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re: LSU at Bama (-13)

Posted on 11/4/13 at 4:40 pm to
Posted by TeddyPadillac
Member since Dec 2010
29732 posts
Posted on 11/4/13 at 4:40 pm to
quote:

Be careful, you are talking yourself into a bad bet.




how about the fact that LSU has covered the spread the last 4 times, they are coming off a bye week (3 of those against Bama) and Bama hasn't covered the spread in 4 of the last 5 times they are coming off a bye week, (3 of those against LSU) and if you look further, they are 3-7 against the spread following the last 10 bye weeks.

Bama is 2-7 against the spread in their last 9 November games.

LSU 6-1-1 against the spread in Tuscaloosa last 8 games.

Road team in the series is 13-4-1 against the spread in the last 18 games.

Bama has been favored against LSU in 7 straight games. They've covered 3 times.

History lies in LSU's betting favor, especially given it's a double digit line.
Posted by Florida225
Baton Rouge
Member since Oct 2008
2876 posts
Posted on 11/4/13 at 4:41 pm to
I'm taking the money line. +340 like a boss.
Posted by Adam Banks
District 5
Member since Sep 2009
36385 posts
Posted on 11/4/13 at 4:45 pm to
quote:

Yeah, that's really, really false. My favorite is when they win, but don't cover. I like it less when not favored, but still has nothing to do with being a fan.



So you have a monetary interest in LSU not performing to its fullest. Explain to me how that makes you a fan?
Posted by Silky Johnston
DFW
Member since May 2013
998 posts
Posted on 11/4/13 at 4:47 pm to
quote:

a real fan never bets against LSU.....just for future reference

Ah the old victory tax. I've known of fans that always bet against their team in big games. Either they win money off their team's loss, or they win emotionally by watching their team get a big win.

Doesn't work as well if you're laying 11 points against your team though. Then the dreaded lose-lose situation comes into play.
Posted by Manky
New Orleans
Member since Jul 2013
1145 posts
Posted on 11/4/13 at 5:26 pm to
Teddy I see what you are saying, but history isnt the best guide in a betting situation. History tells us the game will be close, the reality this year it probably is double digits.
This post was edited on 11/4/13 at 5:31 pm
Posted by pellietigersaint
Tiger Stadium
Member since Aug 2005
19043 posts
Posted on 11/4/13 at 5:28 pm to
Lol at vegas
Posted by Broham
Member since Feb 2005
18989 posts
Posted on 11/4/13 at 5:31 pm to
quote:

it takes a special kind of fan to actually lay money against LSU

I'm not dumb. I'm actually pretty smart when it comes to betting. Go look at LSU's record ATS the last couple years.
This post was edited on 11/4/13 at 5:36 pm
Posted by Broham
Member since Feb 2005
18989 posts
Posted on 11/4/13 at 5:32 pm to
quote:

a real fan never bets against LSU.....just for future reference

You're a fricking idiot. Not everyone wears P & G glasses all the time.
Posted by AlxTgr
Kyre Banorg
Member since Oct 2003
86410 posts
Posted on 11/4/13 at 5:42 pm to
quote:

So you have a monetary interest in LSU not performing to its fullest. Explain to me how that makes you a fan?
The question makes no sense. A monetary interest in something outside of my control affects whether or not I'm a fan?
Posted by Adam Banks
District 5
Member since Sep 2009
36385 posts
Posted on 11/4/13 at 5:44 pm to
quote:

You're a fricking idiot. Not everyone wears P & G glasses all the time.


Its not about wearing "purple and gold glasses" its about you making an investment in our competitor doing better.

An LSU fan betting on Bama is like an environmentalist investing in Hummer.
Posted by LSUVAFAN
Stephens City, VA
Member since Jan 2007
986 posts
Posted on 11/4/13 at 5:47 pm to
I hope every LSU player is pissed that they are not receiving any chance to win this game. The Tigers need to be focused, motivated and growl like a tiger and eat Bama prey for dinner.
Posted by Choctaw
Pumpin' Sunshine
Member since Jul 2007
77774 posts
Posted on 11/4/13 at 5:48 pm to
quote:

Not everyone wears P & G glasses all the time.


i just can't bet on LSU to lose....call it P&G glasses if you want. i'll just not bet on the game at all. there's plenty of other games out there to bet on. i guess i'm just a better fan than you.
This post was edited on 11/4/13 at 5:49 pm
Posted by Choctaw
Pumpin' Sunshine
Member since Jul 2007
77774 posts
Posted on 11/4/13 at 5:51 pm to
quote:

Yeah, that's really, really false. My favorite is when they win, but don't cover. I like it less when not favored, but still has nothing to do with being a fan.


if your bet requires LSU to lose for you to win money than it very much does have something to do with you being a fan
Posted by dukke v
PLUTO
Member since Jul 2006
216117 posts
Posted on 11/4/13 at 5:55 pm to
quote:

i just can't bet on LSU to lose....call it P&G glasses if you want. i'll just not bet on the game at all. there's plenty of other games out there to bet on. i guess i'm just a better fan than you.


Bottom line for me is that I DON'T bet on football at all. Why put my hard earned money to depend on others to make me more.
Posted by ForeLSU
The Corner of Sanity and Madness
Member since Sep 2003
41525 posts
Posted on 11/4/13 at 6:01 pm to
quote:

if your bet requires LSU to lose for you to win money than it very much does have something to do with you being a fan


as a fan I want the team to win...period, I don't care if it is by 1 or 100. I would never bet on a team I have an emotional attachment to, there's plenty of other games to bet on.
Posted by High C
viewing the fall....
Member since Nov 2012
59377 posts
Posted on 11/4/13 at 6:23 pm to
I bet on it. LSU to win straight up, no spread. It's only a six-pack, but my buddy challenged my fandom.
Posted by Florida225
Baton Rouge
Member since Oct 2008
2876 posts
Posted on 11/4/13 at 7:00 pm to
I'm not doing anything crazy but I will have money on this game.

I'm thinking 60 with the points and 40 on the money line.
Posted by countryboy2
Zimbabwe
Member since Jan 2009
1474 posts
Posted on 11/4/13 at 7:03 pm to
What was LSU-Ole Miss line?
Posted by countryboy2
Zimbabwe
Member since Jan 2009
1474 posts
Posted on 11/4/13 at 7:03 pm to
What was LSU-Ole Miss line?
Posted by TeddyPadillac
Member since Dec 2010
29732 posts
Posted on 11/4/13 at 7:10 pm to
quote:

History tells us the game will be close, the reality this year it probably is double digits.


While i think the line is correct in being that much, i think there's too many indications to say that LSU will cover. It's a rivalry. Just like Ole Miss always seems to cover against us when we are favored big to beat them. Vegas and our eyes tell us LSU should beat Ole Miss handily usually, just like this bama-lsu game, but history tells us that the game is usually closer than it'supposed to be.
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