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Message

Spillway ?? Morganza and Bonnet Carre
Posted on 5/12/11 at 6:20 pm
Posted on 5/12/11 at 6:20 pm
Why did they wait to open the Bonnet Carre and are waiting even longer to open the Morganza?
I understand that they don't want to do it unless they have too, but they know whats coming from up river and can pretty closely predict levels for down river. If they had opened both up completely 3 weeks ago wouldn't that have made the possible flood levels pretty low?
I understand that they don't want to do it unless they have too, but they know whats coming from up river and can pretty closely predict levels for down river. If they had opened both up completely 3 weeks ago wouldn't that have made the possible flood levels pretty low?
Posted on 5/12/11 at 6:24 pm to Michael J
There are protocols for all of this. You don't want to flood people unless you have to. Also, opening them weeks ago means that there would also likely be prolonged flooding. Furthermore, places like Morgan City are preparing for the opening by sandbagging and shoring up levees.
Just let the people smarter than you do their job.
Just let the people smarter than you do their job.
Posted on 5/12/11 at 6:26 pm to DEANintheYAY
quote:
Just let the people smarter than you do their job.
This X 100
There are rules that are to be followed with this. I know people that think these guys are sitting around rolling dice and looking at magic 8 balls to try and figure this all out.
Posted on 5/12/11 at 6:50 pm to DEANintheYAY
quote:
Just let the people smarter than you do their job.
I hope your Mom is proud of you for being a dickhead.
I was asking a simple question. I know there are protocols for this. I was speaking hypothetically, that if they had would it have made a difference on the overall flood level. I wasn't being critical of any choices being made by the powers that be.
Posted on 5/12/11 at 6:52 pm to Michael J
You don't want to fill up areas earlier than you have to.
Posted on 5/12/11 at 6:55 pm to Michael J
Federal mandates. The river has to be at a certain level to open either structure.
Posted on 5/12/11 at 6:57 pm to GeorgeTheGreek
quote:
You don't want to fill up areas earlier than you have to.
I understand this, I was just wonder if it had been opened weeks ago before the river roze. Could it have made a difference with the for the river level now? It could have flowed into lake and basin and reduced the chance of the river reaching its current level and pressure on the levees.
Posted on 5/12/11 at 6:58 pm to glassman
Well at a certain flow rate, but we know what you mean. 
Posted on 5/12/11 at 6:59 pm to glassman
quote:
Federal mandates. The river has to be at a certain level to open either structure.
Your failing to understand my question. I am not asking if it should have been done. I am wondering if it had would it have made a impact on the current river levels.
Posted on 5/12/11 at 7:03 pm to Michael J
quote:
Your failing to understand my question. I am not asking if it should have been done. I am wondering if it had would it have made a impact on the current river levels.
I am not failing. You think a federal law could be changed on short notice? The amount of redtape needed to pass any Federal law is mind blowing. These levels are closely momitored and there is no amount of bitching that can change it.
Posted on 5/12/11 at 7:09 pm to glassman
quote:
I am not failing.
Yes you are, I would call you stupid but I have read enough of your postings to know your a pretty sharp guy. I am not talking about laws. I am wondering do you think if it was "POSSIBLE" and they could do whatever they wanted, if they had been opened early would it make a difference in river level.
Posted on 5/12/11 at 7:12 pm to Michael J
quote:
I am wondering if it had would it have made a impact on the current river levels.
There is no need to keep river levels lower than what they plan to. The flood control system they have in place on the Mississippi should be good for the water surface level they plan on it reaching in the respective areas. It's a little different for a river like the Mississippi because there is a lot of really good historical data available and is regulated by the flood control structures, but when developing hydrologic and hydraulic models we almost always trend towards be conservative. That is basically our factor of safety.
Posted on 5/12/11 at 7:32 pm to Michael J
quote:
if they had been opened early would it make a difference in river level.
I agree. But, it is out of our hands. The BC should have been opened earlier, but there is no way to change a federal mandate that quickly. I am a realist and this shite could be bad.
I totally agree with your premise. It is just not possible.
Posted on 5/12/11 at 7:39 pm to glassman
quote:
Freida Pinto would land in your bed with five 100mg Viagras and say "lets frick".
I have never needed viagra and I imagine even on my worst day I wouldn't need it with her
Posted on 5/12/11 at 8:05 pm to DEANintheYAY
quote:
opening them weeks ago means that there would also likely be prolonged flooding
You could have opened them up 3 weeks ago and it wouldnt have made a difference....the water didnt get into the fore bay until just earlier this week
quote:
Just let the people smarter than you do their job.
Thats like the 4th time I read this on this board today.....so original.
Posted on 5/12/11 at 8:13 pm to Michael J
quote:
I would call you stupid
quote:
I was just wonder if it had been opened weeks ago before the river roze
Posted on 5/12/11 at 8:28 pm to Michael J
quote:
Yes you are, I would call you stupid but I have read enough of your postings to know your a pretty sharp guy. I am not talking about laws. I am wondering do you think if it was "POSSIBLE" and they could do whatever they wanted, if they had been opened early would it make a difference in river level.
Your problem is you're thinking of the river like a stagnant bathtub instead of a flowing pipe. With a pipe, it doesn't matter if there is water in the pipe beforehand--it will rapidly equilibrate the flow rate (upstream flow) to the pressure in the pipe (on this case, the height of the river and its flow rate since it's not a closed tube). Basically, pre-lowering the river by opening the spillway wouldn't do much as far as buying time because the height will rapidly equilibrate to the incoming flow. This same principle applies to opening the Morganza early. In both cases, you're using spillways to divert flow rate from the downstream path thus reducing the downstream pressure and height. Reducing the pressure on the levees around New Orleans by opening the BC spillway prior to the river achieving levels that endangered the levees would be pointless and would simply further damage the lake's ecosystem with no significant hydraulic benefit. That's where the formulas come in.
I don't know if I'm explaining this well... If I lost you and you're still curious, sign up for a fluids class somewhere or peruse a textbook.
Posted on 5/12/11 at 8:54 pm to glassman
There is no federal law saying to open at a certain point.
From the meeting tonight
1.5 is the trigger point outlined in the guidelines for the presidential appointed MRC (Mississippi River Commision) It is not a law just a guide line and is completely up to the commisssion to open the spillways or not.d
The corps has issued a formal request to open morganza and it is now in the hands of the MRC from what we were told tonight.
From the meeting tonight
1.5 is the trigger point outlined in the guidelines for the presidential appointed MRC (Mississippi River Commision) It is not a law just a guide line and is completely up to the commisssion to open the spillways or not.d
The corps has issued a formal request to open morganza and it is now in the hands of the MRC from what we were told tonight.
Posted on 5/12/11 at 9:17 pm to TIGERSandFROGS
quote:
If I lost you and you're still curious, sign up for a fluids class somewhere or peruse a textbook.
Like I said before, the flood control system they have in place is designed to handle a pre-determined flowrate that they are comfortable with. The river is not at that point yet, so there is no reason to divert water yet at Morganza. They have several gages down the Mississippi, so they can determine fairly accurately what the flowrate is coming to the next gage and when it will get there.
Posted on 5/12/11 at 9:19 pm to glb
has anyone noticed how fast the current from the bonnet carre is going into lake ponchatrain?
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