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Started By
Message
Quick Breakdown of the Decision Making - Long Story Short: It was Erratic
Posted on 11/8/26 at 1:58 am
Posted on 11/8/26 at 1:58 am
quote:
1st Q tied 3-3 - 4th and 9 - 56 yard FG attempt.
This is fine. Too much to go for that early and misses happen from there. Move on.
quote:
2nd Q down 10-3 - 4th and 4 at Bama 9 - failed conversion
I’m highlighting the is because it shows how erratic some of the later decisions were. Kiffin was all over the place tonight. I’m also going to have a mini melt, which is really my only one of the night.
I fricking HATE coaches going for it on 4th and 4+ in a condensed field when it isn’t necessary. I say it over and over and over because coaches keep doing this dumb shite. Take the fricking points.
quote:
3rd Q down 10 - 3 - 4th and 4 at Bama 31 - Made FG
I agree with taking the points, but, I mean, what is the logic here? We just went for it on 4th and 4 in a condensed field, which is much more difficult to convert. Why are we now kicking?
If you’re going to go for it on 4th and medium, this is the one to do it on. In a spot you can at least stretch the field and create some space.
The decision making is erratic but this made the score 10-6. LSU got a stop and then took the lead on the following possession. Taking points = good.
quote:
3rd Q down 17-13 - 4th and 3 from Bama 31 - failed conversion
So we’re going for it again instead of making it a 1 point game? Why? Again, this doesn’t make sense. You literally just took points in this very quarter, from the exact same spot, got a stop and then took the lead.
Why are we not taking the points again?
^^^
This is where the game was lost IMO. Because after this failed conversion, LSU’s defense forced a 3 and out, but Bama flipped the field. LSU was pinned, also went 3 and out and the big return happened setting up a short TD drive. 24-13 and the game was essentially over.
I really think the defense immediately giving up a quick TD drive right after LSU took the lead shook Kiffin because this was a bad decision.
quote:
4th Q down 24-13 - 4th and 10 from own 25 - Failed Conversion
Now we’re just in full blown meltdown.
Posted on 11/8/26 at 2:09 am to RB10
Well said. Analytics claims another victim
Posted on 11/8/26 at 2:20 am to RB10
Great post. Those 6 extra points would have made a huge difference down the stretch.
Posted on 11/8/26 at 3:10 am to RB10
This is exactly right.
I would even say kicking a 55 yard FG is too damn low percentage wise and they should have tried to draw Bama offside, take the delay of game if that doesn’t work, and try to pin bama in the 5.
Bama likely doesn’t score from there, it’s 3-3, you drive the field again, then kick another FG from the 5 on 4th and 4 to go up 6-3.
Then you don’t have to press for points going into half and hopefully come away with at least another FG instead of asking Leavitt to throw it a bunch and get picked. Go into half either up 6-3 or 9-3.
First possession out of half time you kick another FG to go up 9-3 or 12-3.
Then another stop and lsu scores here to make the game 16-3 or 19-3. Bama answered immediately after the TD and it’s now 16-10 or 19-10 LSU. That TD answer is not nearly as impactful if Bama doesn’t immediately take the lead back. LSU would still be in the lead and in control.
From here, the 3rd Qtr failed 4th and 3 from the Bama 31 down 4 becomes either a failed conversion up by 6 or 9, or we kick another FG to go up 19-10 or 22-10. Prefer trying to get the FG here in that situation. That’s within Starzyk’s range.
We can eat the big return by Bama up 19-10. They score. It’s 19-17. Not 24-13. We don’t do stupid shite like go for it on 4th and 10 from our own fricking 25 and give the game away.
We still might not win, but the basic shite coaching decisions win LSU the game.
In at least 2 games, Kiffin has cost us the win. That’s not a Jimmy and the joes, we have too many injuries, boohoo issue. That’s an “LSU paid how much for this decision making?”
Being aggressive is fine. Being stupid is not.
Kiffin appears to be a Stat Line Coach, not a Big Game Coach in his tenure so far.
I’m not saying LSU should fire him. That’s insane. I know it’s been less than one season.
I am saying LSU could right now, in Kiffin’s first season, be undefeated or have one loss if he coached better, with wins over a top 25 Kentucky and a top 10 Bama.
I would even say kicking a 55 yard FG is too damn low percentage wise and they should have tried to draw Bama offside, take the delay of game if that doesn’t work, and try to pin bama in the 5.
Bama likely doesn’t score from there, it’s 3-3, you drive the field again, then kick another FG from the 5 on 4th and 4 to go up 6-3.
Then you don’t have to press for points going into half and hopefully come away with at least another FG instead of asking Leavitt to throw it a bunch and get picked. Go into half either up 6-3 or 9-3.
First possession out of half time you kick another FG to go up 9-3 or 12-3.
Then another stop and lsu scores here to make the game 16-3 or 19-3. Bama answered immediately after the TD and it’s now 16-10 or 19-10 LSU. That TD answer is not nearly as impactful if Bama doesn’t immediately take the lead back. LSU would still be in the lead and in control.
From here, the 3rd Qtr failed 4th and 3 from the Bama 31 down 4 becomes either a failed conversion up by 6 or 9, or we kick another FG to go up 19-10 or 22-10. Prefer trying to get the FG here in that situation. That’s within Starzyk’s range.
We can eat the big return by Bama up 19-10. They score. It’s 19-17. Not 24-13. We don’t do stupid shite like go for it on 4th and 10 from our own fricking 25 and give the game away.
We still might not win, but the basic shite coaching decisions win LSU the game.
In at least 2 games, Kiffin has cost us the win. That’s not a Jimmy and the joes, we have too many injuries, boohoo issue. That’s an “LSU paid how much for this decision making?”
Being aggressive is fine. Being stupid is not.
Kiffin appears to be a Stat Line Coach, not a Big Game Coach in his tenure so far.
I’m not saying LSU should fire him. That’s insane. I know it’s been less than one season.
I am saying LSU could right now, in Kiffin’s first season, be undefeated or have one loss if he coached better, with wins over a top 25 Kentucky and a top 10 Bama.
Posted on 11/8/26 at 3:29 am to RB10
Nice breakdown. Thank you for this.
I have to disagree with you on your first point. Kicking that FG was a terrible decision. Our kicker hasn't ever hit one that long. In that situation, I think you have to punt and try and pin them deep. It's way too early in the game to try and hit career longs with a kicker that hasn't been that good all season.
That said, I agree with the rest of your points. Kiffin was terrible tonight and as you said, very erratic. He didn't read the game well at all and had no clue it was going to be a defensive game while everyone else watching could tell it was
I have to disagree with you on your first point. Kicking that FG was a terrible decision. Our kicker hasn't ever hit one that long. In that situation, I think you have to punt and try and pin them deep. It's way too early in the game to try and hit career longs with a kicker that hasn't been that good all season.
That said, I agree with the rest of your points. Kiffin was terrible tonight and as you said, very erratic. He didn't read the game well at all and had no clue it was going to be a defensive game while everyone else watching could tell it was
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