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Posted on 3/26/12 at 8:51 am to TigerWerm
quote:
How does this team finish above .500 in SEC?
Someone please tell me how it could happen.... I just don't see it
I don't either. We seem content to throw away the third game at home when we have a chance to sweep, and can't win on the road to save our lives. If you're going to lose 80% of your road games (LSU 6-24 last 30 SEC road games), you'd better be sweeping the home series instead of being satisfied with two of three.
quote:
Best case scenario: we get to 16-14 in SEC, seeded around 5-7th in SEC tournament, make a deep run and squeak in as a regional host.
Worst case scenario: we lose a bunch more 1-run games..a la last year and slip to 13-17 in SEC.
Most likely scenario: We finish something like 15-15 in SEC play and are on the NCAA bubble AGAIN.
Yes, the days of LSU's being a consistent power in baseball appear to be over. Great timing on investing all that money in a new stadium for a mediocre team that won't fill it 20% of the time.
Posted on 3/26/12 at 8:57 am to TigerWerm
Pessimistically I see us going 15-15 based on what we've done and the schedule ahead. Optimistically I get 18-12, realistically I get 16-14 or 17-13
Posted on 3/26/12 at 9:00 am to josh336
quote:
Pessimistically I see us going 15-15 based on what we've done and the schedule ahead. Optimistically I get 18-12, realistically I get 16-14 or 17-13
I'd like to see your series-by-series breakdown of your realistic approach. I cannot realistically see us finishing 17-13. That would be an extremely optimistic outlook.
Posted on 3/26/12 at 9:00 am to Nuts4LSU
quote:
Great timing on investing all that money in a new stadium for a mediocre team that won't fill it 20% of the time
yeah, we could have a stadium like Auburn that has a 4100 capacity !
Posted on 3/26/12 at 9:06 am to TigerWerm
2 of 3 from Arky
1 of 3 from Florida
3 of 3 from Bama
1 of 3 from Kentucky
2 of 3 from Georgia
2 of 3 from Ole Miss
2 of 3 from Vandy
1 of 3 from South Carolina
You only have to take 1 of 3 series, either the S.C., Ole Miss, or Kentucky series, and we are at 17-13.
1 of 3 from Florida
3 of 3 from Bama
1 of 3 from Kentucky
2 of 3 from Georgia
2 of 3 from Ole Miss
2 of 3 from Vandy
1 of 3 from South Carolina
You only have to take 1 of 3 series, either the S.C., Ole Miss, or Kentucky series, and we are at 17-13.
Posted on 3/26/12 at 9:11 am to TigerWerm
Bottom line is that we needed 2 of 3 this weekend...actually we needed a sweep...because this gauntlet of a schedule is gonna make things extremely difficult.
I've said it from the beginning...we need to win as many games in the first 6 as we possibly can, because it's gonna get extremely tough with Arkansas and Florida back to back. Well, we went 3 and 3 so I'm projecting 16-14/17-13 ONLY because I think eventually we will get hot...somewhere around Georgia/Ole Miss/Vandy.
I've said it from the beginning...we need to win as many games in the first 6 as we possibly can, because it's gonna get extremely tough with Arkansas and Florida back to back. Well, we went 3 and 3 so I'm projecting 16-14/17-13 ONLY because I think eventually we will get hot...somewhere around Georgia/Ole Miss/Vandy.
Posted on 3/26/12 at 9:11 am to josh336
Winning 2 of 3 against Ark, UGA, Vandy, and at Ole Miss is quite optimistic if I say so myself. I don't know how we can do all that after just losing a series to mediocre Auburn team IMO.
Posted on 3/26/12 at 9:13 am to LSU=Champions
We are usually pretty good at home. 3 of those 4 series are at home, Georgia isn't that good, neither is Vandy, actually, Vandy appears to be terrible.
Posted on 3/26/12 at 9:14 am to josh336
quote:
2 of 3 from Arky
1 of 3 from Florida
3 of 3 from Bama
1 of 3 from Kentucky
2 of 3 from Georgia
2 of 3 from Ole Miss
2 of 3 from Vandy
1 of 3 from South Carolina
Seems optimistic but doable... SC is 1-5 in sec play, vandy is 2-4 and 9-15 overall.
uga is 3-3,ole miss is 3-3,bama is 1-4
Kentucky,Fla and Arky are going to be tough getting one 1 win from each would be nice.
Posted on 3/26/12 at 9:16 am to LSU=Champions
Just have to hope that the tigers get hot at the right time!
Posted on 3/26/12 at 9:17 am to josh336
I know Vandy has struggled far more than anyone would have expected, but that team has to have enough talent to compete weekly in the SEC.
I'm calling UGA a sleeper in the SEC this year. They've got a veteran lineup with a stud ace on the mound on Friday nights in Alex Wood. Their pitching overall is significantly better than ours.
I'm more worried about UGA at home than Ole Miss away, even with all our struggles on the road in recent memory.
I'm calling UGA a sleeper in the SEC this year. They've got a veteran lineup with a stud ace on the mound on Friday nights in Alex Wood. Their pitching overall is significantly better than ours.
I'm more worried about UGA at home than Ole Miss away, even with all our struggles on the road in recent memory.
Posted on 3/26/12 at 9:20 am to LSU=Champions
Thats why I put Ole Miss as a win, I don't think they are that good. It really all comes down to this series against Arkansas. They are good, but a series win will give us confidence and a winning record in SEC play going into Florida, after Florida, every series is winnable.
Posted on 3/26/12 at 9:22 am to josh336
You're a far more positive tiger fan than I. 
Posted on 3/26/12 at 9:24 am to TigerWerm
quote:
Therefore, the best we can hope for is to squeak into the NCAA tourney as a road #2 seed.
The sad state of this program
Posted on 3/26/12 at 9:31 am to josh336
quote:
3 of 3 from Bama
How are we going to do that when we don't show up for the third game when we're up 2-0 in a series?
Posted on 3/26/12 at 9:33 am to Nuts4LSU
Nuts, will you start the posts about how Mainieri is in over his head and can't recruit soon like you did for Johnson? I'm getting anxious
Posted on 3/26/12 at 9:34 am to Nuts4LSU
Have you seen Alabama play this year? We have swept a couple series this year
Posted on 3/26/12 at 9:36 am to josh336
we're ahead of USCe in da standings 
Posted on 3/26/12 at 9:37 am to josh336
We need at least 2 sweeps in SEC play to get above .500 IMO.
We can sweep Alabama, and to be honest, I'm not sure where the other one is going to come from.
We can sweep Alabama, and to be honest, I'm not sure where the other one is going to come from.
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