year alone (according to the graph posted earlier), at least eight teams with a BCR of 70% or higher will NOT win the National Championship. So it is kind of silly to suggest that a BCR of 50% or higher is some sort of indicator for the National Championship.

How many teams are there even that don't have a BCR of at least 50%?

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How many teams are there even that don't have a BCR of at least 50%?

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If I understood correctly, there are only 18 teams with a BCR of 50% or more.

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This, like the original assertion about BCR, is simply flawed logic. For example:

"100% of Heisman winning QBs the last 40 years have had two arms. LSU's QB room is full of guys who all have two arms. Therefore, LSU is a lock to have a Heisman winning QB."

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ETA: The BCR only started in 2011. So it's 100% accurate since it's inception. I highly suggest listening to the Lock On LSU podcast for detailed explanation

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100% of Heisman winning QBs the last 40 years have had two arms. LSU's QB room is full of guys who all have two arms. Therefore, LSU is a lock to have a Heisman winning QB

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This is not at all analogous. Not even close

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So it is kind of silly to suggest that a BCR of 50% or higher is some sort of indicator for the National Championship

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Absolutely, completely wrong. There could be year after year of teams with a lower BCR that win it all. That would blow up the correlation. We don't see that at all. In fact, a number like 52% is the outlier. Every other number was HIGHER

So after calculating the 25 BC ratios it come up to1,695 divided by 25 seasons averages out to a 67.80 ratio. Pretty interesting !!

What teams had 50% or higher yet did not win the Natty?

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What teams had 50% or higher yet did not win the Natty?

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According to the chart posted earlier, at least 8 teams have higher than that this year. According to another poster, it's actually 18 teams. Obviously, only one of them can win the national championship (at most), so at least 7 (or 17) will not, despite having an FCR over 50%.