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re: Mississippi River changing at Morganza

Posted on 5/12/11 at 2:08 pm to
Posted by Bard
Definitely NOT an admin
Member since Oct 2008
57897 posts
Posted on 5/12/11 at 2:08 pm to
quote:

This thread is not about the river changing course. It's about people thinking that it could possibly do so at Morganza instead of at ORCS.


Gotcha!

I think we're having multiple discussions going on, it gets confusing.
Posted by bayoudude
Member since Dec 2007
25840 posts
Posted on 5/12/11 at 2:12 pm to
quote:

I think it's just a concern because the gates of the morganza haven't been pressure tested like this since '73.


Even in 73 they weren't put to this big of a test.
Posted by AlxTgr
Kyre Banorg
Member since Oct 2003
86439 posts
Posted on 5/12/11 at 2:13 pm to
quote:

bakersman
You need to post louder in case they still don't get it
Posted by Bard
Definitely NOT an admin
Member since Oct 2008
57897 posts
Posted on 5/12/11 at 2:14 pm to
quote:

Where? Morgan City would be a sand bar.


Dunno. It would definitely move to follow the river though. Since so much of that is so low, it may wind up moving farther north like Simmesport or Krotz Springs.

**Gonna start another thread on this to get out of the Spillway ORCS debate***
Posted by Boh
Baton Rouge
Member since Oct 2009
12361 posts
Posted on 5/12/11 at 2:17 pm to
So what are the odds that the river flows through the Atch to get to the Gulf after all of this
Posted by bakersman
Shreveport
Member since Apr 2011
5990 posts
Posted on 5/12/11 at 2:31 pm to
if the orcs fails it will happen, but not at the morganza spillway. At old river
Posted by bayoudude
Member since Dec 2007
25840 posts
Posted on 5/12/11 at 2:32 pm to
What would a fail at morganza do to the flow at ORCS? Also I would think that in a few months time with the full force of the MS a new channel would form on its own.
Posted by AlxTgr
Kyre Banorg
Member since Oct 2003
86439 posts
Posted on 5/12/11 at 2:35 pm to
quote:

Also I would think that in a few months time with the full force of the MS a new channel would form on its own
It could not flow that long. Water only reaches the structure at very high levels. At the beginning of this flood deal, there wasn't even water touching the structure. Besides, there could never be "the full force of the MS" at Morganza.
Posted by bakersman
Shreveport
Member since Apr 2011
5990 posts
Posted on 5/12/11 at 3:24 pm to
quote:

But where water is flowing generally forms a channel and I thought they were worried about it undermining the system(to me that means eroding away sediment thus leaving the structure obsolete)


yes that channel is old river and into the atchafalaya river. this is where the mississippi river wants to go naturally. not the morganza spillway. a new river will not be formed at the morganza spillway.
Posted by lpotterusa
Franklin, LA
Member since Mar 2006
456 posts
Posted on 5/12/11 at 3:48 pm to
quote:

However, what if the control structures necessary to prevent the Mississippi's diversion to the Atchafalaya River were completely undermined and swept away during a flood such as the one in 1973? The ORCS has almost failed in the face of the Mississippi's might before, and it could still do so. Can the Army corps withstand nature's might indefinitely, or will physics and the Mississippi River win out in the end?
LINK
Posted by ItTakesAThief
Scottsdale, Arizona
Member since Dec 2009
10322 posts
Posted on 5/12/11 at 3:54 pm to
quote:


There is no channel.


If the amount of water they are projecting was freely flowing through there it could cut a channel.

Not saying that would happen, but there are obviously some engineers out there who know a lot more than we do who at least have some moderate concerns about this.
Posted by Croacka
Denham Springs
Member since Dec 2008
61451 posts
Posted on 5/12/11 at 3:56 pm to
quote:

If the amount of water they are projecting was freely flowing through there it could cut a channel.

Not saying that would happen, but there are obviously some engineers out there who know a lot more than we do who at least have some moderate concerns about this.


rivers cut channels over decades or centuries


Posted by AlxTgr
Kyre Banorg
Member since Oct 2003
86439 posts
Posted on 5/12/11 at 4:00 pm to
quote:

If the amount of water they are projecting was freely flowing through there it could cut a channel.

Not saying that would happen, but there are obviously some engineers out there who know a lot more than we do who at least have some moderate concerns about this.


No, it really would not, and could you link those concerns?
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