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re: 9 and 3 seems more realistic...i started the season with 7 5 ceiling

Posted on 9/14/22 at 9:24 pm to
Posted by cphill
Member since Sep 2009
1435 posts
Posted on 9/14/22 at 9:24 pm to
The problem is - we're not that great, either....I predicted 7-5 with a win over FSU...now, it will be hard to get to seven wins...
Posted by SMD
Member since Sep 2010
5538 posts
Posted on 9/14/22 at 9:26 pm to
quote:

I'm still targeting 6-6 with a 40% chance of 5-7. People are putting way too much stock in us hammering a rec team from a few miles up the road.


All this.
Posted by Ironhead985
Member since Jun 2013
10131 posts
Posted on 9/14/22 at 9:33 pm to
If we lose to moo state, the same folks who are saying 9-3 now, will be screaming 3-9 on here Saturday night. It’s all sunshine or all rain on this board. Never fails.
Posted by Tigaux6661
Member since Aug 2022
388 posts
Posted on 9/14/22 at 9:35 pm to
Dontlook back and only see W and L...weak team and average team. Look at how we are playing as one and how we are improving...then look at all our opponents...there is a line of sight to 9 and 3
Posted by Mako_fin
Member since Sep 2016
772 posts
Posted on 9/14/22 at 9:37 pm to
The delusion is strong in this one
Posted by EvrybodysAllAmerican
Member since Apr 2013
12837 posts
Posted on 9/14/22 at 9:54 pm to
We’d be 2-0 if we’d played southern first and FSU second week. Msu game will tell us where we we are as a program. If we win and look good 9-3 isn’t out of the question. Lose and look bad and 5-7 isn’t out of the question either….
Posted by Tigaux6661
Member since Aug 2022
388 posts
Posted on 9/14/22 at 9:55 pm to
Agree
Posted by Scoob
Near Exxon
Member since Jun 2009
23529 posts
Posted on 9/14/22 at 10:01 pm to
quote:

Why do you think we lose to Florida?

two evenly matched teams, go with the home team.

Only time that doesn't apply, is when we're on even footing with Bama. Road teams tend to win those matchups.
Posted by QB
Louisiana
Member since Sep 2013
8477 posts
Posted on 9/14/22 at 11:24 pm to
7 or 8 wins...depends on our kicker at the end of games. We will play a lot of close games in the SEC.
Posted by sunnydaze
Member since Jan 2010
32941 posts
Posted on 9/14/22 at 11:33 pm to
It’s gonna be hard to win 9 games with no elite talent in the secondary and at LB
Posted by shinerfan
Duckworld(Earth-616)
Member since Sep 2009
28537 posts
Posted on 9/14/22 at 11:38 pm to
quote:

Do you realize we are home underdogs to Mississippi state. That’s where we are as a program





No, that's where we are perceived to be as a program. These things get more accurate as the season progresses.
Posted by ruffleforeskin
Member since Dec 2021
681 posts
Posted on 9/15/22 at 9:26 am to
FSU L
Southern W
Miss St L (They gonna carve up our secondary)
New Mex W
Auburn W
Tennessee L
Florida L
Ole Miss Toss Up
Bama L
Arkansas L
UAB W
Tex AM W

looks like 5 or 6 wins at most and I'm being realistic.
Posted by jsmoke222000
Lake Charles
Member since Oct 2007
6324 posts
Posted on 9/15/22 at 10:06 am to
There is a reason that Vegas set the over/under for the season win total @ 6.5
This post was edited on 9/15/22 at 10:32 am
Posted by Tigaux6661
Member since Aug 2022
388 posts
Posted on 9/15/22 at 11:08 am to
quote:

looks like 5 or 6 wins at most and I'm being realistic.


I cant argue with this being a possibility. What im saying is a ceiling of 9 and 3 is real now than before the season started.
Posted by Tigaux6661
Member since Aug 2022
388 posts
Posted on 9/15/22 at 11:13 am to
quote:

There is a reason that Vegas set the over/under for the season win total @ 6.5


Yes...before season started...there were a lot more unknowns than now...there is another big factor that everyone sees but havent had enough time to see the fruits...based on Moo State game we will see if its soury or sweety...stay tuned.
Posted by TxWampus
Member since Oct 2021
297 posts
Posted on 9/15/22 at 12:25 pm to
FSU L
Southern W
Miss St Toss Up
New Mex W
Auburn W
Tennessee L - Need to see Tenn vs Florida to judge here
Florida W
Ole Miss Toss Up
Bama L
Arkansas L
UAB W
Tex AM W

Yep looks likely 7-5 or 8-4 at best 6-6 worst; had we beat FSU I might have said we had a path to 9-3.
Posted by Tigaux6661
Member since Aug 2022
388 posts
Posted on 9/15/22 at 12:36 pm to
There is a good chance we can upset AK or Bama
Posted by lsu xman
Member since Oct 2006
16828 posts
Posted on 9/15/22 at 2:03 pm to
2-1 vs Miss St, Auburn, and Tenn is good

2-2 vs FL, Ole Miss, Ark, A&M

0-1 vs Bama

Thats 7-5, best case 8-4. That's 5-3 in SEC which is solid expectations.
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