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re: Fantasy Board Regulars Football League
Posted on 9/5/12 at 10:56 pm to GynoSandberg
Posted on 9/5/12 at 10:56 pm to GynoSandberg
With that many players, you'd think a good projection service would at least come within 1 point of 1 of them.
Oh wait, yahoo isn't good. Carry on.
Oh wait, yahoo isn't good. Carry on.
0
Posted on 9/5/12 at 10:58 pm to GynoSandberg
Posted on 9/5/12 at 11:01 pm to Iona Fan Man
quote:
quote:
Yahoo/Actual
Dez Bryant- 15.24/12.50
Tony Romo- 16.89/24.48
Miles Austin- 15.57/17.30
Eli Manning- 17.58/12.52
Demarco Murray- 13.08/16
Victor Cruz- 14.89/11.80
Jason Witten- 0/3
Ahmad Bradshaw- 14.48/17.30
Hakeem Nicks- 16.71/7.80
Great projections. None hit, not even within 1 point
are you kidding, that is amazing accuracy
thank you for highlighting this.
I bow before the Gods of Yahoo!
add those up allowing for +- %
imagine that's a total team ie all your players
Projected 124.44
Actual 122.7
2 points out of 124....99% accuracy in you motherfrakking faces (battlestar galactica ref, show Im watching on Netflicks as I reflect on Bradshaw's domination over that piss ant wilson))
Posted on 9/5/12 at 11:04 pm to Iona Fan Man
that's piss poor dude
Posted on 9/5/12 at 11:27 pm to Iona Fan Man
You're a fricking yahoo
Posted on 9/5/12 at 11:28 pm to rondo
Bet this dude
Posted on 9/5/12 at 11:33 pm to GynoSandberg
oh shite
and I thought I was a nutcase.
BRADSHAW!!!!
quote:
Giants rookie David Wilson was benched after a first-quarter fumble in Wednesday night's opener against Dallas and finished with four yards on two carries.
Wilson continued to return kickoffs, but he did not play on offense the rest of the way after the fumble at 6:34 in the first quarter. The rookie was immediately seen crying on the sideline after the miscue.
and I thought I was a nutcase.
BRADSHAW!!!!
Posted on 9/5/12 at 11:34 pm to Iona Fan Man
In case you fail to respond to the other thread, I'll just leave this here-
quote:
Half those guys in your OP are way off, but because some are off in the + side and others are off on the - side, it evens out to make it seem like Yahoo was spot on. If you want to still say they were spot on after that statement I just typed, it totally debunks your hard on for yahoo's individual player projections.
Thank you, no further comments.
Posted on 9/6/12 at 12:18 am to TigerTatorTots
quote:
Here’s a GIF of the crying, and one of the fumble.
Posted on 9/6/12 at 7:15 am to Iona Fan Man
You want to know why its so close on point totals, because there are a ton of people being factored into your equation which reduces the margin of error. Your point total is directly related to yardage and TD total, which is much easier to guess what it will be in a game than for an individual player. You don't have the gianta and cowboys offenses on your bench, you have individual players who's numbers can be significantly different from game to game. Projections are for a-holes...
How many points was ogletree projected to get last night?
How many points was ogletree projected to get last night?
Posted on 9/6/12 at 8:56 am to Iona Fan Man
Stay the frick out of my matchup smacktalk section
Posted on 9/6/12 at 9:21 am to Iona Fan Man
quote:
add those up allowing for +- %
imagine that's a total team ie all your players
Projected 124.44
Actual 122.7
2 points out of 124....99% accuracy
If I ever commit major fraud, I hope you're my auditor. "Up a few million here, down a few million there...overall it looks great."
Posted on 9/6/12 at 10:11 am to BhamTigah
okay, what would it take for me to sway your opinion?
2 weeks, 5weeks, 10 weeks
if I took your starting rosters, compared actual vs projected over a certain period of time, how close would the actual vs projected have to be for it to change your opinion?
Because if after 5 weeks, it's 1000 vs 1050, will you say "SEE frickING bullshite!!!" even though it's within 5% margin of error.
Gyno put the numbers up, I did not. He said "lol yahoo sucks", I see it as the complete opposite, but it appears that all of you side with Gyno.
Is it more that regardless of what I put up and regardless of how close it is, if it is not EXACT, you all will still just say "see"?
Remember in school 90-100% was an A, 80% to a 90% was a B?
What would you need to see the light?
2 weeks, 5weeks, 10 weeks
if I took your starting rosters, compared actual vs projected over a certain period of time, how close would the actual vs projected have to be for it to change your opinion?
Because if after 5 weeks, it's 1000 vs 1050, will you say "SEE frickING bullshite!!!" even though it's within 5% margin of error.
Gyno put the numbers up, I did not. He said "lol yahoo sucks", I see it as the complete opposite, but it appears that all of you side with Gyno.
Is it more that regardless of what I put up and regardless of how close it is, if it is not EXACT, you all will still just say "see"?
Remember in school 90-100% was an A, 80% to a 90% was a B?
What would you need to see the light?
Posted on 9/6/12 at 10:15 am to Honkus
quote:
Stay the frick out of my matchup smacktalk section
don't give me anything to talk about
Posted on 9/6/12 at 10:19 am to Iona Fan Man
The more players and weeks of projections you add the more a normalized bell curve will take shape.
Problem is you compare player A to player B by using projections, you obviously are hunting for the guys you feel are +2/3 standard deviations above the mean and selling who you think are -2/3.
Problem is you compare player A to player B by using projections, you obviously are hunting for the guys you feel are +2/3 standard deviations above the mean and selling who you think are -2/3.
Posted on 9/6/12 at 10:24 am to Iona Fan Man
Overall the average will be very close. We have been trying to explain that individually the player evals are way off. If you average the whole league of course it will be close but looking at each player individually (which is what we have and who is up for trades) the evals are much more drastically off.
Posted on 9/6/12 at 10:29 am to Iona Fan Man
If Yahoo's annual projections for player A are 200 points over and their annual projections for player B are 200 points under, would you say they were 100% accurate? That's what you are arguing right now. I'm not arguing whether Yahoo's projections for this game were good or bad. I'm just arguing that your logic is faulty.
Posted on 9/6/12 at 10:39 am to Drew Orleans
quote:It baffles me that he does not seem to understand this
Overall the average will be very close. We have been trying to explain that individually the player evals are way off.
Posted on 9/6/12 at 10:40 am to BhamTigah
quote:
If Yahoo's annual projections for player A are 200 points over and their annual projections for player B are 200 points under, would you say they were 100% accurate? That's what you are arguing right now.
Very easy to understand analogy of what he is currently preachingPosted on 9/6/12 at 10:40 am to Iona Fan Man
Just email me or post it here
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