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Interesting perspective on us from Vegas...

Posted on 7/28/10 at 8:59 pm
Posted by LSUTiger2001
Madisonville, LA
Member since Sep 2003
880 posts
Posted on 7/28/10 at 8:59 pm
Posted by CaseyMc2
Louisiana Native
Member since Feb 2009
4092 posts
Posted on 7/28/10 at 9:47 pm to
Here is what it says about the odds of the BCS NC.
LINK
quote
The Alabama Crimson Tide are favored at online sportsbooks to repeat as college football national champs. Alabama is 7-2 in 2011 BCS Championship odds with returning Heisman Trophy winner Mark Ingram and a lot of talent on offense including quarterback Greg McElroy. The Crimson Tide defense did lose a lot of players but Nick Saban is a defensive guru so look for the Tide to reload on that side of the ball. The schedule helps Alabama as they get the Florida Gators at home. They do have tough road games though at LSU and Arkansas.

Ohio State is the second choice in 2011 BCS Championship odds at online sportsbooks as they are listed at 13-2. The Buckeyes bring back quarterback Terrelle Pryor and they play in the Big 10 which means they have an easier schedule than teams like Alabama or Florida. The Buckeyes do have to travel to Wisconsin and Iowa in 2010 so going unbeaten will not be easy. There are three teams listed at 12-1 in college football odds to win it all next season. Bet Alabama 7-2 as betting favorites in 2011 BCS Championship odds with a 10% bonus.

Teams listed at 12-1 are USC, Boise State and Oregon but you can throw Oregon out as a contender. Their two best players, quarterback Jeremiah Masoli and running back LaMichael James are in legal trouble and it is unclear whether they will even play next season. USC has a new head coach in Lane Kiffin so they should be interesting to watch while Boise State’s season will be determined in the first few games as they play Virginia Tech and Oregon State. Texas loses Colt McCoy but they still have a lot of talent and Garrett Gilbert looked pretty good in relief of McCoy in the BCS title game last year. The Longhorns are 15-1. Bet Ohio State 13-2 as betting favorites in 2011 BCS Championship odds with a 10% bonus.

Two other Big 12 teams, Nebraska and Oklahoma are also 15-1. Florida loses Tim Tebow and they are 16-1 in 2011 BCS Championship odds. TCU will try and go unbeaten but it may be tougher this season. The Horned Frogs are 18-1. Virginia Tech is also 18-1. Three teams are listed at 20-1 in 2001 BCS Championship odds. Miami of Florida, Penn State and Iowa are all 20-1. LSU is 25-1 while Arkansas and Georgia are interesting longshots at 30-1. Vegas sportsbooks have the Alabama Crimson Tide 3-1 betting favorites in odds to win the 2011 BCS Championship.
quote
Posted by Lou the Jew from LSU
Member since Oct 2006
4695 posts
Posted on 7/28/10 at 9:50 pm to
Interesting. Kind of funny how times have changed. When Arnsparger was here, 25 points a game would have looked pretty damn good.
Posted by LSUMafia
Member since May 2005
9862 posts
Posted on 7/28/10 at 11:00 pm to
I am guessing this is at least a couple of months old if they are still claiming USC as 12-1 odds. They are on probation and ineligible for the title game.
Posted by LSUtoOmaha
Nashville
Member since Apr 2004
26578 posts
Posted on 7/28/10 at 11:02 pm to
Is there anywhere I can take 1:12 odds on USC not winning the national title?
Posted by CaseyMc2
Louisiana Native
Member since Feb 2009
4092 posts
Posted on 7/28/10 at 11:21 pm to
I just went to the site that I have the link for and it is there. That is one of the reasons I put it upto show that even the experts get it wrong. That is what they are using to say LSU does not have a chance at beating Fla or Bama.
Posted by Weaver
Madisonville, LA
Member since Nov 2005
27721 posts
Posted on 7/29/10 at 9:16 am to
I have a bone to pick with people.

The problem is that there is mounting evidence based on the results that the talent is not being fully developed.

I disagree with that. If that were true, then when they hit the NFL, they would be studs. How many of Saban's players are pro bowlers while at LSU and how many of Miles are. Perhaps the players aren't as good as many think.
Posted by Rockerbraves
Greatest Nation on Earth
Member since Feb 2007
8015 posts
Posted on 7/29/10 at 10:40 am to
Fairly pleased with how Vegas feels about LSU.

Didn't realize these teams are so highly respected by Vegas this season:

Oklahoma State
Miami
Iowa
Posted by Nuts4LSU
Washington, DC
Member since Oct 2003
25468 posts
Posted on 7/29/10 at 11:13 am to
quote:

Bet the LSU Tigers 25-1 as longshots in 2011 BCS odds with an over/under regular season win total of 7.5 in college football predictions.


O/U regular season wins at 7.5.

Looks very close to what I've predicted.
Posted by KCT
Psalm 23:5
Member since Feb 2010
38911 posts
Posted on 7/29/10 at 12:26 pm to
quote:

O/U regular season wins at 7.5.


I'd think about betting the over on this. I would've figured it would be at least 8.0, and maybe 8.5
Posted by WelcomeToDeathValley
1st & 1st
Member since Aug 2006
16947 posts
Posted on 7/29/10 at 1:01 pm to
quote:

over/under regular season win total of 7.5 in college football predictions.


apparently Vegas agrees with the rational human beings on TD, or negatigers according to the rant.

quote:

I'd think about betting the over on this. I would've figured it would be at least 8.0, and maybe 8.5


have to win 9 for you to make any $$ as 8 would be a push
This post was edited on 7/29/10 at 1:03 pm
Posted by Brett425
West Monroe, La.
Member since Jun 2010
1758 posts
Posted on 7/29/10 at 3:46 pm to
I would bet againist quite a few of those teams
Posted by Rockerbraves
Greatest Nation on Earth
Member since Feb 2007
8015 posts
Posted on 7/29/10 at 3:47 pm to
If given the choice I take the over
Posted by RockChalkTiger
A Little Bit South of Saskatoon
Member since May 2009
10324 posts
Posted on 7/29/10 at 4:28 pm to
The NBC poll released today says 6-6 (they have six teams on the schedule ranked ahead of us). Based on that, 7.5 seems generous.
Posted by TigersRuleTheEarth
Laffy
Member since Jan 2007
28643 posts
Posted on 7/29/10 at 4:33 pm to
quote:

6-6


Holy hell. What 6 are they predicting we lose?
Posted by RockChalkTiger
A Little Bit South of Saskatoon
Member since May 2009
10324 posts
Posted on 7/29/10 at 6:10 pm to
They didn't predict games per se, but had six of our opponents ranked ahead of us in their poll (AL, FL, Aub, Arky, UNC, WVU). Good to see UNC and WVU getting some attention, so those wins will carry more weight.
Posted by carrell
Austin TX
Member since Nov 2009
514 posts
Posted on 7/29/10 at 8:27 pm to
Out-of-Date.

This was posted in March.

Not that LSU's odds will have risen significantly.
Posted by noonan
Nassau Bay, TX
Member since Aug 2005
36900 posts
Posted on 7/29/10 at 8:51 pm to
quote:

apparently Vegas agrees with the rational human beings on TD, or negatigers according to the rant.


Vegas chooses lines based on how they think people will bet. Being that we had two down years most people around the country are probably thinking we will have another down year. It has nothing to do with what Vegas thinks our record will actually be.

They are trying to make money, not predict the future.
Posted by genuineLSUtiger
Nashville
Member since Sep 2005
72907 posts
Posted on 7/29/10 at 8:53 pm to
I think we are staring at a .500 season this year. The downward slide to 6-6 will happen in '10.
Posted by DeafVallyBatnR
Member since Sep 2004
16824 posts
Posted on 7/29/10 at 9:24 pm to
quote:

Didn't realize these teams are so highly respected by Vegas this season:

Oklahoma State
Miami
Iowa


Schedule

On the other hand LSU is 25 to 1 because they have one of the toughest schedule in the country
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