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re: Interesting article on NCAA Refs

Posted on 12/27/16 at 12:20 pm to
Posted by Tiger Tracker
Austin,TX
Member since Nov 2015
7266 posts
Posted on 12/27/16 at 12:20 pm to
quote:

No. We will never know the numbers because nobody is going to go back and watch every game to determine all the non calls or missed calls. Could you imagine watching, say, Auburn 2006 again? There were well over a dozen in that game. Easily.



Thank you, and if you don't have the numbers you can't conclusively prove any trends to indicate bias. Since football is based around stats, numbers, and trends i would need to see those in order to say without a doubt they the refs are cheating.

quote:

We simply agree to disagree, and that's fine. I just don't like it when someone is telling me what I was seeing wasn't real.


Never said the calls weren't real. I just said that they, in a vacuum, don't provide indisputable proof. One person, unless you're a paid football statistician, won't watch all plays of all games. That's my point. You, like me, are one fan watching a small portion of the overall plays in all games. It's not enough data for you to say definitively there is or isn't cheating. You can have that opinion, but it's not a fact.

Posted by Ponchy Tiger
Ponchatoula
Member since Aug 2004
48664 posts
Posted on 12/27/16 at 12:26 pm to
quote:

I don't have the gif. It was played several times on a lsu bama thread back in nov. When this all started up.



Hmm interesting your saying these supposed holds on a Fournette TD run against Ole Miss were first brought up in November at the time of the LSU / Alabama game? Why didn't we hear about this right after the Ole Miss game, you would think Ole Miss fans would be screaming bloody murder.

What is your opinion on the bridge schedule that was put in by the SEC for several years?
Posted by lsupride87
Member since Dec 2007
107830 posts
Posted on 12/27/16 at 12:37 pm to
quote:

Hmm interesting your saying these supposed holds on a Fournette TD run against Ole Miss were first brought up in November at the time of the LSU / Alabama game? Why didn't we hear about this right after the Ole Miss game, you would think Ole Miss fans would be screaming bloody murder.
We held like a mother fricker on that play. we tackled #3 from behind



And this proves a major point of the OP. You vividly remember the bama hold against us, and your mind forgets the hold we had against ole miss. It is natural human selective memory that makes this conspiracy up in your head


LINK

This post was edited on 12/27/16 at 12:46 pm
Posted by EZE Tiger Fan
Member since Jul 2004
55386 posts
Posted on 12/27/16 at 12:45 pm to
quote:

Thank you, and if you don't have the numbers you can't conclusively prove any trends to indicate bias.


So then why start this thread and argue your point?

quote:

Since football is based around stats, numbers, and trends i would need to see those in order to say without a doubt they the refs are cheating.


Oh you don't want to go down that rabbit hole with me on football or baseball when it comes to numbers. I'm not being a jackass either....

quote:

Never said the calls weren't real. I just said that they, in a vacuum, don't provide indisputable proof.


When there is a definite pattern and that pattern becomes predictable, then yes they do. We are past the point of predictability with the Blue Bloods. Again, not just Bama.

quote:

One person, unless you're a paid football statistician, won't watch all plays of all games. That's my point. You, like me, are one fan watching a small portion of the overall plays in all games.


Dude, I watch a shite ton of CFB. Despite it being slanted, I still watch it. Same reason some folks like WWE, I guess. Again, I just know what I'm watching and don't care. I literally LOL at some of the stupid shite I see on a weekly basis when I'm watching Blue Blood games. And yes, LSU has benefited from some crazy stuff as well.

quote:

It's not enough data for you to say definitively there is or isn't cheating. You can have that opinion, but it's not a fact.


Nor is there enough to prove otherwise. Like I said, I don't consider it "cheating" as much as I consider it protection.

PS - If you want to keep the argument to just LSU/Bama games: The best officiated games between the two are when both teams are playing for the west or have similar records. See 2010, 2011, 2012, and 2015. Fairly officiated games. Hell, they even called holding on Bama in 2012, something they hadn't called on Bama all year in SEC play.

It is the years when LSU has nothing to play for is when you see more shenanigans. Rightfully so. The SEC is protecting their cash cow. The SEC isn't alone in this practice.
Posted by Tiger Tracker
Austin,TX
Member since Nov 2015
7266 posts
Posted on 12/27/16 at 12:46 pm to
Have a good day all. I'm tired of arguing in circles because you believe something (as admitted by you) that there's no actual data to prove.

I already discussed the bridge scheduling with a previous poster.

Believe there were holds against Ole Miss or don't. I truly don't care at this point. Your opinion is your opinion. It's not a proven fact. If you choose to define "proven fact" as only what ypu personally saw on tv than so be it. It's a proven fact refs make head scratching calls sometimes. It's not a proven fact that it happens only to bama or auburn because refs are consciously cheating for them. That's a conspiracy theory.

Again, have a good day everyone. This is pointless to discuss further. Your opinion is your opinion. I just don't share it because there's not enough data on the matter. I would rather look at things that are in LSU's control like putting up more yards and points. Scoring zero points won't win you games.
Posted by lsupride87
Member since Dec 2007
107830 posts
Posted on 12/27/16 at 12:50 pm to
quote:

Believe there were holds against Ole Miss or don't
Only a biased lsu homer would say there weren't(which is the majority of this thread.) They onlt remember bad calls that go against lsu, and forget the poor calls that help us. It is lazy confirmation bias. And they dont care that the data is against them.


Posted by GeauxTigerTM
Member since Sep 2006
30596 posts
Posted on 12/27/16 at 12:54 pm to
quote:

There are certainly bad calls out there that favor Bama (and others). I just can't take such a small sample size relative to the amount of penalties called over the years and say it's proof. Especially, if it's a biased football fan of a rival team coming to that "conclusion" based solely upon what they watched. It's a start, but it's definitely not proof of anything more sinister on its own.


I'll only add that the chart I posted is, I think, proof of at least a general bias towards BAMA over LSU over that stretch of time. In this case, it wasn't always the perceived "better" team, as some of those Mile Shulas teams were bad, and some of the Saban and then Miles teams were outstanding. And given we had the exact same guy on both sidelines and even that did not move the needle in terms of moving LSU in front of BAMA on this count, I'm not sure what else to say.

Over the course of that stretch of time, the team in crimson (regardless of coach or record) was penalized less, and often FAR LESS than the team in Gold. Unless we're going to suggest there's something in the water over at the Capstone that makes players less likely to commit fouls or wearing red makes it easier to get away with fouls than does white, then something seems amiss.

WHY can certainly be up for debate. IF is one I'd be less likely to feel the need to fight over.
Posted by EZE Tiger Fan
Member since Jul 2004
55386 posts
Posted on 12/27/16 at 12:57 pm to
quote:

Only a biased lsu homer would say there weren't(which is the majority of this thread.)


I can admit it.

quote:

They onlt remember bad calls that go against lsu, and forget the poor calls that help us. It is lazy confirmation bias. And they dont care that the data is against them.


That data FOR LSU (and other Tier 2 schools) is dwarfed by data AGAINST Tier 2 programs.

I see a play like the screen shot against Ole Miss and I ask myself, "would the SEC call that against Bama, Auburn or Florida on a consistent basis?" That answer is an obvious no.

So if we get a few here and there, yay for us. I can promise you next year when we go TO OLE MISS, it will be a repeat of the 2015 game where won't get away with that. Hell, they erased nearly 150 yards of rushing by LF7 due to holding calls against Ole Miss, including the first play of the game for LSU in 2015. And those holds weren't nearly as bad as this one.

Yes, I remember all that shite. LOL
Posted by GeauxTigerTM
Member since Sep 2006
30596 posts
Posted on 12/27/16 at 12:59 pm to
quote:

Again, i get your point, but if the spot is accurate, i think that's what's most important here


Here I'll vehemently disagree with you. If...and again I'm playing Devil's Advocate here...but IF the official was trying to inch the ball forward to give BAMA a first down that HE THOUGHT they had not earned through bias or something more, than what he was trying to do is FAR MORE important than what he was able to get away with, right? The fact that his cheating (hypothetical) was for naught doesn't make it any less reprehensible.

It just makes him shitty twice!
Posted by Tiger Tracker
Austin,TX
Member since Nov 2015
7266 posts
Posted on 12/27/16 at 12:59 pm to
quote:

So then why start this thread and argue your point?


I started the thread because of the link, and the data it showed. I found it interesting that refs were proven to have some sort of bias based on the data. The bias seems to be, like you said:

quote:

PS - If you want to keep the argument to just LSU/Bama games: The best officiated games between the two are when both teams are playing for the west or have similar records.


I started the post to discuss this topic. I simply started out by saying i didnt think the bias was conscious (my opinion due to lack of overall evidence).

I also found it interesting that the SEC refs seemed to show less bias. I legitamitely wonder why that is. Maybe because we typically have some of the top teams in the country so those bias are offset when they play each other? Like you said when lsu and bama are competing for the west the games seem to be called more fairly than others.

Wouldn't you expect the exact opposite data to appear if the refs had it in for lsu and only supported bama? If they wanted bama to win no matter what then why would those games be called better than others?

quote:

Oh you don't want to go down that rabbit hole with me on football or baseball when it comes to numbers. I'm not being a jackass either....


But i do. I have been practically begging anyone who is 100% convinced of the conspiracy that the SEC refs actively and consciously only help Bama and Aubrun to show me those stats. No one has. Just small bits and pieces from their collective memories of games.
Posted by Tiger Tracker
Austin,TX
Member since Nov 2015
7266 posts
Posted on 12/27/16 at 1:05 pm to
quote:

Oh you don't want to go down that rabbit hole with me on football or baseball when it comes to numbers. I'm not being a jackass either....


I think we would need to know whether or not the fouls are justified or not. I also linked an article showing that the penalty margin wasn't even in Bama's favor over several years of analysis. It was actually vanderbilt at the top of the list, and bama was somewhere in the middle. LSU was worst of all teams with Auburn close behind.

LINK

Eta: i quoted the wrong quote and person initially. I was responding to this quote:

quote:

I'll only add that the chart I posted is, I think, proof of at least a general bias towards BAMA over LSU over that stretch of time. In this case, it wasn't always the perceived "better" team, as some of those Mile Shulas teams were bad, and some of the Saban and then Miles teams were outstanding. And given we had the exact same guy on both sidelines and even that did not move the needle in terms of moving LSU in front of BAMA on this count, I'm not sure what else to say.


This post was edited on 12/27/16 at 2:08 pm
Posted by IvanCCCP
U.S.A.
Member since Oct 2016
698 posts
Posted on 12/27/16 at 1:14 pm to
During LSU's decade run I saw a lot of favoritism in LSU's favor. The teams giving the league the best chance post season will always get the benefit of the doubt
Posted by YouAre8Up
in a house
Member since Mar 2011
12792 posts
Posted on 12/27/16 at 1:51 pm to
Posted by Rouge
Floston Paradise
Member since Oct 2004
138110 posts
Posted on 12/27/16 at 2:04 pm to
Congrats on your connection to the Clay Travis Show.

While I appreciate the topic and researching half of the discussion points, using a message board as a means to complete the thoughts on your work is a bit disappointing.
Posted by Tiger Tracker
Austin,TX
Member since Nov 2015
7266 posts
Posted on 12/27/16 at 2:14 pm to
quote:

Congrats on your connection to the Clay Travis Show.


I literally had to google that to see what it was a reference to.

quote:

using a message board as a means to complete the thoughts on your work is a bit disappointing.


It's not my work. It's someone else's work, not clay travis' either, if you had read the article, and i thought the whole point of this message board was to discuss all things lsu related.

I would say despite what many have posted towards me i have remained respectful and on point. If message boards are not to be used in this manner then what is their intended use?

Posted by Tiger Tracker
Austin,TX
Member since Nov 2015
7266 posts
Posted on 12/27/16 at 2:17 pm to
quote:

It just makes him shitty twice!


I'll give you that one. If, hypothetically, he knew he was cheating he is doing a very shitty job of it.
Posted by Tiger Tracker
Austin,TX
Member since Nov 2015
7266 posts
Posted on 12/27/16 at 2:29 pm to
quote:

I see a play like the screen shot against Ole Miss and I ask myself, "would the SEC call that against Bama, Auburn or Florida on a consistent basis?" That answer is an obvious no


Well the article i linked discussing penalty margins in the SEC show LSU, Auburn, and Florida to be the worst 3 while Bama is somewhere in the middle of the pack. So i don't understand how you can watch that play and it's "an obvious no" when the data out there (that i have found) speaks against that assessment. If anything you should be saying "would the refs penalize Vandy for that shite?" Since the data shows Vandy has the best penalty margin over a four year span.

Again, i welcome any data showing me it's an obvious no. I just haven't seen it.
Posted by omegaman66
greenwell springs
Member since Oct 2007
26239 posts
Posted on 12/27/16 at 3:08 pm to
quote:

How can the ref be cheating if he spotted the ball in the proper spot? Wouldn't it be cheating if the ball was moved to an advantageous spot?


Cheating is moving the ball to any spot that you think is not an accurate spot. If he thought the spot was at a certain point and then moves the ball because he cheats and actually gets the spot closer to correct then that is still cheating.

Here is a simple example. If you are playing tennis and you think a ball was in but call it out you are cheating right! That is cheating regardless of whether the ball was actually in or out!
Posted by lsupride87
Member since Dec 2007
107830 posts
Posted on 12/27/16 at 3:18 pm to
quote:

Here is a simple example. If you are playing tennis and you think a ball was in but call it out you are cheating right! That is cheating regardless of whether the ball was actually in or out!
Posted by EZE Tiger Fan
Member since Jul 2004
55386 posts
Posted on 12/27/16 at 3:42 pm to
quote:

So i don't understand how you can watch that play and it's "an obvious no" when the data out there


Because Bama went an entire SEC schedule one season and into the next season (can't remember which years, thing it was 11-12 or 12-13) where they were not called for ONE holding penalty during conference play.

Statistically, I have a better chance of getting struck by lightning. LOL

These things don't "just happen" by chance. Especially with a penalty that could literally be called every damn play.

Ok. I'm done with this thread. It has been fun!
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