re: Trovon Update

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Sorry L$WHO. Reed and Seastrunk are coming to Auburn. Must suck to be you!

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CPA, you can only keep getting banned and create so many new accounts.

The fact he went to like, 5 home games last year and has been LSU's campus several times after that? The fact in all the pay site articles hes been pretty overwhelmingly positive towards LSU and the home state school? The fact his family is LSU fans, including his mother who passed?

Does he have interest in Auburn? Sure. But anyone who has followed his recruitment would think LSU is definitely in the driver's seat. Low chance he goes to Auburn, high chance he goes to LSU at this point. No chance for Auburn? Not at all but its highly unlikely at this point. Anything can happen here to signing day. If he was to sign tomorrow, he'd be a LSU Tiger.

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CFBFAN1121

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:pantiesinawadovertrovonandlache:

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BTW, LSU fans using the logic, Reed shouldnt go to Au cause it's far away is basically saying Lache shouldnt come to LSU since Texas is much closer than BR

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Lol, no shite Sherlock. Welcome to the World of recruiting OOS 4-5 star players. Let me break it down further for you. In-state players don't necessaily stay in-state "cause" it's closer. IF all other significant factors are relatively equal, recruits don't tend to move a long way away from their family to play football when there is another school with similar or equal factors that is much closer. It's logic. You see how that works now?

So, if it comes down to a toss-up for a Texas recruit between UT, LSU and AU, there is a very strong chance that the recruit will sign with the closer school if it is significantly closer, which means AU is shite out of luck and sucking hind tit, generally speaking of course.

You can run a logic check on this analysis by comparing the number of Texas players on AU's squad versus the number on LSU's squad. However, from your posts, I suspect the results might stagger and stun you.

don't be fooled b rod.. meth is a popular drug in central and northern alabama

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The fact he went to like, 5 home games last year and has been LSU's campus several times after that?

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I'm sure Russell Shepard went to plenty of UT games while in HS. I know it's a little different and there were other variables involved there...just sayin.

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The fact in all the pay site articles hes been pretty overwhelmingly positive towards LSU and the home state school?

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Paysites have been wrong on several occasions. While it might be statistically significant, it's not infallible, and is thus not very solid IMO.

Kenny Bell & Janzen Jackson each only had ONE local paysite (Bama & Tenn, respectively) around NSD saying that they might go anywhere besides LSU.

I tend to rely on paysites more than on rantards, but it's certainly not take-it-to-the-bank-able.

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The fact his family is LSU fans, including his mother who passed?

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I don't know (and I'm not presuming to know what the poor kid's going through), but I just think that if his mother's fanhood was going to play a big part in his decision, he would already be committed to LSU. I mean, if you know that's a significant factor, how could you conceivably go elsewhere.

But again, I've never been in that position, so I won't presume to know what he's going through. I'll concede this point to you.

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Does he have interest in Auburn? Sure. But anyone who has followed his recruitment would think LSU is definitely in the driver's seat.

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Sure. I "think" LSU is in the driver's seat too, but I haven't seen anything but speculation and biased interpretations of small hints to suggest that. I was just fishing for something more concrete.

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Low chance he goes to Auburn, high chance he goes to LSU at this point.

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I wouldn't be surprised if it was much closer to 50:50 than many would like to believe. I personally have it at about 65:35 for LSU.

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No chance for Auburn? Not at all but its highly unlikely at this point.

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Meh...I wouldn't call 35% "highly unlikely", but that's just a matter of perception on my part.

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Anything can happen here to signing day.

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Yes.

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If he was to sign tomorrow, he'd be a LSU Tiger.

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I am 65% sure that this is a true statement.

Again, I don't disagree...I just don't see anything but speculation

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IF all other significant factors are relatively equal, recruits don't tend to move a long way away from their family to play football when there is another school with similar or equal factors that is much closer. It's logic. You see how that works now?

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Exactly, now using your own logic, why would Lache consider coming all the way to BR when he can go an hour up the street and go to UT.

LSU fans are using this logic when it comes to Reed. "Why would reed go allll the way to Auburn when he can play an hour away at BR"

Well if that's the case, what about Lache?

I don't know, might have something to do with UT's coaching staff? Did you ever think of that? Maybe he doesn't like them or maybe UT slowed on his recruiting? We all known MB does this quite often and gets lazy recruiting the big fish.

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I don't know, might have something to do with UT's coaching staff? Did you ever think of that? Maybe he doesn't like them or maybe UT slowed on his recruiting?

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u guys are missing my point, i'm sure there's a valid reason why lache isnt considering UT. The point im making is that just b/c you're closer to school A doesnt mean you're a lock for that school.

Trovon himself said that he doesnt talk to LSU's coaching staff that much, said he only talks to them when he goes to LSU.

Knowing that, it wouldn't surprise me at all that Reed has a better relationship with AU coaches than LSU coaches.

please /yourself