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re: Usefulness of NFL mock drafts

Posted on 7/7/14 at 3:19 pm to
Posted by Gtothemoney
Da North Shore
Member since Sep 2012
17715 posts
Posted on 7/7/14 at 3:19 pm to
Yes. That's why I went Gonzales and Gates. I figured I'd flip one of them.
And it's also key to hit on at least 2 free agents. My first pickup was Julius Thomas. 2nd was Joique.
Posted by Iona Fan Man
Member since Jan 2006
27462 posts
Posted on 7/7/14 at 3:24 pm to
quote:

it's hard to win without a stud RB


less than 50% chance of success...busts who were barely worth rostering

quote:

1 1.01 Adrian Peterson RB MIN
2 1.03 Doug Martin RB TB-was crao before being injured
3 1.05 Jamaal Charles RB KC
4 1.05 Arian Foster RB HOU
5 1.05 C.J. Spiller RB BUF-crappy all year
6 1.06 Marshawn Lynch RB SEA
7 1.06 LeSean McCoy RB PHI

8 1.08 Trent Richardson RB-crap all year
9 1.08 Ray Rice RB BAL-crap
10 1.11 Alfred Morris RB WAS-crap
11 1.12 Matt Forte RB CHI
12 2.03 Steven Jackson RB-crap ATL


Injuries were the only reason all these weren't BOLD

quote:

1 1.09 Calvin Johnson WR DET
2 2.02 Dez Bryant WR DAL
3 2.06 A.J. Green WR CIN

4 2.10 Julio Jones WR ATL
5 2.12 Brandon Marshall WR
6 3.02 Demaryius Thomas WR
7 3.05 Larry Fitzgerald WR
8 3.07 Andre Johnson WR HOU

9 3.08 Randall Cobb WR GB
10 3.11 Roddy White WR ATL
11 4.01 Victor Cruz WR NYG
12 4.02 Vincent Jackson WR TB


Only an injury to rodgers kept the top 3 from being the top 3
quote:

1 2.07 Drew Brees QB
2 3.01 Aaron Rodgers QB
3 3.08 Peyton Manning QB


70% chance success at TE(top 10 who finished in top 10)

quote:

1 2.11 Jimmy Graham TE NO
2 4.08 Rob Gronkowski TE NE
3 5.08 Vernon Davis TE SF
4 5.11 Jason Witten TE DAL
5 6.06 Tony Gonzalez TE ATL

6 7.04 Jermichael Finley TE GB
7 8.02 Jordan Cameron TE CLE
8 8.05 Antonio Gates TE SD

9 8.11 Jared Cook TE STL
10 9.05 Greg Olsen TE CAR



Kash Strategy.....draft sure things, grab/trade for garbage time RBs(woodhead,rashad jennings,Joique bell, etc)
Posted by Byron Bojangles III
Member since Nov 2012
51874 posts
Posted on 7/7/14 at 3:31 pm to
Morris was not crap. he was as steady as anyone.never busted out but got you solid points every week
Posted by Iona Fan Man
Member since Jan 2006
27462 posts
Posted on 7/7/14 at 3:36 pm to
quote:

Morris was not crap. he was as steady as anyone.never busted out but got you solid points every week


in PPR leagues MJD and Ray Rice beat him

22# overall
This post was edited on 7/7/14 at 3:38 pm
Posted by MrWiseGuy
Member since Dec 2009
27447 posts
Posted on 7/7/14 at 3:39 pm to
It's kind of hard to accumulate fantasy points when you're being treated like Wendell Brown.

Darrell Young scored three THREE touchdowns in one game.

In real life, Morris was very good.
Posted by Byron Bojangles III
Member since Nov 2012
51874 posts
Posted on 7/7/14 at 3:42 pm to
quote:

MJD and Ray Rice beat him

godi find that hard to believe
Posted by Gtothemoney
Da North Shore
Member since Sep 2012
17715 posts
Posted on 7/7/14 at 3:56 pm to
LINK

Morris only had 9 catches last year. Surprised me too.
Posted by oleyeller
Vols, Bitch
Member since Oct 2012
32035 posts
Posted on 7/8/14 at 10:03 am to
i do several hundered every yr. i was in the top 3 in every league i was in last yr.. thanks to mocks
Posted by Boomshockalocka
Member since Feb 2004
59715 posts
Posted on 7/8/14 at 10:15 am to
quote:

oleyeller


you again?
Posted by BhamTigah
Lurker since Jan 2003
Member since Jan 2007
14283 posts
Posted on 7/8/14 at 10:42 am to
Mocks are useful to entertain you until the real draft. If you are doing it to determine when people will be drafted, you're better off looking at ADP rather than a specific mock.
Posted by dnm3305
Member since Feb 2009
13663 posts
Posted on 7/8/14 at 2:06 pm to
quote:

meh not so much. the best strategy is to have no strategy, imo. Take the BPA.


Yes. This. I know who my keeper pick will be and it will cost me a 6th rounder. I know the exact position I am targeting in the first rd. Every rd after that is BPA.
Posted by dnm3305
Member since Feb 2009
13663 posts
Posted on 7/8/14 at 2:08 pm to
quote:

Eh Romo can win you a league


Eh, he is a top QB. What's your point?
Posted by Tigerntx
NOLA
Member since Jul 2011
1309 posts
Posted on 7/11/14 at 5:16 pm to
Ok - I do maybe 10 or so mock drafts & will this year. The game continues to evolve & I have seen strategies change a little from year to year. I keep the previous years drafts & have an idea what they will do.

The "practice" drafts give me a computer generated guess of the end result using different strategies for my team, i.e., QB early or later. I win last year taking the QB in the 9th round. For me, it is practice.

By draft time, I am really don't have to give much thought to the next pick when someone throws a curve, more of a reaction. If you are a league with a group that really knows what they are doing, IMO, you don't win it in the draft, but with the moves executed during the season & especially close to the playoffs.
Posted by HailToTheChiz
Back in Auburn
Member since Aug 2010
49187 posts
Posted on 7/14/14 at 7:14 am to
quote:

IMO, you don't win it in the draft, but with the moves executed during the season & especially close to the playoffs.

Posted by NOFLyZ0ne28
West Florida
Member since Apr 2014
876 posts
Posted on 7/14/14 at 9:43 am to
I'm sure it's been said already, but that team is baaaaddd.

ETA: I do a mock per day on average. Only because I'm bored at work in the afternoons. My main reason for doing them is to try and find what draft position I think is best, in case I get to pick my spot early. So far I like the 4-6 spot this year. Had a pretty nice draft in the 8 spot last week though. That team just for shits and giggles:

QB - T. Brady
RB - Reggie Bush, MJD, Tre Mason, Carlos Hyde
WR - AJ Green, B. Marshall, V. Cruz, R. Cooper, Mike Evans
TE - J. Cameron, Antonio Gates
PK - M. Crosby
DST - Bengals
This post was edited on 7/14/14 at 9:49 am
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