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re: Fantasy Board Regulars Football League

Posted on 9/6/12 at 10:41 am to
Posted by Iona Fan Man
Member since Jan 2006
27462 posts
Posted on 9/6/12 at 10:41 am to
quote:

The more players and weeks of projections you add the more a normalized bell curve will take shape.


yes, very good

quote:

Problem is you compare player A to player B by using projections, you obviously are hunting for the guys you feel are +2/3 standard deviations above the mean and selling who you think are -2/3.


not so much

Gronk is a common trade for me.

Yahoo has him at -80 from last yeat
-20 catches, -300 yards, -6TDs
about a 25% drop

they say that Yahoo has him overvalued.....is that projection IYO +2/3?

I tried for Forte who's projected 270, after his high in the last 3 years was 260, and that was w/o Michael Bush and Marshall competing for carries and catches....is that -2/-3?

Kevin Smith scored 115 in 7 games last year....projected 179 this year......+2/+3?

Donald Brown...scored 110 last year in split time with carter and addai getting only 1/3 carries, on a shite offense......he's projected 179....+2/+3?

DHB...scored like 180 last year....projected 150 this year.....+2/+3?


I know you aren't looking at our teams, but please give me some credit, I'm not manipulating the system.
This post was edited on 9/6/12 at 10:46 am
Posted by Iona Fan Man
Member since Jan 2006
27462 posts
Posted on 9/6/12 at 10:58 am to
gone for most of the day

here's your vacation
Posted by BhamTigah
Lurker since Jan 2003
Member since Jan 2007
17613 posts
Posted on 9/6/12 at 3:18 pm to
Damn it's quiet in here today.
Posted by Iona Fan Man
Member since Jan 2006
27462 posts
Posted on 9/6/12 at 4:30 pm to
Sproles and Wallace for foster?

How in gods name does that help PIIHB?


Posted by Drew Orleans
Member since Mar 2010
21577 posts
Posted on 9/6/12 at 4:35 pm to
Sproles was a top 5 PPR back last year and Wallace is a huge upgrade at WR2.

Plus Foster left practice today and now I have to deal with that shite.

Don't be mad that my team is going to have non-consensual sex with your face and butt in week 2.
This post was edited on 9/6/12 at 4:36 pm
Posted by GynoSandberg
Bay St Louis, MS
Member since Jan 2006
74443 posts
Posted on 9/6/12 at 4:36 pm to
You truly have no clue.

Give it up.
Posted by Drew Orleans
Member since Mar 2010
21577 posts
Posted on 9/6/12 at 4:37 pm to
Exactly, I told one of my buddies at work about it and he couldn't believe it. Then I told him PIIHB's current team and he realized that it would help both teams...

Then I read that Foster left practice today and my a-hole tightened up a bit.
Posted by Iona Fan Man
Member since Jan 2006
27462 posts
Posted on 9/6/12 at 4:46 pm to
Please screen shot projected just so i or you can reference later this season.

If you Arent ashamed to shite it....what's yahoo say?

How man points / week did he lose from foster to sproles.....how many points from Moore to Wallace?
Posted by GynoSandberg
Bay St Louis, MS
Member since Jan 2006
74443 posts
Posted on 9/6/12 at 4:48 pm to
Just give it up.
Posted by Drew Orleans
Member since Mar 2010
21577 posts
Posted on 9/6/12 at 4:49 pm to
What you fail to recognize is that just because it helps me a good bit doesn't mean it hurts him. Also I have the added risk of injury. If Foster gets hurt, that's just like Sproles and Wallace getting hurt. Redundancy...
Posted by Drew Orleans
Member since Mar 2010
21577 posts
Posted on 9/6/12 at 4:52 pm to
Not to mention yahoo has both of them currently scoring 30 -40 less a piece than they did last year.
If everyone stays healthy(knock on wood) get ready for week 2 buddy.
Posted by Iona Fan Man
Member since Jan 2006
27462 posts
Posted on 9/6/12 at 4:53 pm to
Could you please just tell me what yahoo says
Posted by Lester Earl
3rd Ward
Member since Nov 2003
290826 posts
Posted on 9/6/12 at 4:59 pm to
you dont think PIIHB got better here?
Posted by Drew Orleans
Member since Mar 2010
21577 posts
Posted on 9/6/12 at 5:00 pm to
I don't want to because I don't feel like hearing your constant and unrelenting bullshite but...

Sure

Me plus 90, him minus 60
Posted by BhamTigah
Lurker since Jan 2003
Member since Jan 2007
17613 posts
Posted on 9/6/12 at 5:01 pm to
Drew PIIPIIHB'sB
This post was edited on 9/6/12 at 5:02 pm
Posted by Drew Orleans
Member since Mar 2010
21577 posts
Posted on 9/6/12 at 5:01 pm to
again, yahoo doesn't mean shite.
Posted by Drew Orleans
Member since Mar 2010
21577 posts
Posted on 9/6/12 at 5:02 pm to
It's not like he's trying to purposely lose 100 bucks
Posted by Iona Fan Man
Member since Jan 2006
27462 posts
Posted on 9/6/12 at 5:08 pm to
So 150 point swing....i could tell without you posting that it was way lopsided.

What that means is that he lost 90 points at RB to gain 30 ar Wr.


He NEEDS 2 rbs to start....but he chose to take one instead.

If were doing the deal it would have been

foster Greene
forte sproles Wallace

Then i bet you both would be happy in a non-lopsided trade
Posted by Drew Orleans
Member since Mar 2010
21577 posts
Posted on 9/6/12 at 5:11 pm to
No you would have picked up keiland williams or Gronk's brother and offered him instead.



ETA: 10000

frick I'm officially a loser
This post was edited on 9/6/12 at 5:18 pm
Posted by Lester Earl
3rd Ward
Member since Nov 2003
290826 posts
Posted on 9/6/12 at 5:15 pm to
quote:

He NEEDS 2 rbs to start....but he chose to take one instead.



I think you mean he has to start 2 WRs.

He has 2 good RBs without even factoring in Sproles; Fred Jackson and Frank Gore.


Before he traded for Wallace, he was starting Meachem.


I guess the question is do you think Foster/Meachem bring more points than Sproles/Wallace. Id rather take my chances with the latter 2. Should Meachem evolve into anything, he could be dealt too.

A deal like this is not black and white. It is rather fluid.
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