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re: Coach Mainieri's comments after the game

Posted on 6/17/13 at 5:01 pm to
Posted by Holden Caulfield
Hanging with J.D.
Member since May 2008
8308 posts
Posted on 6/17/13 at 5:01 pm to
quote:

That is very simplistic and shallow reasoning that doesn't necessarily support that playing for the tie gives you the best chance to win

Actually its not. Nothing simplistic about the reasoning at all.
Posted by dnm3305
Member since Feb 2009
15960 posts
Posted on 6/17/13 at 5:02 pm to
quote:

Sorry, but you're just plain wrong on that count. I noticed UCLA bunting and forgoing the hit and run all night. Might be because one has a higher success rate than the other.



Or because they bunt alot and have all year as a part of their philosophy. The only reason those bunts succeeded last night was because Ross kicked it around.
Posted by Bernie Moore
Member since May 2010
1859 posts
Posted on 6/17/13 at 5:03 pm to
quote:

That is very simplistic and shallow reasoning that doesn't necessarily support that playing for the tie gives you the best chance to win.
quote:

moneyg


Teams still do it. PM knows it that's why he said he gambled and lost.How many left hand catchers do you see? It's called playing the percentages.
Posted by Holden Caulfield
Hanging with J.D.
Member since May 2008
8308 posts
Posted on 6/17/13 at 5:03 pm to
quote:

The only reason those bunts succeeded last night was because Ross kicked it around.

Yea, its called putting pressure on the defense. UCLA has a catcher with six months experience behind the plate.
Posted by RATeamWannabe
Baton Rouge
Member since Sep 2009
26018 posts
Posted on 6/17/13 at 5:04 pm to
quote:

Yea, but that fact that he took it off should tell you that he was second guessing whether raph could get it down. There had to be someone on the bench that he was more comfortable with. I don't buy that he was gambling and playing for the win. I think he was unsure if raph could get the bunt down and figured he was going to get a 2-0 fastball and he had a better chance to either move katz or get a hit by swinging than he did to get a bunt down.


I disagree with this. I don't think it had anything to do with CPM second guessing Raphs abilities to bunt.

He just had an overwhelming amount of confidence that a good hitter was going to get a good pitch to hit and put the ball in play.
Posted by moneyg
Member since Jun 2006
62021 posts
Posted on 6/17/13 at 5:05 pm to
quote:

Did I say any such thing? If successfully executed the play greatly reduces the chance of a DP



Ok. I figured I misunderstood your statement. Please clarify.

quote:

Sorry, but you're just plain wrong on that count. I noticed UCLA bunting and forgoing the hit and run all night. Might be because one has a higher success rate than the other.



Go ahead and use soft hitting UCLA as your proof. In truth, it is a 50/50 type of situation where a coach who needs to play small ball will do it more than a coach who doesn't need to play small ball.

LINK

You can google Run Frequency and Run Expectancy and learn about it if you want.
Posted by Bernie Moore
Member since May 2010
1859 posts
Posted on 6/17/13 at 5:05 pm to
quote:

dnm3305


Have you ever played baseball. If so,what level. PM will tell you what I'm saying is correct.
Posted by Billy Ray Valentine
Duke & Duke
Member since Sep 2007
1553 posts
Posted on 6/17/13 at 5:05 pm to
quote:

Anybody bitching about the hit and run with Rhymes doesn't know shite about baseball.
I don't know your level of baseball knowledge but this is 100% true.
Also, those saying Rhymes didn't do his job are completely wrong.
There is no rule about H&R contact needing to be oppo. You're taught to hit the ball on the ground (hard if possible) regardless of where.
The pitcher was a dirty sinker baller.
The call was executed fine...UCLA executed better.
(hindsight is great)
Posted by PurpleAndGold86
Member since Jun 2012
11036 posts
Posted on 6/17/13 at 5:06 pm to
quote:

I don't think it had anything to do with CPM second guessing Raphs abilities to bunt.

It didn't

quote:

He just had an overwhelming amount of confidence that a good hitter was going to get a good pitch to hit and put the ball in play.

Which anyone with baseball knowledge would have thought.

The decision back fired. Clearly, in hind sight it wasn't the best possible decision, but I don't get how anyone can't understand why it was called.
Posted by RogerTheShrubber
Juneau, AK
Member since Jan 2009
296344 posts
Posted on 6/17/13 at 5:07 pm to
quote:


Teams still do it. PM knows it that's why he said he gambled and lost.How many left hand catchers do you see? It's called playing the percentages.


He gambled, he lost, he admits it.



Posted by PurpleAndGold86
Member since Jun 2012
11036 posts
Posted on 6/17/13 at 5:07 pm to
quote:

There is no rule about H&R contact needing to be oppo. You're taught to hit the ball on the ground (hard if possible) regardless of where.
The pitcher was a dirty sinker baller.

This guy gets it.
Posted by moneyg
Member since Jun 2006
62021 posts
Posted on 6/17/13 at 5:07 pm to
quote:

Teams still do it


Teams still decide to go the other way on a 50/50 type of decision? You don't say?
Posted by Bernie Moore
Member since May 2010
1859 posts
Posted on 6/17/13 at 5:07 pm to
quote:

Billy Ray Valentine


Who taught you? RR should have moved ball to rt side of diamond.
This post was edited on 6/17/13 at 5:08 pm
Posted by RATeamWannabe
Baton Rouge
Member since Sep 2009
26018 posts
Posted on 6/17/13 at 5:08 pm to
If anything, its the bunts fault it was a DP, third baseman in, in anticipation of bunt, was the killer there
Posted by dnm3305
Member since Feb 2009
15960 posts
Posted on 6/17/13 at 5:08 pm to
quote:

And how did you determine the 95% figur?. You been scouting UCLA pitchers all year?


Youre right, it was prlly more like 92.5%
Posted by RATeamWannabe
Baton Rouge
Member since Sep 2009
26018 posts
Posted on 6/17/13 at 5:08 pm to
Agreed
This post was edited on 6/17/13 at 5:09 pm
Posted by PurpleAndGold86
Member since Jun 2012
11036 posts
Posted on 6/17/13 at 5:09 pm to
quote:

third baseman in, in anticipation of bunt, was the killer there

This is actually true. He was playing in closer than normal. If Rhymes hadn't been bunting on the first 2, he would have been back behind the bag and Katz would have easily been safe at second and we would have tied the game.
Posted by Bernie Moore
Member since May 2010
1859 posts
Posted on 6/17/13 at 5:09 pm to
quote:

There is no rule about H&R contact needing to be oppo. You're taught to hit the ball on the ground (hard if possible) regardless of where. The pitcher was a dirty sinker baller.
quote:

PurpleAndGold86


Who teaches that? Who taught you?
Posted by RATeamWannabe
Baton Rouge
Member since Sep 2009
26018 posts
Posted on 6/17/13 at 5:10 pm to
ITS THE BUNTS FAULT
Posted by PurpleAndGold86
Member since Jun 2012
11036 posts
Posted on 6/17/13 at 5:11 pm to
quote:


ITS THE BUNTS FAULT


This has been the theme all year anyway. Everyone has complained about the bunt all year. Just keep blaming it.
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