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re: LSU Baseball 2027 (and beyond) Recruiting Thread

Posted on 10/23/26 at 6:45 am to
Posted by NiceTiger
Member since Nov 2006
26 posts
Posted on 10/23/26 at 6:45 am to
Owen is perfect example of the analytics overlooking a kid that competes and is a better pitcher than 90% of these kids throwing 92mph plus that can't hit the backside of a barn. He will do well at Delgado and find his way to a D1 program in year or 2. I've seen a lot of these "national" kids play over the years, and I can tell you many aren't as good as they are made out to be. Their analytics are off the charts which draws attention in today's baseball recruiting but many will struggle at these elite programs and transfer after year 1. Baseball needs to change how they evaluate players b/c the game is pretty bad overall right now.
Posted by Lester Earl
3rd Ward
Member since Nov 2003
292711 posts
Posted on 10/23/26 at 6:59 am to
What do you mean by analytics? Are you just talking fastball velocity?

Delgado is a fine program that is a great stepping stone for development. But at the end of the day 90-92 from the RHP doesn’t get hitters out in the SEC. Don’t care how “competitive” you are.
Posted by NiceTiger
Member since Nov 2006
26 posts
Posted on 10/23/26 at 7:10 am to
Analytics:
Exit Velocity, Infield / outfield throwing velocity, 60 times, etc. I think analytics are important and should be a tool to recruiting but it's become way more than just a tool in college / professional baseball. I disagree with you in that 92mph can't get SEC hitters out. A kid throwing 92 with good movement / good off-speed that can spot pitches can eat all day in the SEC. Unfortunately, many never get the chance. LSU's 2026 staff was perfect example of a bunch of hard throwers but few good pitchers. I see a lot of these top recruits that have a lot of power at the plate & occasionally hit 430' bombs but when facing good pitching can't hit. Recruiters place a ton of emphasis on 60 times and I get that one b/c speed kills but very few of these kids steal bases or utilize their speed in games. The one that really gets me is the throwing velocity b/c if you watch these kids at showcases, it's ridiculous how they are throwing b/c it's nothing they would ever do in a game not to mention a lot of the throws aren't accurate. I just see a lot wrong in the game and would love to see some of the old school eye test come back in the game when evaluating talent. Just me opinion but I think today's athletes are off the charts physically but skill wise are not as good as they were even 10 years ago.
This post was edited on 10/23/26 at 7:21 am
Posted by Lester Earl
3rd Ward
Member since Nov 2003
292711 posts
Posted on 10/23/26 at 7:20 am to
quote:

kid throwing 92 with good movement / good off-speed that can spot pitches can eat all day in the SEC.


Like who? Zac Cowan is a perfect example. He was great in 24’ but the margin of error you have with that velocity is tiny. Which is why what he did was not repeatable last year.

When your job is on the line as a coach, you lean on the data because the data shows that most great players share these physical capabilities.

There will always be outliers but you can’t lean on a team of guys that qualify as outliers.
Posted by NiceTiger
Member since Nov 2006
26 posts
Posted on 10/23/26 at 8:00 am to
I agree with that but some of the data and how it's gathered is stupid. Who cares if a kid throws 96mph from the outfield. Can he track a fly ball, does he get consistently great jumps off the bat and can really field his position at a high level or is that 96mph throw accurate or did it sail into the stands. Does the pitcher have command of several pitches or is he just a thrower that might figure it out? I've sat through a ton of these showcases, futures games, Area Codes, you name it, and I can tell you a lot of the 'data' is misleading. It's why you see so many JUCO / D2 / mid major guys become the stars on the D1 level. They might not have crazy showcase numbers coming out of high school or didn't choose to play in a bunch of the national showcase tourneys b/c it's expensive to do that, but they can play the game at a very high level. That's my only point really is that so many are getting overlooked early on. I still think you can be very successful in the SEC throwing 92mph with great offspeed that you can dot. It works at every level. Kids just aren't being trained to do that anymore. Now it's all about seeing how hard you can throw to generate a number that recruiters will see. Same with hitting in trying to hit an EV number to post online. Can you hit though ?
This post was edited on 10/23/26 at 8:10 am
Posted by Lester Earl
3rd Ward
Member since Nov 2003
292711 posts
Posted on 10/23/26 at 10:40 am to
I think it’s disingenuous to think that coaches do not attempt to filter intangibles too. Having data is extremely useful whether baseball fossils want to acknowledge it or not.

At the end of the day a high profile school like lsu has to mitigate risk. And it’s less risky to take a kid that throws 97 with iffy command than a guy throwing 91mph that can spot the ball.
Posted by ProjectP2294
West St. Louis County
Member since May 2007
80206 posts
Posted on 10/23/26 at 10:48 am to
And there are guys that show up to JUCO campuses topping out at 90 all the time that are able to get innings and prove that they can do all the other things a pitcher needs to do to be successful and when they add a few ticks of velo, their recruitment and their professional prospects take off.

Sometimes those guys end up at Southland schools out of JUCO, get drafted and make the majors and you're wondering how bigger schools missed on them when it's really that they're more of steady improvers rather than the "good now" guys that the bigger conference schools have to go after.
Posted by Lester Earl
3rd Ward
Member since Nov 2003
292711 posts
Posted on 10/23/26 at 10:53 am to
For sure they do. But LSU can’t roster a 90mph thrower for 2 years to see if their velo will increase. Shoot, most players wouldn’t want that either.
Posted by ProjectP2294
West St. Louis County
Member since May 2007
80206 posts
Posted on 10/23/26 at 10:55 am to
Right. It's why there are multiple paths. There are spots and opportunities for all types of players.
Posted by nicholastiger
Member since Jan 2004
58784 posts
Posted on 10/23/26 at 10:58 am to
the ace for the Brewers was at a juco and even though he threw hard one of the issues was his control

he seems to have figured it out with MLB development and will win the Cy Young

on another hand, Rasumussen who was with the Brewers struggled then went to the Rays and is their ace

so much goes into pitching development and MLB teams are all using analytics

my biggest issue with Yeskie is expecting college pitchers to throw any pitch in any count - not many are capable of doing that right away, it takes time
Posted by Lester Earl
3rd Ward
Member since Nov 2003
292711 posts
Posted on 10/23/26 at 11:03 am to
I don’t think people realize “analytics” can equally measure pitchability through many of the metrics used
Posted by DRock88
Member since Aug 2015
11106 posts
Posted on 10/23/26 at 3:23 pm to
They don't just look at the data. The data is just part of the process. They also consider projectability in kids with lesser data points. Like I said, I don't think Nugent has even hit 90 mph yet (and if he has, he doesn't sit there). If and when he breaks that barrier, his moxy and projectabilty will make him that much more coveted. He's already a nice size and his dad pitched for LSU, so the projection is there. He could be a mid-90s guy in a few years but he isn't there yet. You can't completely ignore current data points.

ETA: Beau Stevens is a nice prospect for Rummel.
This post was edited on 10/23/26 at 3:35 pm
Posted by MorbidTheClown
Baton Rouge
Member since Jan 2015
77360 posts
Posted on 10/23/26 at 4:21 pm to
Caden Borcherding

Just saw this guy committed. What do you know about him?
Posted by DRock88
Member since Aug 2015
11106 posts
Posted on 10/23/26 at 6:02 pm to
Not much, personally
Posted by LesnarF5
Member since Apr 2015
10560 posts
Posted on 10/23/26 at 10:39 pm to
Supposed to be the top catcher in the country mentioned by some. If Jay wants him I'm in.
Posted by Teauxler
Baton Rouge
Member since Jan 2010
3906 posts
Posted on 10/24/26 at 12:08 am to
Need to add DMJ too !!
Posted by FredbullTN
Houston
Member since Sep 2023
6106 posts
Posted on 10/24/26 at 2:05 pm to
quote:

Need to add DMJ too !!


My 12 year old is watching some videos on YouTube saying he committed to the good guys. Won’t believe it till I see someone here post about it
Posted by lsusteve1
Member since Dec 2004
49749 posts
Posted on 10/24/26 at 4:39 pm to
He’s committed
Posted by FredbullTN
Houston
Member since Sep 2023
6106 posts
Posted on 10/24/26 at 7:43 pm to
quote:

He’s committed


Oh dang! CJJ is cooking
Posted by Flanders
Member since May 2008
9975 posts
Posted on 10/24/26 at 11:36 pm to
Would yall like to give a name more than initials?

ETA: nvm yall must be talking about Dexter from a couple of days ago.
This post was edited on 10/24/26 at 11:39 pm
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