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Started By
Message
re: Calibrate your expectations
Posted on 8/27/21 at 4:43 pm to ClientNumber9
Posted on 8/27/21 at 4:43 pm to ClientNumber9
I would not be surprised is UCLA makes it close, or even win.
1
Posted on 8/27/21 at 4:47 pm to oldskule
They’ve won 11 games in the last 3 seasons combined. If we lose to UCLA then we really should clean house 
Posted on 8/27/21 at 4:49 pm to ClientNumber9
I think we either lose or win big. This is either a 10 win or more LSU team or a 6 or 7 win LSU team with one of our losses being UCLA. If we lose to UCLA, we’re in trouble this year. Let’s just be honest.
UCLA returns 20 starters off a 3-4 team. We should sleep on no opponent but they’re not a top 25 team and won’t be all year.
UCLA returns 20 starters off a 3-4 team. We should sleep on no opponent but they’re not a top 25 team and won’t be all year.
This post was edited on 8/27/21 at 4:55 pm
Posted on 8/27/21 at 4:51 pm to baobabtiger
Why do you think the line is where it is?
Posted on 8/27/21 at 4:54 pm to Madking
1st week, Vegas isn’t sold on LSU and to draw in wagers
Posted on 8/27/21 at 4:57 pm to ClientNumber9
Alabama consistently destroys these kinds of teams even with their worst rosters. If LSU doesn't win this game by at least double digits, then this team has some serious problems.
This post was edited on 8/27/21 at 4:58 pm
Posted on 8/27/21 at 4:58 pm to TXTiger81
But the line is moving down on some sites. I saw 3.5 today.
This post was edited on 8/27/21 at 4:59 pm
Posted on 8/27/21 at 5:00 pm to ClientNumber9
It will definitely be competitive and anything could happen. In the end, we will prevail.
Posted on 8/27/21 at 5:09 pm to Mahomeless
UCLA is a joke. They were horrible last year and they’ve been horrible the entire time under Kelly. We had a bad year last season but our trends vs the odds over the final 5 games were positive. The 4 point line reflects something we’re not considering and something we view as a positive that’s in fact a negative.
Posted on 8/27/21 at 5:21 pm to Madking
Some computer ratings from last season:
FPI: LSU 28th, UCLA 29th
SP+: LSU 45th, UCLA 46th
Sagarin: LSU 38th, UCLA 46th
So not a ton of separation between the two teams' performances last year. UCLA returns more proven production but LSU has more recruiting talent. Throw in situational factors favoring UCLA (Week 0 game, playing at home, new coordinators for LSU) and I can see why the spread is at 4.
What's notable to me is that roughly 75% of the tickets are coming in on LSU and the line has hardly budged. Meaning Vegas must think they have the right line or are anticipating late money on UCLA.
FPI: LSU 28th, UCLA 29th
SP+: LSU 45th, UCLA 46th
Sagarin: LSU 38th, UCLA 46th
So not a ton of separation between the two teams' performances last year. UCLA returns more proven production but LSU has more recruiting talent. Throw in situational factors favoring UCLA (Week 0 game, playing at home, new coordinators for LSU) and I can see why the spread is at 4.
What's notable to me is that roughly 75% of the tickets are coming in on LSU and the line has hardly budged. Meaning Vegas must think they have the right line or are anticipating late money on UCLA.
Posted on 8/27/21 at 5:22 pm to Gulf Coast Tiger
Can someone tell me why they think we’re going to be great this year? What are you seeing on offense that I’m not seeing?
Because I’m seeing an average offensive line, a young and largely unproven quarterback, not much at running back, and mainly a talented, but young and largely unproven group of receivers
Because I’m seeing an average offensive line, a young and largely unproven quarterback, not much at running back, and mainly a talented, but young and largely unproven group of receivers
This post was edited on 8/27/21 at 5:24 pm
Posted on 8/27/21 at 5:28 pm to ClientNumber9
It doesn’t matter what we think, The Team is not going to take them lightly, if we execute and the defense plays up to their talent and potential we will win by 2 TDS if we look lost and not executing then it may be a long night.
That’s it we have no magic powers no matter how much we say UCLA sucks, and Oh yeah, UCLA sucks.
That’s it we have no magic powers no matter how much we say UCLA sucks, and Oh yeah, UCLA sucks.
Posted on 8/27/21 at 5:35 pm to Bruin2010
National football post has the line at 3.5 so apparently their early money is going on UCLA.
Posted on 8/27/21 at 5:43 pm to GentleJackJones
All the sites that go into more predictive detail have our offense underperforming. Most have us scoring between 28-31 points which is low considering UCLA gives up more than 32ppg on average under Kelly.
Posted on 8/27/21 at 6:01 pm to Madking
For me I think we walk right over this team. Our DL is going to be all over this kid. He will want to stay in the locker room at halftime. I see 5 or 6 if not more of our DL playing on Sunday.
At least 3 of our starting DB and 1or 2 LB. NFL talent all over the field. We roll them.
At least 3 of our starting DB and 1or 2 LB. NFL talent all over the field. We roll them.
Posted on 8/27/21 at 6:03 pm to Wadey
I think it’s a 2 TD win easily but Vegas isn’t in the business of handing gamblers layups.
Posted on 8/27/21 at 6:25 pm to Bruin2010
quote:
What's notable to me is that roughly 75% of the tickets are coming in on LSU and the line has hardly budged. Meaning Vegas must think they have the right line or are anticipating late money on UCLA.
Most people don’t bet this early on spreads, the least amount of bettors there are the easiest it is to have a heavy percentage on one side
Posted on 8/27/21 at 6:43 pm to ClientNumber9
quote:
LSU is only a 4 point favorite
We have a very inexperienced QB and a whole lotta folks who have not played together or coached together. They have to survive every week until they get their chemistry together.
If you go back and watch some early season games in 2019 and the end of the season and you see a different mix of players and their playing time
Posted on 8/27/21 at 6:56 pm to Clark W Griswold
Coordinators that have never called the plays too.
Posted on 8/27/21 at 8:39 pm to PUB
Joe Brady had never called plays. Just sayin
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